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Forecast

Pheasant Creek (37.4815°S, 145.2788°E, 532m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Windy with rain 11° 18°
    windy with rain
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:55am EDT 6:24am EDT 8:39pm EDT 9:09pm EDT
    NOW
    11.6° Feels Like: 6.6°
    Relative Humidity: 100%
    Dew: 11.6°
    Wind: NNW 28km/h
    Gust: 32km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 9.6mm
    Pressure: 997.0hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Pheasant Creek
    Now
    11.9°c
    Feels Like:
     
    Wind:
    NNW 4km/h
    Gusts:
    4km/h
    Humidity:
     
    Windy with rain
     
    11°
    Min
    18°
    Max
    Today in Pheasant Creek
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers in the east, high chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the east early this morning. Winds N/NW 20 to 30 km/h tending W/NW 25 to 35 km/h in the early afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures between 18 and 21.
    Tomorrow
    Cloud increasing
    Min
    21°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming W/NW 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 8 with daytime temperatures reaching the low 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers in the east, high chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the east early this morning. Winds N/NW 20 to 30 km/h tending W/NW 25 to 35 km/h in the early afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures between 18 and 21.

    Forecast for Pheasant Creek (37.4815°S, 145.2788°E, 532m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Windy with rain Cloud increasing Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 11° 11° 12° 12° 12° 11°
    Maximum 18° 21° 25° 27° 28° 24° 27°
    Chance of rain 90% 5% 10% 10% 10% 5% 5%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 29
    (km/h)
    38
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    Wind direction N NNW NW W NNW WNW SW SW SSW WSW SSW SSW S SSW
    Relative humidity 99% 63% 74% 48% 78% 46% 83% 46% 85% 43% 86% 50% 85% 42%
    Dew point 11°C 10°C 7°C 9°C 11°C 13°C 14°C 15°C 13°C 14°C 12°C 13°C 11°C 13°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Pheasant Creek Rain Forecast


    Pheasant Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    HIGH
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 January to 3 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 January to 3 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 January to 2 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Pheasant Creek Rain Forecast


    Pheasant Creek 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    5
    6
    6
    6
    6
    8
    5
    9
    5
    2
    7
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Pheasant Creek Rain Forecast


    Pheasant Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    HIGH
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 January to 3 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 January to 3 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 January to 2 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Pheasant Creek Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jan 18
    10.8 °C 29.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 19
    14.4 °C 30.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jan 20
    14.7 °C 21.1 °C
    1.4 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 21
    9.8 °C 24.1 °C
    17.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 22
    11.5 °C 29 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Pheasant Creek minimum temp history (37.4815°S, 145.2788°E, 532m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 34.3° 15/01/2020 Coldest this month 8.2° 17/01/2020
    Hottest on record 40.9 16/01/2014 Coldest on record 4.5 09/01/1994
    Hottest this year 34.3° 15/01/2020 Coldest this year 8.2° 17/01/2020
    Long term average 25.0° Long term average 12.3°
    Average this month 24.9° Average this month 11.8°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 27.7° 2009 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 9.5° 2004
    Pheasant Creek rainfall history (37.4815°S, 145.2788°E, 532m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 22.6mm 16/01/2020 Total This Month 71.6mm
    9.0 days
    Long Term Average 48.2mm 9.7 days Wettest January on record 120.4mm 2009
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Pheasant Creek Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 48.2mm 9.7 day(s)
    Total For 2020 71.6mm 9.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 5.6mm 4.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 22.6mm Jan16
    Lowest Temperature 8.2°C Jan17
    Highest Temperature 34.3°C Jan15
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Pheasant Creek Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 25.0 24.7 21.6 17.0 12.9 9.9 9.1 10.6 13.2 16.1 19.6 22.5 16.9
    Mean Min (°C) 12.3 12.7 11.1 8.9 6.9 4.9 4.0 4.3 5.7 6.8 8.9 10.3 8.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 48.2 53.1 46.0 57.9 57.1 71.7 66.3 64.4 66.1 54.0 72.6 47.5 704.7
    Mean Rain Days 9.7 9.3 11.9 13.8 17.0 19.8 21.8 18.7 15.5 14.6 12.2 10.1 167.1