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Forecast

Porcupine Ridge (37.2485°S, 144.1997°E, 425m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Clearing shower 10° 13°
    clearing shower
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    7:14am EDT 7:40am EDT 7:12pm EDT 7:38pm EDT
    NOW
    15.7° Feels Like: 14.4°
    Relative Humidity: 95%
    Dew: 14.9°
    Wind: NE 15km/h
    Gust: 28km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 3.4mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Porcupine Ridge
    Now
    15.5°c
    Feels Like:
    9.9°
    Wind:
    NE 37km/h
    Gusts:
    52km/h
    Humidity:
    98%
    Clearing shower
     
    10°
    Min
    13°
    Max
    Today in Porcupine Ridge
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Snow falling above 1000 metres. The chance of a thunderstorm in the east in the morning and afternoon. Gusty winds and possible hail. Heavy falls possible in the east in the early morning. Winds W 30 to 45 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 16.
    Tomorrow
    Clearing shower
    10°
    Min
    13°
    Max
    Cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely from the late morning. Winds NW 25 to 35 km/h increasing to 35 to 50 km/h early in the morning then turning W 25 to 40 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 17.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Snow falling above 1000 metres. The chance of a thunderstorm in the east in the morning and afternoon. Gusty winds and possible hail. Heavy falls possible in the east in the early morning. Winds W 30 to 45 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 16.

    Forecast for Porcupine Ridge (37.2485°S, 144.1997°E, 425m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Clearing shower Late shower Cloudy Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 10°
    Maximum 13° 14° 14° 16° 16° 19° 19°
    Chance of rain 90% 80% 10% 30% 5% 5% 10%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 21
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    Wind direction W WNW NW WNW WSW SW S S S S SSE S SW WSW
    Relative humidity 89% 69% 86% 81% 80% 60% 76% 56% 77% 60% 72% 52% 71% 52%
    Dew point 9°C 8°C 8°C 11°C 7°C 7°C 7°C 7°C 8°C 8°C 8°C 9°C 7°C 9°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Porcupine Ridge Rain Forecast


    Porcupine Ridge 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    5
    HIGH
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    HIGH
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    HIGH
    May 1
    HIGH
    2
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 3

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 13 April to 17 April, 28 April to 2 May, and 7 May to 11 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 April to 12 April, 16 April to 20 April, and 22 April to 26 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 April to 17 April, 17 April to 21 April, and 26 April to 30 April.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Porcupine Ridge Rain Forecast


    Porcupine Ridge 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2020
    2021
    6
    5
    7
    7
    5
    6
    5
    9
    1
    6
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 9

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout February with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.3. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -2.2 in February. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, potentially cooling further by the austral winter. Four out of seven international models maintain a slightly warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of winter. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values through to the austral winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current outlook favours below average rainfall for western, central and southeastern parts of the country. Across NSW and Qld, the outlook is for average-to-above average, mainly across the Qld coasts. This excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) has been quiet for most of the wet season, with the current prognosis suggesting below average rainfall for March but above average in April. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter. The current consensus, however, suggests that average to above average rainfall is a possibility across northern, western and parts of the inland south east.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Porcupine Ridge Rain Forecast


    Porcupine Ridge 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    5
    HIGH
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    HIGH
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    HIGH
    May 1
    HIGH
    2
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 3

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 13 April to 17 April, 28 April to 2 May, and 7 May to 11 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 April to 12 April, 16 April to 20 April, and 22 April to 26 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 April to 17 April, 17 April to 21 April, and 26 April to 30 April.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Porcupine Ridge Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Mar 29
    16.5 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Mar 30
    - 21.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Mar 31
    6.1 °C 22.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Apr 01
    7.7 °C 23.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Apr 02
    14.0 °C -
    19.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Porcupine Ridge minimum temp history (37.2485°S, 144.1997°E, 425m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 23.3° 01/04/2020 Coldest this month 7.7° 01/04/2020
    Hottest on record 33.0 04/04/1986 Coldest on record -3.0 24/04/1999
    Hottest this year 41.5° 31/01/2020 Coldest this year 3.0° 27/02/2020
    Long term average 20.1° Long term average 7.7°
    Average this month 23.3° Average this month 10.8°
    Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 23.6° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 4.4° 1966
    Porcupine Ridge rainfall history (37.2485°S, 144.1997°E, 425m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 19.0mm 02/04/2020 Total This Month 19.0mm
    1.0 days
    Long Term Average 41.9mm 8.0 days Wettest April on record 141.2mm 2017
    Driest on record 4.9mm 1994
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Porcupine Ridge Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Apr 153.9mm 25.7 day(s)
    Total For 2020 184.0mm 19.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 57.6mm 12.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 50.0mm Mar 5
    Lowest Temperature 3.0°C Feb27
    Highest Temperature 41.5°C Jan31
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Porcupine Ridge Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 28.0 28.2 24.7 20.1 15.8 12.6 11.7 13.2 15.7 19.2 22.7 25.5 19.8
    Mean Min (°C) 13.0 13.3 11.0 7.7 5.5 3.5 2.9 3.6 5.0 6.7 9.2 11.0 7.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 40.2 37.3 34.5 41.9 55.6 56.2 61.0 65.6 62.4 58.1 48.1 40.3 600.6
    Mean Rain Days 6.1 5.1 6.5 8.0 12.0 14.2 17.1 16.2 13.4 11.2 8.7 7.4 123.9