Forecast
Osbornes Flat (36.3071°S, 146.903°E, 218m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY14° 32° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 10% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:55am EDT 6:24am EDT 8:28pm EDT 8:56pm EDT NOW31.1° Feels Like: 31.0° Relative Humidity: 38% Dew: 15.1° Wind: E 9km/h Gust: 9km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1010.0hPa -
Today Weather
Osbornes FlatNow31.7°cFeels Like:30.9°Wind:N 11km/hGusts:15km/hHumidity:35%14°Min32°MaxToday in Osbornes FlatMostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in the E, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds SE 20 to 30 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures 21 to 32.Tomorrow15°Min26°MaxPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers. Winds E/SE 15 to 25 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 11 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching 20 to 27. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Osbornes Flat
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7 day forecast
Today: Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in the E, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds SE 20 to 30 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures 21 to 32.
Forecast for Osbornes Flat (36.3071°S, 146.903°E, 218m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 14° 15° 14° 16° 14° 16° 16° Maximum 32° 26° 23° 27° 31° 29° 28° Chance of rain 10% 70% 80% 80% 20% 60% 20% Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 10-20mm 1-5mm < 1mm 5-10mm < 1mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 7
(km/h)7
(km/h)11
(km/h)11
(km/h)15
(km/h)18
(km/h)11
(km/h)8
(km/h)6
(km/h)7
(km/h)9
(km/h)12
(km/h)7
(km/h)13
(km/h)Wind direction SE NE ESE E ENE NE NE NNW ESE WNW ENE N SSW WSW Relative humidity 69% 41% 61% 61% 73% 80% 93% 73% 77% 45% 76% 54% 76% 48% Dew point 14°C 17°C 13°C 17°C 13°C 19°C 17°C 21°C 16°C 17°C 17°C 19°C 16°C 16°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Osbornes Flat Rain Forecast
Osbornes Flat 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT27
28
MEDIUM29
HIGH30
HIGH31
LOWFeb 1
HIGH2
MEDIUM3
MEDIUM4
MEDIUM5
MEDIUM6
MEDIUM7
LOW8
LOW9
10
11
12
LOW13
MEDIUM14
MEDIUM15
LOW16
17
18
19
20
21
MEDIUM22
LOW23
LOW24
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan27Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 February to 3 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 19 February to 23 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Osbornes Flat Rain Forecast
Osbornes Flat 12-month Rainfall ForecastJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec20211088567744665105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Jan 7
ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Osbornes Flat Rain Forecast
Osbornes Flat 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT27
28
MEDIUM29
HIGH30
HIGH31
LOWFeb 1
HIGH2
MEDIUM3
MEDIUM4
MEDIUM5
MEDIUM6
MEDIUM7
LOW8
LOW9
10
11
12
LOW13
MEDIUM14
MEDIUM15
LOW16
17
18
19
20
21
MEDIUM22
LOW23
LOW24
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan27Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 February to 3 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 19 February to 23 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Osbornes Flat Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Saturday
Jan 2315.0 °C 37.5 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Jan 2419.5 °C 39.5 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Jan 2521.1 °C 39.7 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Jan 2621.6 °C 29.4 °C 3.0 mmWednesday
Jan 2719.0 °C - 2.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Osbornes Flat minimum temp history (36.3071°S, 146.903°E, 218m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 39.7° 25/01/2021 Coldest this month 9.1° 16/01/2021 Hottest on record 43.4 24/01/1982 Coldest on record 6.8 12/01/1975 Hottest this year 39.7° 25/01/2021 Coldest this year 9.1° 16/01/2021 Long term average 31.2° Long term average 17.2° Average this month 32.0° Average this month 17.0° Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 34.9° 1981 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 13.0° 1987 Osbornes Flat rainfall history (36.3071°S, 146.903°E, 218m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 28.6mm 03/01/2021 Total This Month 33.0mm
5.0 daysLong Term Average 45.8mm 5.5 days Wettest January on record 212.6mm 1974 Driest on record 0.5mm 1957 -
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Year to Date
Osbornes Flat Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Jan 45.8mm 5.5 day(s) Total For 2021 33.0mm 5.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2020 33.0mm 6.0 day(s) Wettest Day 28.6mm Jan 3 Lowest Temperature 9.1°C Jan16 Highest Temperature 39.7°C Jan25 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Osbornes Flat Climatology
Osbornes Flat Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 31.2 30.7 27.3 22.1 16.9 13.3 12.4 14.2 17.3 21.3 25.3 28.6 21.7 Mean Min (°C) 17.2 17.2 14.3 10.5 7.4 5.1 4.4 5.1 6.8 9.4 12.2 14.7 10.3 Mean Rain (mm) 45.8 42.6 46.7 52.5 58.8 67.1 75.8 75.7 60.6 66.9 53.0 49.7 695.2 Mean Rain Days 5.5 5.4 5.9 7.2 11.3 14.4 16.7 14.9 11.3 10.1 8.1 6.7 117.5