Forecast
Paaratte (38.5415°S, 142.975°E, 120m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY9° 19° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 10% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:28am EDT 5:59am EDT 8:44pm EDT 9:15pm EDT NOW12.5° Feels Like: 12.5° Relative Humidity: 100% Dew: 12.5° Wind: SSW 4km/h Gust: 6km/h Rainfall since 9am: 3.0mm Pressure: 1018.5hPa -
Today Weather
PaaratteNow12.7°cFeels Like:10.6°Wind:SSW 15km/hGusts:20km/hHumidity:99%9°Min19°MaxToday in PaarattePartly cloudy. Slight chance of a light shower about the coast in the early morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds S/SW 15 to 25 km/h tending S/SE 15 to 20 km/h during the day. Overnight temperatures falling to around 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 23.Tomorrow7°Min21°MaxPartly cloudy. Winds S/SE 15 to 25 km/h tending S/SW in the afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to around 8 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 25. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Paaratte
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a light shower about the coast in the early morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds S/SW 15 to 25 km/h tending S/SE 15 to 20 km/h during the day. Overnight temperatures falling to around 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 23.
Forecast for Paaratte (38.5415°S, 142.975°E, 120m AMSL) Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Summary Minimum 9° 7° 9° 7° 9° 9° 8° Maximum 19° 21° 18° 20° 20° 20° 25° Chance of rain 10% 40% 20% 40% 70% 20% 5% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 16
(km/h)18
(km/h)11
(km/h)17
(km/h)17
(km/h)22
(km/h)15
(km/h)19
(km/h)20
(km/h)24
(km/h)14
(km/h)20
(km/h)11
(km/h)17
(km/h)Wind direction SSW SSW S SSW WSW SW WSW WSW W WSW W WSW W SW Relative humidity 93% 59% 91% 58% 95% 64% 89% 58% 96% 62% 91% 57% 84% 45% Dew point 10°C 11°C 12°C 13°C 13°C 11°C 11°C 12°C 12°C 13°C 12°C 11°C 12°C 12°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Paaratte Rain Forecast
Paaratte 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT10
11
LOW12
13
LOW14
MEDIUM15
LOW16
LOW17
18
19
20
LOW21
LOW22
LOW23
24
25
26
LOW27
28
29
LOW30
31
Jan 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec 9Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 December to 20 December, 20 December to 24 December, and 27 December to 31 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 December to 31 December, 31 December to 4 January, and 9 January to 13 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 6 January to 10 January, and 12 January to 16 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Paaratte Rain Forecast
Paaratte 12-month Rainfall ForecastDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov20192020476664657666105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Nov 8
ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Paaratte Rain Forecast
Paaratte 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT10
11
LOW12
13
LOW14
MEDIUM15
LOW16
LOW17
18
19
20
LOW21
LOW22
LOW23
24
25
26
LOW27
28
29
LOW30
31
Jan 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec 9Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 December to 20 December, 20 December to 24 December, and 27 December to 31 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 December to 31 December, 31 December to 4 January, and 9 January to 13 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 6 January to 10 January, and 12 January to 16 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Paaratte Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Thursday
Dec 0511.0 °C 19.7 °C 0.2 mmFriday
Dec 0610.5 °C 17.8 °C 0.2 mmSaturday
Dec 074.6 °C 18.5 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Dec 087.8 °C 29.2 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Dec 0913.1 °C 32 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Paaratte minimum temp history (38.5415°S, 142.975°E, 120m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 29.0° 08/12/2019 Coldest this month 4.6° 07/12/2019 Hottest on record 43.4 19/12/2015 Coldest on record -0.6 01/12/1994 Hottest this year 43.6° 24/01/2019 Coldest this year -3.0° 24/06/2019 Long term average 23.6° Long term average 9.3° Average this month 19.1° Average this month 8.4° Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 28.8° 2015 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 6.4° 2001 Paaratte rainfall history (38.5415°S, 142.975°E, 120m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 8.4mm 02/12/2019 Total This Month 11.2mm
6.0 daysLong Term Average 43.8mm 11.1 days Wettest December on record 129.0mm 2015 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for VIC
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Year to Date
Paaratte Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Dec 600.2mm 174.1 day(s) Total For 2019 608.6mm 178.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2018 449.8mm 146.0 day(s) Wettest Day 37.6mm May10 Lowest Temperature -3.0°C Jun24 Highest Temperature 43.6°C Jan24 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Paaratte Climatology
Paaratte Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 26.0 26.3 24.0 20.0 16.2 13.5 13.0 13.9 15.8 18.1 20.8 23.6 19.3 Mean Min (°C) 10.9 11.5 9.9 7.9 6.6 5.1 4.6 4.8 5.7 6.4 7.8 9.3 7.5 Mean Rain (mm) 37.2 33.7 33.7 47.5 53.7 54.7 66.5 67.8 59.1 53.6 48.9 43.8 600.5 Mean Rain Days 8.2 7.3 10.6 14.3 17.6 18.1 20.0 19.0 18.8 16.6 12.5 11.1 166.9