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Forecast

Nilma North (38.145°S, 145.9862°E, 105m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Mostly sunny 11° 19°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 30%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:42am EDT 6:12am EDT 8:40pm EDT 9:10pm EDT
    NOW
    16.1° Feels Like: 9.3°
    Relative Humidity: 67%
    Dew: 10.0°
    Wind: WSW 35km/h
    Gust: 43km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.8mm
    Pressure: 1011.9hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Nilma North
    Now
    16.1°c
    Feels Like:
    9.3°
    Wind:
    WSW 35km/h
    Gusts:
    43km/h
    Humidity:
    67%
    Mostly sunny
     
    11°
    Min
    19°
    Max
    Today in Nilma North
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower near Wilsons Promontory in the late evening. Winds W/SW 15 to 25 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 12 with daytime temperatures reaching between 18 and 23.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    11°
    Min
    19°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the SW, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds W 25 to 35 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching 20 to 26.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Nilma North

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower near Wilsons Promontory in the late evening. Winds W/SW 15 to 25 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 12 with daytime temperatures reaching between 18 and 23.

    Forecast for Nilma North (38.145°S, 145.9862°E, 105m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Mostly sunny Possible shower Mostly sunny Sunny Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 11° 12° 11° 11° 11° 11°
    Maximum 19° 21° 20° 26° 28° 28° 31°
    Chance of rain 30% 50% 30% 5% 10% 5% 20%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme - - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 11
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WSW WSW WNW W SSW SSW ESE S N W W SW ENE W
    Relative humidity 78% 53% 81% 55% 75% 51% 66% 39% 63% 35% 65% 41% 66% 35%
    Dew point 10°C 9°C 12°C 12°C 9°C 10°C 9°C 11°C 12°C 12°C 12°C 13°C 14°C 13°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Nilma North Rain Forecast


    Nilma North 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    12
    13
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan16

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 27 January to 31 January, 7 February to 11 February, and 19 February to 23 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 February to 14 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 1 February to 5 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 19 February to 23 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Nilma North Rain Forecast


    Nilma North 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2021
    10
    9
    8
    6
    5
    6
    7
    4
    4
    6
    6
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 7

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Nilma North Rain Forecast


    Nilma North 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    12
    13
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan16

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 27 January to 31 January, 7 February to 11 February, and 19 February to 23 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 February to 14 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 1 February to 5 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 19 February to 23 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Nilma North Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Jan 12
    16.3 °C 24.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 13
    12.1 °C 31.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jan 14
    14.1 °C 23.3 °C
    0.2 mm
    Friday
    Jan 15
    10.9 °C 19.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Jan 16
    8.7 °C 18.4 °C
    10.8 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Nilma North minimum temp history (38.145°S, 145.9862°E, 105m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 36.8° 11/01/2021 Coldest this month 8.7° 16/01/2021
    Hottest on record 45.1 30/01/2009 Coldest on record 1.8 03/01/2009
    Hottest this year 36.8° 11/01/2021 Coldest this year 8.7° 16/01/2021
    Long term average 26.6° Long term average 12.8°
    Average this month 25.5° Average this month 13.9°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.1° 2009 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 10.5° 1992
    Nilma North rainfall history (38.145°S, 145.9862°E, 105m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 17.6mm 05/01/2021 Total This Month 44.6mm
    5.0 days
    Long Term Average 48.8mm 9.4 days Wettest January on record 200.0mm 1991
    Driest on record 0.0mm 1990
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Nilma North Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 48.8mm 9.4 day(s)
    Total For 2021 44.6mm 5.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 766.0mm 205.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 17.6mm Jan 5
    Lowest Temperature 8.7°C Jan16
    Highest Temperature 36.8°C Jan11
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Nilma North Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.6 26.6 24.5 20.5 16.9 14.2 13.6 14.9 17.0 19.6 22.0 24.3 20.1
    Mean Min (°C) 12.8 12.9 11.3 8.7 6.5 4.5 3.8 4.4 5.9 7.4 9.5 11.2 8.2
    Mean Rain (mm) 48.8 46.0 48.5 57.7 54.1 63.9 65.3 65.4 74.2 72.3 74.4 66.5 735.6
    Mean Rain Days 9.4 8.8 11.6 14.3 17.7 20.1 21.1 19.8 17.5 15.4 13.2 12.3 177.6