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Forecast

Mt Hotham (36.9786°S, 147.1328°E, 1849m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 13°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:33am EDT 6:59am EDT 7:47pm EDT 8:14pm EDT
    NOW
    9.4° Feels Like: 4.0°
    Relative Humidity: 66%
    Dew: 3.4°
    Wind: NW 20km/h
    Gust: 22km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: &nbsp;
  3. Today Weather

    Mt Hotham
    Now
    10.2°c
    Feels Like:
    4.8°
    Wind:
    NW 20km/h
    Gusts:
    26km/h
    Humidity:
    63%
    Mostly sunny
     
    Min
    13°
    Max
    Today in Mt Hotham
    Sunny. Light winds becoming W/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon then tending S/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 19 and 26.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    Min
    11°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Winds SW 15 to 20 km/h increasing to 30 km/h before turning S/SE 15 to 25 km/h during the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 26.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Mt Hotham

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny. Light winds becoming W/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon then tending S/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 19 and 26.

    Forecast for Mt Hotham (36.9786°S, 147.1328°E, 1849m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Frost then sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower Possible shower Mostly sunny
    Minimum
    Maximum 13° 11° 14° 15° 14° 13° 13°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 20% 50% 40% 60%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High - -
    Frost risk Moderate Moderate High Slight Nil Slight Slight
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 11
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNW W S SSW SE S N NNW NNE NNW SE SW NE WSW
    Relative humidity 66% 68% 75% 61% 66% 57% 70% 65% 71% 78% 88% 73% 82% 66%
    Dew point 3°C 6°C -1°C 2°C -1°C 4°C 3°C 6°C 5°C 8°C 5°C 6°C 3°C 5°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Mt Hotham Rain Forecast


    Mt Hotham 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Apr 1
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar 4

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 12 March to 16 March, 29 March to 2 April, and 5 April to 9 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 March to 15 March, 17 March to 21 March, and 7 April to 11 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 23 March to 27 March, 30 March to 3 April, and 6 April to 10 April.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Mt Hotham Rain Forecast


    Mt Hotham 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2021
    2022
    6
    6
    6
    7
    6
    6
    4
    7
    6
    5
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 5

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Mt Hotham Rain Forecast


    Mt Hotham 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Apr 1
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar 4

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 12 March to 16 March, 29 March to 2 April, and 5 April to 9 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 March to 15 March, 17 March to 21 March, and 7 April to 11 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 23 March to 27 March, 30 March to 3 April, and 6 April to 10 April.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Mt Hotham Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Feb 28
    5.6 °C 16.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Mar 01
    8.8 °C 15.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Mar 02
    -2.1 °C 8.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Mar 03
    -1.0 °C 11.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Mar 04
    2.4 °C 9.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Mt Hotham minimum temp history (36.9786°S, 147.1328°E, 1849m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 15.4° 01/03/2021 Coldest this month -2.1° 02/03/2021
    Hottest on record 24.4 06/03/2016 Coldest on record -4.3 11/03/1991
    Hottest this year 23.6° 24/01/2021 Coldest this year -2.6° 16/01/2021
    Long term average 13.1° Long term average 5.8°
    Average this month 11.6° Average this month 1.9°
    Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 17.0° 2000 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 3.5° 1995
    Mt Hotham rainfall history (36.9786°S, 147.1328°E, 1849m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.0mm 03/03/2021 Total This Month 0.0mm
    0.0 days
    Long Term Average 120.8mm 12.3 days Wettest March on record 336.8mm 2012
    Driest on record 0.8mm 1996
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Mt Hotham Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Mar 323.8mm 34.0 day(s)
    Total For 2021 354.0mm 17.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 0.0mm 0.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 119.0mm Feb 6
    Lowest Temperature -2.6°C Jan16
    Highest Temperature 23.6°C Jan24
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Mt Hotham Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 16.7 16.1 13.1 8.6 4.6 1.6 -0.1 0.5 3.6 7.7 11.3 14.0 8.1
    Mean Min (°C) 8.3 8.0 5.8 2.7 -0.0 -2.2 -3.7 -3.6 -1.7 0.8 3.5 5.8 2.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 101.8 101.2 120.8 106.7 128.9 124.9 156.3 131.0 138.9 127.0 147.4 133.7 1462.4
    Mean Rain Days 10.9 10.8 12.3 12.7 14.7 15.0 17.9 17.8 15.6 13.4 13.2 12.0 164.0