Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers
for North Central, North East, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Issued at 05:02 PM EST on Wednesday 24 April 2024
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
North Central, North East, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
The Warning to Sheep Graziers for the North Central, North East, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts has been cancelled.
No further warnings will be issued for this event.
Forecast
Myrtle Creek (36.9512°S, 144.4285°E, 260m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW5° 17° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:30am EST 6:57am EST 5:43pm EST 6:09pm EST NOW9.6° Feels Like: 7.8° Relative Humidity: 73% Dew: 5.0° Wind: SW 4km/h Gust: 6km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
Myrtle CreekNow9.2°cFeels Like:7.9°Wind:N 0km/hGusts:0km/hHumidity:70%5°Min17°MaxToday in Myrtle CreekCloudy. Medium chance of showers in the E, slight chance elsewhere. Light winds becoming W/SW 15 to 20 km/h before dawn then tending S/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to around 6 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 17.Tomorrow5°Min17°MaxCloudy. Medium chance of a shower in the E. Winds SW 15 to 20 km/h turning S during the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 7 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 17. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the E, slight chance elsewhere. Light winds becoming W/SW 15 to 20 km/h before dawn then tending S/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to around 6 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 17.
Forecast for Myrtle Creek (36.9512°S, 144.4285°E, 260m AMSL) Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Summary Minimum 5° 4° 4° 4° 6° 5° 5° Maximum 17° 18° 19° 21° 19° 17° 17° Chance of rain 5% 5% 10% 5% 30% 5% 5% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Slight Slight Slight Slight Nil Slight Slight 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 12
(km/h)15
(km/h)11
(km/h)9
(km/h)3
(km/h)4
(km/h)1
(km/h)7
(km/h)3
(km/h)6
(km/h)19
(km/h)21
(km/h)14
(km/h)18
(km/h)Wind direction SW SW SSW S SSE N NNE NNW WSW SSW S S SSE S Relative humidity 78% 49% 75% 45% 80% 44% 70% 37% 61% 48% 67% 49% 70% 51% Dew point 9°C 5°C 8°C 5°C 9°C 6°C 7°C 5°C 6°C 7°C 6°C 5°C 6°C 6°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Myrtle Creek Rain Forecast
Myrtle Creek 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar202420258575565106876105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Myrtle Creek Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Saturday
Apr 204.5 °C 20.4 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Apr 213.6 °C 21.9 °C 0.4 mmMonday
Apr 222.7 °C - 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 23- 24.9 °C -Wednesday
Apr 247.5 °C 17.1 °C 1.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Myrtle Creek minimum temp history (36.9512°S, 144.4285°E, 260m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 25.2° 01/04/2024 Coldest this month 2.7° 22/04/2024 Hottest on record 33.7 10/04/2005 Coldest on record -1.1 17/04/2006 Hottest this year 38.4° 13/02/2024 Coldest this year 2.2° 21/03/2024 Long term average 20.8° Long term average 7.4° Average this month 21.1° Average this month 7.4° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 24.2° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 5.2° 1999 Myrtle Creek rainfall history (36.9512°S, 144.4285°E, 260m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 51.6mm 02/04/2024 Total This Month 63.8mm
12.0 daysLong Term Average 41.9mm 6.5 days Wettest April on record 242.4mm 1939 Driest on record 0.0mm 1927 -
Year to Date
Myrtle Creek Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 147.4mm 19.5 day(s) Total For 2024 255.8mm 22.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 123.2mm 28.0 day(s) Wettest Day 117.2mm Jan 8 Lowest Temperature 2.2°C Mar21 Highest Temperature 38.4°C Feb13 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Myrtle Creek Climatology
Myrtle Creek Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 29.9 29.1 25.6 20.8 16.1 13.0 12.2 13.7 16.6 19.9 24.0 27.1 20.7 Mean Min (°C) 13.3 13.1 10.8 7.4 5.1 3.8 3.0 3.1 4.2 5.7 8.7 10.3 7.3 Mean Rain (mm) 35.5 35.6 34.4 41.9 55.1 68.1 65.5 60.8 53.8 53.4 41.9 37.6 579.1 Mean Rain Days 4.3 3.8 4.9 6.5 10.4 12.5 14.6 13.4 10.7 9.3 6.9 5.7 103.6