Forecast
Mt Hotham (36.9786°S, 147.1328°E, 1849m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY2° 13° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:33am EDT 6:59am EDT 7:47pm EDT 8:14pm EDT NOW9.4° Feels Like: 4.0° Relative Humidity: 66% Dew: 3.4° Wind: NW 20km/h Gust: 22km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
Mt HothamNow10.2°cFeels Like:4.8°Wind:NW 20km/hGusts:26km/hHumidity:63%2°Min13°MaxToday in Mt HothamSunny. Light winds becoming W/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon then tending S/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 19 and 26.Tomorrow2°Min11°MaxMostly sunny. Winds SW 15 to 20 km/h increasing to 30 km/h before turning S/SE 15 to 25 km/h during the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 26. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Mt Hotham
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7 day forecast
Today: Sunny. Light winds becoming W/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon then tending S/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 19 and 26.
Forecast for Mt Hotham (36.9786°S, 147.1328°E, 1849m AMSL) Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Summary Minimum 2° 2° 1° 5° 8° 5° 4° Maximum 13° 11° 14° 15° 14° 13° 13° Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 20% 50% 40% 60% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High - - Frost risk Moderate Moderate High Slight Nil Slight Slight 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 11
(km/h)15
(km/h)23
(km/h)17
(km/h)19
(km/h)12
(km/h)20
(km/h)17
(km/h)22
(km/h)18
(km/h)18
(km/h)15
(km/h)18
(km/h)14
(km/h)Wind direction NNW W S SSW SE S N NNW NNE NNW SE SW NE WSW Relative humidity 66% 68% 75% 61% 66% 57% 70% 65% 71% 78% 88% 73% 82% 66% Dew point 3°C 6°C -1°C 2°C -1°C 4°C 3°C 6°C 5°C 8°C 5°C 6°C 3°C 5°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Mt Hotham Rain Forecast
Mt Hotham 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT4
5
6
7
8
MEDIUM9
LOW10
LOW11
12
13
LOW14
LOW15
LOW16
17
18
MEDIUM19
LOW20
LOW21
LOW22
LOW23
LOW24
LOW25
26
LOW27
LOW28
LOW29
LOW30
LOW31
LOWApr 1
MEDIUMCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar 4Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 12 March to 16 March, 29 March to 2 April, and 5 April to 9 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 March to 15 March, 17 March to 21 March, and 7 April to 11 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 23 March to 27 March, 30 March to 3 April, and 6 April to 10 April.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Mt Hotham Rain Forecast
Mt Hotham 12-month Rainfall ForecastMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJan2021202266676647656105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Feb 5
ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Mt Hotham Rain Forecast
Mt Hotham 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT4
5
6
7
8
MEDIUM9
LOW10
LOW11
12
13
LOW14
LOW15
LOW16
17
18
MEDIUM19
LOW20
LOW21
LOW22
LOW23
LOW24
LOW25
26
LOW27
LOW28
LOW29
LOW30
LOW31
LOWApr 1
MEDIUMCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar 4Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 12 March to 16 March, 29 March to 2 April, and 5 April to 9 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 March to 15 March, 17 March to 21 March, and 7 April to 11 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 23 March to 27 March, 30 March to 3 April, and 6 April to 10 April.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Mt Hotham Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Sunday
Feb 285.6 °C 16.6 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Mar 018.8 °C 15.4 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Mar 02-2.1 °C 8.8 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Mar 03-1.0 °C 11.2 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Mar 042.4 °C 9.8 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Mt Hotham minimum temp history (36.9786°S, 147.1328°E, 1849m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 15.4° 01/03/2021 Coldest this month -2.1° 02/03/2021 Hottest on record 24.4 06/03/2016 Coldest on record -4.3 11/03/1991 Hottest this year 23.6° 24/01/2021 Coldest this year -2.6° 16/01/2021 Long term average 13.1° Long term average 5.8° Average this month 11.6° Average this month 1.9° Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 17.0° 2000 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 3.5° 1995 Mt Hotham rainfall history (36.9786°S, 147.1328°E, 1849m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 0.0mm 03/03/2021 Total This Month 0.0mm
0.0 daysLong Term Average 120.8mm 12.3 days Wettest March on record 336.8mm 2012 Driest on record 0.8mm 1996 -
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Weather Radar for Australia
Australia Radars
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Year to Date
Mt Hotham Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Mar 323.8mm 34.0 day(s) Total For 2021 354.0mm 17.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2020 0.0mm 0.0 day(s) Wettest Day 119.0mm Feb 6 Lowest Temperature -2.6°C Jan16 Highest Temperature 23.6°C Jan24 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Mt Hotham Climatology
Mt Hotham Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 16.7 16.1 13.1 8.6 4.6 1.6 -0.1 0.5 3.6 7.7 11.3 14.0 8.1 Mean Min (°C) 8.3 8.0 5.8 2.7 -0.0 -2.2 -3.7 -3.6 -1.7 0.8 3.5 5.8 2.0 Mean Rain (mm) 101.8 101.2 120.8 106.7 128.9 124.9 156.3 131.0 138.9 127.0 147.4 133.7 1462.4 Mean Rain Days 10.9 10.8 12.3 12.7 14.7 15.0 17.9 17.8 15.6 13.4 13.2 12.0 164.0