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Forecast

Raymond Island (37.9191°S, 147.7314°E, 3m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 15°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 10%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:56am EST 7:25am EST 5:05pm EST 5:34pm EST
    NOW
    4.6° Feels Like: 3.3°
    Relative Humidity: 95%
    Dew: 3.9°
    Wind: N 0km/h
    Gust: 0km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1030.5hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Raymond Island
    Now
    5.5°c
    Feels Like:
    3.2°
    Wind:
    NW 6km/h
    Gusts:
    7km/h
    Humidity:
    98%
    Mostly sunny
     
    Min
    15°
    Max
    Today in Raymond Island
    Partly cloudy. Areas of morning fog, with morning frost about the ranges. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between zero and 6 with daytime temperatures reaching between 10 and 16.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    Min
    17°
    Max
    Areas of morning fog, with morning frost about the ranges. Mostly sunny day. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between zero and 5 with daytime temperatures reaching between 10 and 17.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Raymond Island

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Areas of morning fog, with morning frost about the ranges. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between zero and 6 with daytime temperatures reaching between 10 and 16.

    Forecast for Raymond Island (37.9191°S, 147.7314°E, 3m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Frost then sunny Possible shower Showers Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum
    Maximum 15° 17° 17° 14° 13° 14° 14°
    Chance of rain 10% 5% 50% 70% 90% 80% 80%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 10-20mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index Low Low Low Low - - -
    Frost risk Moderate Moderate Slight Nil Slight Nil Slight
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 5
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNW SE N ESE NNE ENE NNW S WNW WSW SW S WNW SSE
    Relative humidity 96% 64% 89% 60% 83% 64% 95% 74% 99% 76% 98% 72% 96% 67%
    Dew point 6°C 7°C 5°C 8°C 6°C 9°C 9°C 9°C 8°C 8°C 9°C 8°C 8°C 7°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Raymond Island Rain Forecast


    Raymond Island 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    HIGH
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    HIGH
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    HIGH
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    MEDIUM
    Aug 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul 7

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 July to 2 August, 2 August to 6 August, and 7 August to 11 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 July to 9 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 19 July to 23 July, 28 July to 1 August, and 7 August to 11 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Raymond Island Rain Forecast


    Raymond Island 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2020
    2021
    6
    6
    6
    7
    7
    7
    7
    8
    7
    7
    4
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jun 15

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific exhibited significant cooling over the past month, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.1in May. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 2.8 during the same month. The current outlook suggests cooler than average SSTs will take hold across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during winter, potentially reaching La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 45:40 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. However, out of season Tropical CycloneMangga brought some significant cooling to the sea surface temperatures to the northwest of Australia late in May. This disrupted the warming trend in the region that would have led to a negative IOD by mid-winter. Nonetheless, all but one of the six main international models (BoMs outlook), continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing later in winter/first half of spring. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current short-term outlook now favours below average rainfall for most of the country for the remainder of June and early July. This outlook is mainly driven by cooler SSTs across northwestern Australia, reducing the amount of available moisture in the atmosphere. As discussed earlier, tropical cyclone Mangga was a key player in the cooling of the SSTs off the northwest coast. Most models, however, are indicating a positive IOD is still on the cards later in winter and through spring, bringing a wetter outlook for most of the southern half of the country from mid-to-lateJuly. Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania, the outlook continues to favour average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their ‘drier’ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tas) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM).

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Raymond Island Rain Forecast


    Raymond Island 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    HIGH
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    HIGH
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    HIGH
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    MEDIUM
    Aug 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul 7

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 July to 2 August, 2 August to 6 August, and 7 August to 11 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 July to 9 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 19 July to 23 July, 28 July to 1 August, and 7 August to 11 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Raymond Island Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Jul 03
    3.0 °C 14.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Jul 04
    3.7 °C 13.6 °C
    8.4 mm
    Sunday
    Jul 05
    7.7 °C 13.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jul 06
    7.3 °C 13.9 °C
    0.2 mm
    Tuesday
    Jul 07
    7.8 °C 13.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Raymond Island minimum temp history (37.9191°S, 147.7314°E, 3m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 20.0° 01/07/2020 Coldest this month 3.0° 03/07/2020
    Hottest on record 22.4 21/07/2009 Coldest on record -3.5 14/07/1986
    Hottest this year 43.8° 31/01/2020 Coldest this year -1.1° 28/06/2020
    Long term average 14.6° Long term average 4.0°
    Average this month 14.6° Average this month 6.0°
    Hottest July On Record Avg. max. temp. 16.0° 2009 Coldest July on record Avg. min. temp. 2.8° 1987
    Raymond Island rainfall history (37.9191°S, 147.7314°E, 3m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 8.4mm 04/07/2020 Total This Month 12.4mm
    4.0 days
    Long Term Average 49.0mm 15.0 days Wettest July on record 182.0mm 1984
    Driest on record 10.5mm 1944
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Raymond Island Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jul 360.7mm 85.6 day(s)
    Total For 2020 339.4mm 85.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 217.8mm 56.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 75.2mm Jan21
    Lowest Temperature -1.1°C Jun28
    Highest Temperature 43.8°C Jan31
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Raymond Island Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 25.9 25.5 24.0 20.7 17.6 15.0 14.6 15.7 17.7 19.9 21.7 23.7 20.1
    Mean Min (°C) 12.9 12.9 11.3 8.7 6.7 4.7 4.0 4.4 5.9 7.5 9.6 11.2 8.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 48.2 47.7 45.3 59.7 44.5 66.3 49.0 37.5 53.0 61.3 80.2 59.8 652.7
    Mean Rain Days 8.9 8.7 10.2 12.7 14.8 15.3 15.0 14.1 14.5 13.9 12.1 11.4 144.5