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Forecast

Ormond East (37.9161°S, 145.0371°E, 28m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible shower 16°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 5-10mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    7:06am EST 7:36am EST 5:08pm EST 5:37pm EST
    NOW
    12.4° Feels Like: 11.3°
    Relative Humidity: 100%
    Dew: 12.4°
    Wind: N 9km/h
    Gust: 13km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1007.0hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Ormond East
    Now
    12.6°c
    Feels Like:
    11.6°
    Wind:
    N 6km/h
    Gusts:
    11km/h
    Humidity:
    85%
    Possible shower
     
    Min
    16°
    Max
    Today in Ormond East
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely this evening. Winds N 20 to 30 km/h.
    Tomorrow
    Showers
    Min
    13°
    Max
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds N 15 to 25 km/h turning W 15 to 20 km/h in the late morning and early afternoon.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely this evening. Winds N 20 to 30 km/h.

    Forecast for Ormond East (37.9161°S, 145.0371°E, 28m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Possible shower Showers Showers easing Showers Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Late shower
    Minimum
    Maximum 16° 13° 13° 13° 14° 16° 17°
    Chance of rain 90% 90% 60% 80% 5% 5% 90%
    Likely amount 5-10mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Low Low Low Low Low - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Moderate Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 14
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    Wind direction N N NNW WNW W W NNW WSW NE NE NNE NNE NNE NNE
    Relative humidity 99% 66% 99% 93% 98% 75% 98% 89% 99% 75% 95% 71% 86% 72%
    Dew point 12°C 8°C 10°C 11°C 9°C 8°C 9°C 10°C 9°C 9°C 7°C 10°C 9°C 11°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Ormond East Rain Forecast


    Ormond East 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    24
    HIGH
    25
    HIGH
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    HIGH
    28
    29
    30
    HIGH
    Jul 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    HIGH
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    HIGH
    15
    HIGH
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun24

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 June to 4 July, 21 July to 25 July, and 25 July to 29 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 June to 26 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 June to 3 July, 3 July to 7 July, and 21 July to 25 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Ormond East Rain Forecast


    Ormond East 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    2021
    2022
    8
    5
    5
    7
    6
    7
    7
    5
    7
    5
    5
    3
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jun 15

    ENSO status: Neutral. IOD status: Neutral, although during the past three weeks it has been negative. SAM status: Positive. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral, which is predicted to continue until at least October. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral. although the last 3 weekly values have been negative.The negative value would need to continue for another 5 weeks for a negative IOD to be declared. While a negative IOD has not been officially declared, the negative weekly value may enhance rainfall across central and southern Australia. A negative IOD is forecast during winter or early spring by 3 out of 5 climate models. However, the confidence in the IOD forecast at this time of the year is low, specifically because the models are showing a range of outcomes from mid winter onwards. During winter, much of the Australia is likely to be wetter than normal, apart from far southern WA and SA, southern VIC and much of TAS. The weekly negative IOD valuesmay be influencing this outlook, potentially feeding moisture into cold fronts sweeping across central and southern Australia. Therefore a normal to above normal snow season is forecast. Springs rainfall at this stage is forecast to be above normal for much of the Australia, apart from western TAS. Again, the negative IOD values may be playing a role in this outlook.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Ormond East Rain Forecast


    Ormond East 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    24
    HIGH
    25
    HIGH
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    HIGH
    28
    29
    30
    HIGH
    Jul 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    HIGH
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    HIGH
    15
    HIGH
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun24

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 June to 4 July, 21 July to 25 July, and 25 July to 29 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 June to 26 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 June to 3 July, 3 July to 7 July, and 21 July to 25 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Ormond East Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Jun 20
    2.6 °C 15.0 °C
    0.2 mm
    Monday
    Jun 21
    2.8 °C 15.5 °C
    0.2 mm
    Tuesday
    Jun 22
    1.5 °C 16.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jun 23
    4.9 °C 15.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jun 24
    9.7 °C -
    0.8 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Ormond East minimum temp history (37.9161°S, 145.0371°E, 28m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 19.7° 02/06/2021 Coldest this month 1.5° 22/06/2021
    Hottest on record 23.7 08/06/2005 Coldest on record -2.2 24/06/1972
    Hottest this year 40.6° 25/01/2021 Coldest this year 0.6° 31/05/2021
    Long term average 14.3° Long term average 6.7°
    Average this month 15.1° Average this month 6.9°
    Hottest June On Record Avg. max. temp. 15.9° 2005 Coldest June on record Avg. min. temp. 4.0° 1972
    Ormond East rainfall history (37.9161°S, 145.0371°E, 28m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 14.6mm 09/06/2021 Total This Month 51.6mm
    15.0 days
    Long Term Average 56.2mm 15.4 days Wettest June on record 139.8mm 1991
    Driest on record 14.0mm 2006
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Ormond East Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jun 319.4mm 66.2 day(s)
    Total For 2021 297.6mm 73.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 504.6mm 81.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 38.6mm Jan30
    Lowest Temperature 0.6°C May31
    Highest Temperature 40.6°C Jan25
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Ormond East Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 25.9 26.1 23.8 20.2 17.1 14.3 13.7 14.8 17.0 19.4 21.8 24.0 19.8
    Mean Min (°C) 14.3 14.4 13.1 10.5 8.7 6.7 6.2 6.9 8.1 9.3 11.2 12.7 10.2
    Mean Rain (mm) 44.5 45.5 44.2 61.6 67.4 56.2 61.7 65.9 63.9 68.6 63.9 60.9 701.4
    Mean Rain Days 7.8 7.0 9.3 11.6 15.1 15.4 17.4 17.2 14.5 13.7 12.2 10.1 150.8