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Forecast

Osbornes Flat (36.3071°S, 146.903°E, 218m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 14° 32°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 10%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:55am EDT 6:24am EDT 8:28pm EDT 8:56pm EDT
    NOW
    31.1° Feels Like: 31.0°
    Relative Humidity: 38%
    Dew: 15.1°
    Wind: E 9km/h
    Gust: 9km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1010.0hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Osbornes Flat
    Now
    31.7°c
    Feels Like:
    30.9°
    Wind:
    N 11km/h
    Gusts:
    15km/h
    Humidity:
    35%
    Mostly sunny
     
    14°
    Min
    32°
    Max
    Today in Osbornes Flat
    Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in the E, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds SE 20 to 30 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures 21 to 32.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    15°
    Min
    26°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers. Winds E/SE 15 to 25 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 11 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching 20 to 27.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Osbornes Flat

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in the E, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds SE 20 to 30 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures 21 to 32.

    Forecast for Osbornes Flat (36.3071°S, 146.903°E, 218m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Mostly sunny Possible shower Heavy showers Possible shower Mostly sunny Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 14° 15° 14° 16° 14° 16° 16°
    Maximum 32° 26° 23° 27° 31° 29° 28°
    Chance of rain 10% 70% 80% 80% 20% 60% 20%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 10-20mm 1-5mm < 1mm 5-10mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 7
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SE NE ESE E ENE NE NE NNW ESE WNW ENE N SSW WSW
    Relative humidity 69% 41% 61% 61% 73% 80% 93% 73% 77% 45% 76% 54% 76% 48%
    Dew point 14°C 17°C 13°C 17°C 13°C 19°C 17°C 21°C 16°C 17°C 17°C 19°C 16°C 16°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Osbornes Flat Rain Forecast


    Osbornes Flat 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    HIGH
    30
    HIGH
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    HIGH
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan27

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 February to 3 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 19 February to 23 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Osbornes Flat Rain Forecast


    Osbornes Flat 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2021
    10
    8
    8
    5
    6
    7
    7
    4
    4
    6
    6
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 7

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Osbornes Flat Rain Forecast


    Osbornes Flat 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    HIGH
    30
    HIGH
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    HIGH
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan27

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 February to 3 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 19 February to 23 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Osbornes Flat Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jan 23
    15.0 °C 37.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 24
    19.5 °C 39.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jan 25
    21.1 °C 39.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 26
    21.6 °C 29.4 °C
    3.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 27
    19.0 °C -
    2.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Osbornes Flat minimum temp history (36.3071°S, 146.903°E, 218m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 39.7° 25/01/2021 Coldest this month 9.1° 16/01/2021
    Hottest on record 43.4 24/01/1982 Coldest on record 6.8 12/01/1975
    Hottest this year 39.7° 25/01/2021 Coldest this year 9.1° 16/01/2021
    Long term average 31.2° Long term average 17.2°
    Average this month 32.0° Average this month 17.0°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 34.9° 1981 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 13.0° 1987
    Osbornes Flat rainfall history (36.3071°S, 146.903°E, 218m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 28.6mm 03/01/2021 Total This Month 33.0mm
    5.0 days
    Long Term Average 45.8mm 5.5 days Wettest January on record 212.6mm 1974
    Driest on record 0.5mm 1957
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Osbornes Flat Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 45.8mm 5.5 day(s)
    Total For 2021 33.0mm 5.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 33.0mm 6.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 28.6mm Jan 3
    Lowest Temperature 9.1°C Jan16
    Highest Temperature 39.7°C Jan25
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Osbornes Flat Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 31.2 30.7 27.3 22.1 16.9 13.3 12.4 14.2 17.3 21.3 25.3 28.6 21.7
    Mean Min (°C) 17.2 17.2 14.3 10.5 7.4 5.1 4.4 5.1 6.8 9.4 12.2 14.7 10.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 45.8 42.6 46.7 52.5 58.8 67.1 75.8 75.7 60.6 66.9 53.0 49.7 695.2
    Mean Rain Days 5.5 5.4 5.9 7.2 11.3 14.4 16.7 14.9 11.3 10.1 8.1 6.7 117.5