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Forecast

Ogradys Ridge (38.8301°S, 146.1742°E, 5m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible shower 12°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 70%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:20am EST 6:47am EST 5:46pm EST 6:13pm EST
    NOW
    10.7° Feels Like: 7.6°
    Relative Humidity: 100%
    Dew: 10.7°
    Wind: W 17km/h
    Gust: W 17km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 1.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Ogradys Ridge
    Now
    11.1°c
    Feels Like:
    8.7°
    Wind:
    W 9km/h
    Gusts:
    11km/h
    Humidity:
    77%
    Possible shower
     
    Min
    12°
    Max
    Today in Ogradys Ridge
    Partly cloudy. Patchy fog early this morning. Areas of morning frost. High chance of showers in the southwest, slight chance elsewhere. Showers falling as snow above 1100 metres. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures between 9 and 15.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    Min
    13°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Areas of morning frost, locally severe. Areas of morning fog about the ranges. Medium chance of showers near Wilsons Promontory in the morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds NW 15 to 20 km/h tending W in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between minus 2 and 5 above zero with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 16.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog early this morning. Areas of morning frost. High chance of showers in the southwest, slight chance elsewhere. Showers falling as snow above 1100 metres. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures between 9 and 15.

    Forecast for Ogradys Ridge (38.8301°S, 146.1742°E, 5m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Possible shower Possible shower Showers increasing Clearing shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower
    Minimum 10°
    Maximum 12° 13° 13° 11° 12° 14° 14°
    Chance of rain 70% 30% 80% 30% 5% 30% 70%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 20
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    31
    (km/h)
    39
    (km/h)
    36
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    Wind direction W W WNW WNW NNW WSW SSE SSE E E NE ENE NNW NW
    Relative humidity 76% 74% 83% 79% 79% 78% 68% 63% 71% 72% 78% 77% 76% 77%
    Dew point 6°C 7°C 8°C 9°C 8°C 8°C 3°C 4°C 5°C 7°C 7°C 10°C 8°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Ogradys Ridge Rain Forecast


    Ogradys Ridge 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    26
    27
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    LOW
    Sep 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    HIGH
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    HIGH
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug26

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 5 September to 9 September, 11 September to 15 September, and 19 September to 23 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 24 August to 28 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 September to 9 September, 11 September to 15 September, and 19 September to 23 September.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Ogradys Ridge Rain Forecast


    Ogradys Ridge 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    2019
    2020
    6
    6
    5
    5
    5
    6
    7
    6
    5
    3
    9
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Aug 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SST's) continued a cooling trend over the central Pacific during July. The Nino3.4 index lingered at about 0.5 through the month of July. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 in July, which is now in neutral territory. Current consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will remain across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral spring, but well within neutral values. Although, six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the remainder of 2019, none of these are reaching El Nino thresholds during the 2019/2020 summer. Moreover, the IRI ENSO forecast suggests less than 50% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months. On the other hand, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive. Six out of six international models maintain a positive event until mid-spring. The climate outlook for the four weeks left in winter and spring, favours average-to-below average rainfall across the southern half of Australia, in particular over the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during the end of winter and the first half of spring due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. SST's along the eastern seaboard remain significantly warmer than average (especially off NSW) maintaining a high risk of extreme weather events such as East Coast Lows (ECLs). These can bring intense periods of rainfall east of the Great Dividing Range, leading to flash flooding.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Ogradys Ridge Rain Forecast


    Ogradys Ridge 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    26
    27
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    LOW
    Sep 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    HIGH
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    HIGH
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug26

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 5 September to 9 September, 11 September to 15 September, and 19 September to 23 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 24 August to 28 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 September to 9 September, 11 September to 15 September, and 19 September to 23 September.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Ogradys Ridge Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Aug 22
    7.9 °C 12.1 °C
    9.0 mm
    Friday
    Aug 23
    4.2 °C 13.3 °C
    0.2 mm
    Saturday
    Aug 24
    4.3 °C 17.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Aug 25
    8.1 °C 12.6 °C
    3.6 mm
    Monday
    Aug 26
    5.0 °C 14 °C
    1.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Ogradys Ridge minimum temp history (38.8301°S, 146.1742°E, 5m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 20.8° 18/08/2019 Coldest this month 5.7° 20/08/2019
    Hottest on record 24.4 30/08/2007 Coldest on record 0.6 27/08/1971
    Hottest this year 38.1° 04/01/2019 Coldest this year 5.7° 20/08/2019
    Long term average 12.7° Long term average 8.7°
    Average this month 12.9° Average this month 8.6°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 14.7° 2011 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. 6.3° 1960
    Ogradys Ridge rainfall history (38.8301°S, 146.1742°E, 5m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 14.0mm 21/08/2019 Total This Month 90.4mm
    18.0 days
    Long Term Average 121.9mm 19.6 days Wettest August on record 354.4mm 2011
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Ogradys Ridge Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 731.8mm 121.7 day(s)
    Total For 2019 681.2mm 112.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 869.6mm 108.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 45.8mm May29
    Lowest Temperature 5.7°C Aug20
    Highest Temperature 38.1°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Ogradys Ridge Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 20.6 20.7 19.5 17.4 15.1 13.1 12.3 12.7 14.2 15.9 17.3 18.8 16.5
    Mean Min (°C) 14.6 15.3 14.7 13.1 11.5 9.8 8.7 8.7 9.4 10.4 11.7 13.0 11.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 51.8 46.8 69.7 83.9 114.0 120.5 123.2 121.9 98.6 92.2 71.2 64.2 1057.6
    Mean Rain Days 9.9 9.1 12.1 14.9 17.8 18.9 19.4 19.6 17.7 16.1 13.4 12.0 178.3