Forecast
Pura Pura (37.8212°S, 143.0818°E, 203m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY8° 21° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 70% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:28am EDT 5:59am EDT 8:45pm EDT 9:16pm EDT NOW22.2° Feels Like: 17.5° Relative Humidity: 41% Dew: 8.6° Wind: S 22km/h Gust: 28km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
Pura PuraNow17.8°cFeels Like:13.7°Wind:SSW 22km/hGusts:26km/hHumidity:62%8°Min21°MaxToday in Pura PuraPartly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower near the coast later tonight. Winds S 15 to 25 km/h turning SW 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon and evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 18 and 24.Tomorrow9°Min19°MaxPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the south during the morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds SW 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 22. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Pura Pura
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower near the coast later tonight. Winds S 15 to 25 km/h turning SW 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon and evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 18 and 24.
Forecast for Pura Pura (37.8212°S, 143.0818°E, 203m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 8° 9° 7° 10° 10° 7° 13° Maximum 21° 19° 20° 22° 21° 30° 39° Chance of rain 70% 10% 50% 10% 5% 5% 5% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 13
(km/h)18
(km/h)18
(km/h)21
(km/h)16
(km/h)21
(km/h)18
(km/h)20
(km/h)15
(km/h)19
(km/h)10
(km/h)13
(km/h)13
(km/h)18
(km/h)Wind direction S SW WSW SW W WSW W WSW WNW WSW NW SW N SSW Relative humidity 87% 60% 89% 68% 91% 66% 98% 62% 90% 55% 76% 41% 67% 42% Dew point 13°C 13°C 11°C 13°C 12°C 14°C 14°C 14°C 12°C 12°C 12°C 15°C 19°C 23°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Pura Pura Rain Forecast
Pura Pura 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT11
LOW12
13
LOW14
15
16
17
18
19
20
LOW21
LOW22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
LOWJan 1
LOW2
LOW3
LOW4
LOW5
6
7
8
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec11Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 December to 2 January, 2 January to 6 January, and 11 January to 15 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 December to 31 December, and 1 January to 5 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 January to 6 January, 6 January to 10 January, and 11 January to 15 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Pura Pura Rain Forecast
Pura Pura 12-month Rainfall ForecastDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov20192020476664657666105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Nov 8
ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Pura Pura Rain Forecast
Pura Pura 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT11
LOW12
13
LOW14
15
16
17
18
19
20
LOW21
LOW22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
LOWJan 1
LOW2
LOW3
LOW4
LOW5
6
7
8
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec11Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 December to 2 January, 2 January to 6 January, and 11 January to 15 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 December to 31 December, and 1 January to 5 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 January to 6 January, 6 January to 10 January, and 11 January to 15 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Pura Pura Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Dec 0610.4 °C 19.5 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Dec 074.1 °C 22.7 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Dec 082.4 °C 31.9 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Dec 0911.0 °C 36.0 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Dec 1010.4 °C - 1.8 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Pura Pura minimum temp history (37.8212°S, 143.0818°E, 203m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 36.0° 09/12/2019 Coldest this month 2.4° 08/12/2019 Hottest on record 43.5 19/12/2015 Coldest on record -0.5 30/12/2013 Hottest this year 43.1° 04/01/2019 Coldest this year -2.7° 30/08/2019 Long term average 25.8° Long term average 9.2° Average this month 22.7° Average this month 7.6° Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.0° 2015 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 8.0° 2006 Pura Pura rainfall history (37.8212°S, 143.0818°E, 203m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 2.8mm 02/12/2019 Total This Month 5.6mm
4.0 daysLong Term Average 43.4mm 9.3 days Wettest December on record 108.6mm 2015 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for VIC
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Year to Date
Pura Pura Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Dec 509.1mm 162.1 day(s) Total For 2019 480.6mm 149.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2018 366.0mm 125.0 day(s) Wettest Day 50.6mm May 2 Lowest Temperature -2.7°C Aug30 Highest Temperature 43.1°C Jan 4 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Pura Pura Climatology
Pura Pura Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 28.2 27.5 25.1 20.0 15.8 12.9 12.1 13.4 15.8 19.5 23.0 25.8 19.9 Mean Min (°C) 11.3 11.7 10.1 7.7 6.5 4.4 4.4 4.6 5.0 5.3 7.9 9.2 7.3 Mean Rain (mm) 46.9 18.3 22.7 37.6 49.8 41.3 57.8 57.7 50.1 41.0 42.5 43.4 507.8 Mean Rain Days 6.9 6.2 7.8 12.9 17.0 17.5 20.5 21.1 17.3 14.2 11.4 9.3 152.1