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Forecast

Mt Hotham (36.9786°S, 147.1328°E, 1849m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Windy with snow -1°
    windy with snow
    Chance of rain: 70%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:35am EST 6:01am EST 6:08pm EST 6:34pm EST
    NOW
    0.0° Feels Like: -10.3°
    Relative Humidity: 100%
    Dew: 0.0°
    Wind: N 43km/h
    Gust: 57km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 1.4mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Mt Hotham
    Now
    0.3°c
    Feels Like:
    -11.0°
    Wind:
    NW 48km/h
    Gusts:
    67km/h
    Humidity:
    99%
    Windy with snow
     
    -1°
    Min
    Max
    Today in Mt Hotham
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers in the south, medium chance elsewhere. Snow falling above 1300 metres. Gusty winds in the S early this evening. Winds NW 25 to 35 km/h.
    Tomorrow
    Snow
    -4°
    Min
    -1°
    Max
    Cloudy. The chance of morning fog in the north. High chance of showers, most likely from the late morning. Snow falling above 1100 metres. The chance of a thunderstorm in the late morning and afternoon. Winds NW 20 to 30 km/h turning W 15 to 25 km/h in the late morning and early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to around 4 with daytime temperatures reaching between 7 and 15.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of showers in the south, medium chance elsewhere. Snow falling above 1300 metres. Gusty winds in the S early this evening. Winds NW 25 to 35 km/h.

    Forecast for Mt Hotham (36.9786°S, 147.1328°E, 1849m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Windy with snow Snow Snow Snow Snow Cloudy Frost then sunny
    Minimum -1° -4° -5° -4° -5° -6° -3°
    Maximum -1° -2° -3° -1°
    Chance of rain 70% 60% 70% 70% 60% 20% 5%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - -
    Frost risk Severe Severe Severe Severe Severe Severe Severe
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 33
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNW NNW NW WNW WNW NNW N NW WSW WSW SSW SW NNW NNW
    Relative humidity 99% 99% 93% 91% 83% 75% 93% 91% 87% 79% 81% 65% 71% 58%
    Dew point 0°C 0°C -5°C -4°C -8°C -8°C -5°C -7°C -7°C -6°C -8°C -6°C -3°C -4°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Mt Hotham Rain Forecast


    Mt Hotham 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    22
    HIGH
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    28
    29
    30
    LOW
    Oct 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    HIGH
    12
    HIGH
    13
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 28 September to 2 October, 12 October to 16 October, and 24 October to 28 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 18 October to 22 October, and 25 October to 29 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 28 September to 2 October, 19 October to 23 October, and 24 October to 28 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Mt Hotham Rain Forecast


    Mt Hotham 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    2020
    2021
    4
    7
    7
    8
    7
    7
    7
    4
    3
    7
    4
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Sep 9

    ENSO status: La Niña Alert IOD status: Negative SAM status: Negative trending positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific have continued to cool through August, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.5. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 9.8 in the same month, a significant increase compared to July, tipping over the La Niña threshold of +7. The current outlook suggests that cooler than average SSTs will continue across the equatorial pacific during the Austral spring, with a high chance of a weak La Niña forming. All eight international models continue to suggest further cooling during spring, with three of these indicating La Niña conditions in September. A further two exceeding the La Niña threshold in October, with six of the eight indicating La Niña by November. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 57:41 chance for La Niña:Neutral conditions by the end of the Australspring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has shifted into a negative phase. Four of the six international models indicate a negative IOD to be sustained for the duration of the Austral spring, with the remaining two indicating a neutral phase. Both of the models that indicate a neutral phase trend towards the negative side of neutral. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the current short term outlook favours above average rainfall over the interior over the remainder of the first month of spring, particularly eastern WA and the Kimberley, western NT and western SA Above average rainfall is also favoured, although not as pronounced, over inland NSW and QLD and parts of the NSW and VIC coastal area. Drier than average conditions are expected across western WA as well as parts of northern coastal QLD and parts of the southeast. The remainder of spring is then likely to be wetter than average for NSW, QLD, VIC, SA, TAS, the NT and eastern WA, whilst drier than averageconditions look to persist further west. There are then indications of increased rainfall over WA toward the end of spring and into early summer, with the eastern two thirds of the country remaining wetter than average.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Mt Hotham Rain Forecast


    Mt Hotham 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    22
    HIGH
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    28
    29
    30
    LOW
    Oct 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    HIGH
    12
    HIGH
    13
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 28 September to 2 October, 12 October to 16 October, and 24 October to 28 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 18 October to 22 October, and 25 October to 29 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 28 September to 2 October, 19 October to 23 October, and 24 October to 28 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Mt Hotham Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Sep 18
    2.6 °C 8.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Sep 19
    6.2 °C 11.5 °C
    0.2 mm
    Sunday
    Sep 20
    5.5 °C 6.6 °C
    18.4 mm
    Monday
    Sep 21
    5.0 °C 7.4 °C
    6.2 mm
    Tuesday
    Sep 22
    -0.9 °C 1.2 °C
    16.6 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Mt Hotham minimum temp history (36.9786°S, 147.1328°E, 1849m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 11.5° 19/09/2020 Coldest this month -4.4° 01/09/2020
    Hottest on record 13.7 30/09/2001 Coldest on record -9.2 28/09/2003
    Hottest this year 28.2° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year -7.9° 05/08/2020
    Long term average 3.4° Long term average -1.6°
    Average this month 6.4° Average this month 0.9°
    Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 5.3° 2013 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. -3.5° 2003
    Mt Hotham rainfall history (36.9786°S, 147.1328°E, 1849m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 18.4mm 20/09/2020 Total This Month 58.4mm
    9.0 days
    Long Term Average 145.0mm 15.1 days Wettest September on record 358.6mm 1998
    Driest on record 0.0mm 1996
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Mt Hotham Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Sep 1165.2mm 127.1 day(s)
    Total For 2020 1176.0mm 54.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 428.0mm 91.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 822.8mm Jul10
    Lowest Temperature -7.9°C Aug 5
    Highest Temperature 28.2°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Mt Hotham Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 16.5 16.0 13.1 8.4 4.6 1.5 -0.1 0.6 3.4 7.5 11.3 13.8 8.1
    Mean Min (°C) 8.1 8.1 5.8 2.5 -0.1 -2.2 -3.6 -3.4 -1.6 0.7 3.5 5.6 2.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 109.8 107.4 121.9 113.6 151.0 139.6 142.1 134.8 145.0 132.6 155.2 133.1 1585.3
    Mean Rain Days 11.0 10.9 12.2 12.8 14.7 15.0 18.4 17.0 15.1 13.3 12.5 11.3 150.3