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Forecast

Pascoe Vale (37.7276°S, 144.9391°E, 65m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 27°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:58am EDT 6:25am EDT 7:45pm EDT 8:12pm EDT
    NOW
    28.1° Feels Like: 23.7°
    Relative Humidity: 20%
    Dew: 3.0°
    Wind: SSE 15km/h
    Gust: 19km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1017.7hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Pascoe Vale
    Now
    29.0°c
    Feels Like:
    26.1°
    Wind:
    WSW 9km/h
    Gusts:
    15km/h
    Humidity:
    22%
    Sunny
     
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Today in Pascoe Vale
    Patchy fog early this morning, mainly about the outer eastern and south eastern suburbs, clearing to a sunny day. Light winds tending S 15 to 20 km/h in the afternoon.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    15°
    Min
    32°
    Max
    Hot and sunny. Light winds becoming N 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then tending NE 15 to 25 km/h in the evening.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Pascoe Vale

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Patchy fog early this morning, mainly about the outer eastern and south eastern suburbs, clearing to a sunny day. Light winds tending S 15 to 20 km/h in the afternoon.

    Forecast for Pascoe Vale (37.7276°S, 144.9391°E, 65m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Sunny Sunny Possible shower Showers increasing Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 15° 21° 11° 10° 11° 10°
    Maximum 27° 32° 24° 16° 16° 19° 27°
    Chance of rain 5% 50% 70% 70% 70% 5% 20%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index High Very High Very High High Very High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 4
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNE SW NNE NNE WNW WNW NW W W WSW W SW N NNW
    Relative humidity 62% 28% 40% 22% 52% 42% 52% 49% 61% 55% 67% 39% 49% 29%
    Dew point 7°C 6°C 7°C 8°C 14°C 9°C 4°C 6°C 5°C 7°C 7°C 5°C 6°C 7°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Pascoe Vale Rain Forecast


    Pascoe Vale 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    LOW
    Nov 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    HIGH
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct23

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 November to 7 November, 7 November to 11 November, and 22 November to 26 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 21 November to 25 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 November to 7 November, 7 November to 11 November, and 20 November to 24 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Pascoe Vale Rain Forecast


    Pascoe Vale 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    2019
    2020
    3
    4
    6
    5
    7
    5
    5
    3
    7
    4
    4
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Oct 7

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remain within neutral values. The Nino3.4 index lingered between -0.2 and 0.2 through the month of September. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -12.4 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral spring, but well within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a slightly warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds during the 2019/2020 summer. The IRI ENSO forecast suggests less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for spring continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. A negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) on the other hand, is likely to enhance frontal activity over the far south during spring. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during the remainder of spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Pascoe Vale Rain Forecast


    Pascoe Vale 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    LOW
    Nov 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    HIGH
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct23

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 November to 7 November, 7 November to 11 November, and 22 November to 26 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 21 November to 25 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 November to 7 November, 7 November to 11 November, and 20 November to 24 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Pascoe Vale Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Oct 19
    6.9 °C 16.6 °C
    1.6 mm
    Sunday
    Oct 20
    8.0 °C 16.7 °C
    1.2 mm
    Monday
    Oct 21
    10.0 °C 17.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Oct 22
    11.2 °C 21.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Oct 23
    5.5 °C 28 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Pascoe Vale minimum temp history (37.7276°S, 144.9391°E, 65m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 29.2° 03/10/2019 Coldest this month 2.7° 01/10/2019
    Hottest on record 36.4 12/10/2006 Coldest on record -0.3 09/10/1939
    Hottest this year 45.2° 25/01/2019 Coldest this year 1.1° 25/06/2019
    Long term average 19.3° Long term average 8.3°
    Average this month 20.1° Average this month 8.9°
    Hottest October On Record Avg. max. temp. 25.1° 2015 Coldest October on record Avg. min. temp. 6.6° 1946
    Pascoe Vale rainfall history (37.7276°S, 144.9391°E, 65m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 5.8mm 17/10/2019 Total This Month 18.4mm
    11.0 days
    Long Term Average 58.3mm 12.7 days Wettest October on record 153.6mm 2015
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Pascoe Vale Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Oct 471.0mm 121.3 day(s)
    Total For 2019 349.8mm 111.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 288.0mm 95.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 23.0mm Feb 7
    Lowest Temperature 1.1°C Jun25
    Highest Temperature 45.2°C Jan25
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Pascoe Vale Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.5 25.8 24.1 20.1 16.3 13.7 13.1 14.4 16.8 19.3 21.8 24.5 19.7
    Mean Min (°C) 13.6 14.0 12.5 10.0 7.9 6.0 5.4 5.7 6.8 8.3 10.0 11.9 9.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 42.4 46.2 39.3 57.4 47.5 39.9 43.5 47.1 49.4 58.3 57.5 50.7 578.7
    Mean Rain Days 7.4 7.3 9.0 11.5 13.3 14.5 15.7 15.6 14.3 12.7 11.6 10.1 135.5