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Forecast

Mt Hotham (36.9786°S, 147.1328°E, 1849m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 19°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:52am EDT 6:21am EDT 8:27pm EDT 8:56pm EDT
    NOW
    12.3° Feels Like: 6.7°
    Relative Humidity: 65%
    Dew: 5.9°
    Wind: NW 24km/h
    Gust: 28km/h
    Rainfall since 9am:  
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Mt Hotham
    Now
    13.5°c
    Feels Like:
    9.3°
    Wind:
    NNW 18km/h
    Gusts:
    24km/h
    Humidity:
    67%
    Mostly sunny
     
    Min
    19°
    Max
    Today in Mt Hotham
    Mostly sunny. The chance of fog in the south in the early morning. Areas of smoke haze near the New South Wales border at night. Light winds becoming W/NW 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching 26 to 34.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    Min
    19°
    Max
    Areas of smoke haze in the early morning. Mostly sunny day. Areas of smoke haze in the evening. Light winds becoming W/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then tending S/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching 25 to 34.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Mt Hotham

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. The chance of fog in the south in the early morning. Areas of smoke haze near the New South Wales border at night. Light winds becoming W/NW 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching 26 to 34.

    Forecast for Mt Hotham (36.9786°S, 147.1328°E, 1849m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Sunny Sunny Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm
    Minimum 10° 15° 17° 18° 14°
    Maximum 19° 19° 23° 25° 26° 24° 17°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 5% 30% 60% 70%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm 5-10mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 27
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    31
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNW WNW WNW W W WSW N NNW NNE NNW NNW NNW NW WNW
    Relative humidity 72% 46% 61% 46% 52% 38% 54% 38% 50% 43% 57% 52% 80% 68%
    Dew point 8°C 7°C 5°C 7°C 6°C 8°C 9°C 10°C 9°C 13°C 10°C 13°C 12°C 11°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Mt Hotham Rain Forecast


    Mt Hotham 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan26

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 31 January to 4 February, 22 February to 26 February, and 27 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 February to 13 February, and 13 February to 17 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 31 January to 4 February, 18 February to 22 February, and 22 February to 26 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Mt Hotham Rain Forecast


    Mt Hotham 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    5
    6
    6
    6
    6
    8
    6
    8
    4
    2
    6
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Mt Hotham Rain Forecast


    Mt Hotham 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan26

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 31 January to 4 February, 22 February to 26 February, and 27 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 February to 13 February, and 13 February to 17 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 31 January to 4 February, 18 February to 22 February, and 22 February to 26 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Mt Hotham Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Jan 22
    7.0 °C 17.7 °C
    -
    Thursday
    Jan 23
    8.6 °C 9.1 °C
    -
    Friday
    Jan 24
    1.2 °C 11.9 °C
    -
    Saturday
    Jan 25
    3.1 °C 17.3 °C
    -
    Sunday
    Jan 26
    8.4 °C 18 °C
    -
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Mt Hotham minimum temp history (36.9786°S, 147.1328°E, 1849m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 28.2° 04/01/2020 Coldest this month 0.6° 12/01/2020
    Hottest on record 28.1 16/01/2014 Coldest on record -3.7 02/01/2009
    Hottest this year 28.2° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 0.6° 12/01/2020
    Long term average 16.5° Long term average 8.1°
    Average this month 17.4° Average this month 7.3°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 18.8° 2013 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 5.4° 1992
    Mt Hotham rainfall history (36.9786°S, 147.1328°E, 1849m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month mm Total This Month mm
    0.0 days
    Long Term Average 109.8mm 11.0 days Wettest January on record 182.8mm 2013
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Mt Hotham Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 109.8mm 11.0 day(s)
    Total For 2020 mm 0.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 23.2mm 9.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day mm
    Lowest Temperature 0.6°C Jan12
    Highest Temperature 28.2°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Mt Hotham Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 16.5 16.0 13.1 8.4 4.6 1.5 -0.1 0.6 3.4 7.5 11.3 13.8 8.1
    Mean Min (°C) 8.1 8.1 5.8 2.5 -0.1 -2.2 -3.6 -3.4 -1.6 0.7 3.5 5.6 2.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 109.8 107.4 121.9 113.6 151.0 139.6 142.1 134.8 145.0 132.6 155.2 133.1 1585.3
    Mean Rain Days 11.0 10.9 12.2 12.8 14.7 15.0 18.4 17.0 15.1 13.3 12.5 11.3 150.3