Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Warning to Sheep Graziers
for North Central, South West, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Issued at 10:46 PM EST on Tuesday 23 April 2024
Warnings for Wednesday 24 April
Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
North Central, South West, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, showers and southwesterly winds are expected during Wednesday. Areas likely to be affected include the West and South Gippsland forecast district and parts of the North Central, South West and Central forecast districts. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.
The next warning will be issued by 5:00 am EST Wednesday.
Forecast
Malvern North (37.8614°S, 145.0285°E, 45m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY11° 16° clearing shower Chance of rain: 40% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:28am EST 6:55am EST 5:41pm EST 6:08pm EST NOW11.3° Feels Like: 9.2° Relative Humidity: 84% Dew: 8.7° Wind: NW 9km/h Gust: 11km/h Rainfall since 9am: 5.4mm Pressure: 1017.0hPa -
Today Weather
Malvern NorthNow10.2°cFeels Like:7.8°Wind:NW 13km/hGusts:17km/hHumidity:100%11°Min16°MaxToday in Malvern NorthPartly cloudy. Very high chance of showers about the Dandenongs, medium chance elsewhere. Winds W/SW 20 to 30 km/h.Tomorrow10°Min16°MaxCloudy. Very high chance of showers about the Dandenongs, high chance elsewhere. Winds W 15 to 25 km/h tending SW 20 to 30 km/h in the morning. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Very high chance of showers about the Dandenongs, medium chance elsewhere. Winds W/SW 20 to 30 km/h.
Forecast for Malvern North (37.8614°S, 145.0285°E, 45m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 11° 10° 11° 10° 10° 12° 10° Maximum 16° 16° 16° 17° 20° 17° 17° Chance of rain 40% 70% 30% 5% 20% 50% 30% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Low Low Low Moderate Moderate Low Low Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate No Rating No Rating - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 14
(km/h)15
(km/h)12
(km/h)16
(km/h)8
(km/h)10
(km/h)1
(km/h)3
(km/h)5
(km/h)6
(km/h)6
(km/h)13
(km/h)10
(km/h)15
(km/h)Wind direction WSW SW WSW SW WSW SW NNW SSW NNE NW NW SSW SSE S Relative humidity 74% 54% 79% 61% 79% 69% 83% 61% 74% 47% 62% 63% 69% 63% Dew point 8°C 6°C 9°C 8°C 9°C 9°C 9°C 9°C 9°C 8°C 8°C 9°C 7°C 9°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Malvern North Rain Forecast
Malvern North 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar202420259465465106775105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Malvern North Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Apr 1912.0 °C 18.9 °C 6.0 mmSaturday
Apr 208.5 °C 17.4 °C 0.2 mmSunday
Apr 2110.8 °C 16.4 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 226.9 °C 24.3 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 2310.3 °C 25.3 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Malvern North minimum temp history (37.8614°S, 145.0285°E, 45m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 28.2° 01/04/2024 Coldest this month 6.9° 22/04/2024 Hottest on record 34.9 05/04/1938 Coldest on record 1.5 24/04/1888 Hottest this year 37.6° 09/03/2024 Coldest this year 6.9° 22/04/2024 Long term average 20.3° Long term average 10.9° Average this month 19.7° Average this month 11.6° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 24.1° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 8.5° 1888 Malvern North rainfall history (37.8614°S, 145.0285°E, 45m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 53.2mm 02/04/2024 Total This Month 118.0mm
14.0 daysLong Term Average 57.7mm 11.7 days Wettest April on record 195.0mm 1960 Driest on record 0.0mm 1923 -
Year to Date
Malvern North Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 201.2mm 36.7 day(s) Total For 2024 235.8mm 35.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 194.6mm 40.0 day(s) Wettest Day 53.2mm Apr 2 Lowest Temperature 6.9°C Apr22 Highest Temperature 37.6°C Mar 9 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Malvern North Climatology
Malvern North Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 26.0 25.8 23.9 20.3 16.8 14.1 13.5 15.0 17.3 19.7 22.0 24.2 19.9 Mean Min (°C) 14.5 14.7 13.3 10.9 8.7 7.0 6.1 6.8 8.1 9.6 11.3 13.0 10.3 Mean Rain (mm) 48.0 46.3 49.2 57.7 55.5 48.6 47.0 49.9 57.1 65.8 59.9 58.7 643.6 Mean Rain Days 8.3 7.3 9.4 11.7 14.6 15.4 16.1 16.1 14.7 14.1 11.8 10.3 149.7