Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Warning to Sheep Graziers
for North Central, South West, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Issued at 10:46 PM EST on Tuesday 23 April 2024
Warnings for Wednesday 24 April
Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
North Central, South West, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, showers and southwesterly winds are expected during Wednesday. Areas likely to be affected include the West and South Gippsland forecast district and parts of the North Central, South West and Central forecast districts. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.
The next warning will be issued by 5:00 am EST Wednesday.
Forecast
Pakenham (38.0774°S, 145.4934°E, 27m AMSL) set as my default location ›
-
My MLA
-
Current condition
TODAY9° 15° clearing shower Chance of rain: 60% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:27am EST 6:54am EST 5:39pm EST 6:06pm EST NOW11.6° Feels Like: 8.6° Relative Humidity: 86% Dew: 9.3° Wind: W 15km/h Gust: 20km/h Rainfall since 9am: 10.0mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
PakenhamNow9.9°cFeels Like:8.8°Wind:N 4km/hGusts:6km/hHumidity:90%9°Min15°MaxToday in PakenhamPartly cloudy. High chance of showers in the E, medium chance elsewhere. Winds W/SW 25 to 35 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 16.Tomorrow9°Min15°MaxCloudy. High chance of showers in the E, medium chance elsewhere. Winds W 15 to 25 km/h turning SW 20 to 30 km/h during the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 12 and 16. -
Radar
-
Popup Radar
-
Warnings
-
7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of showers in the E, medium chance elsewhere. Winds W/SW 25 to 35 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 16.
Forecast for Pakenham (38.0774°S, 145.4934°E, 27m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 9° 9° 9° 7° 8° 10° 8° Maximum 15° 15° 16° 16° 18° 15° 15° Chance of rain 60% 70% 60% 5% 20% 40% 20% Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate No Rating No Rating - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 16
(km/h)21
(km/h)15
(km/h)18
(km/h)7
(km/h)10
(km/h)4
(km/h)6
(km/h)6
(km/h)9
(km/h)13
(km/h)13
(km/h)11
(km/h)16
(km/h)Wind direction WSW WSW W SW WSW SW N W N WNW NW SW SSW SSW Relative humidity 68% 60% 83% 67% 81% 72% 86% 62% 81% 54% 70% 68% 66% 61% Dew point 6°C 6°C 10°C 9°C 9°C 11°C 8°C 9°C 9°C 9°C 8°C 9°C 6°C 8°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
-
12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Pakenham Rain Forecast
Pakenham 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar202420259565465106874105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
-
Popup - Daily historical
-
Long range rainfall forecast
-
Past 5 Days
Pakenham Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Apr 1910.8 °C 18.5 °C 3.4 mmSaturday
Apr 208.7 °C 17.3 °C 1.8 mmSunday
Apr 219.0 °C 16.7 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 226.7 °C 23.5 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 2310.3 °C 24.9 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Pakenham minimum temp history (38.0774°S, 145.4934°E, 27m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 28.3° 01/04/2024 Coldest this month 4.4° 22/04/2024 Hottest on record 33.4 01/04/2014 Coldest on record 0.3 30/04/2009 Hottest this year 37.1° 09/03/2024 Coldest this year 4.4° 22/04/2024 Long term average 20.3° Long term average 10.2° Average this month 19.5° Average this month 9.3° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 23.6° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 7.0° 1999 Pakenham rainfall history (38.0774°S, 145.4934°E, 27m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 71.2mm 02/04/2024 Total This Month 150.8mm
12.0 daysLong Term Average 69.7mm 13.1 days Wettest April on record 177.4mm 1960 Driest on record 18.4mm 2018 -
Year to Date
Pakenham Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 228.0mm 40.1 day(s) Total For 2024 292.2mm 32.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 214.8mm 46.0 day(s) Wettest Day 71.2mm Apr 2 Lowest Temperature 4.4°C Apr22 Highest Temperature 37.1°C Mar 9 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for Australia
Australia Radars
- Adelaide
- Adelaide Airport
- Adelaide Sellicks
- Albany
- Alice Springs
- Bairnsdale
- Bowen
- Brewarrina
- Brisbane
- Brisbane Airport
- Brisbane Marburg
- Broadmeadows
- Broome
- Cairns
- Cairns Airport
- Canberra
- Carnarvon
- Ceduna
- Coffs Harbour
- Dampier
- Darwin
- Darwin Airport
- Emerald
- Esperance
- Eucla
- Geraldton
- Giles
- Gladstone
-
Popup - Monthly historical
-
Climatology
Climate History
Pakenham Climatology
Pakenham Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 26.5 26.8 24.3 20.3 16.5 13.8 13.2 14.4 16.7 19.3 21.8 24.3 19.8 Mean Min (°C) 13.8 14.1 12.6 10.2 8.4 6.4 6.0 6.5 7.8 8.9 10.6 12.1 9.8 Mean Rain (mm) 54.0 51.2 53.1 69.7 85.6 69.2 71.2 79.4 82.1 85.0 81.7 74.5 858.2 Mean Rain Days 8.8 7.8 10.4 13.1 17.5 18.7 19.6 18.8 16.4 15.6 13.7 11.4 171.8