Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Warning to Sheep Graziers
for North Central, South West, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Issued at 11:03 AM EST on Tuesday 23 April 2024
Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
North Central, South West, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, showers and southwesterly winds are expected during Tuesday and Wednesday. Areas likely to be affected include the Central forecast district and parts of the North Central, South West and West and South Gippsland forecast districts. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.
The next warning will be issued by 5:00 pm EST Tuesday.
Forecast
Lynbrook (38.0505°S, 145.2575°E, 34m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY11° 23° mostly cloudy Chance of rain: 90% Likely amount: 5-10mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:26am EST 6:53am EST 5:41pm EST 6:08pm EST NOW23.2° Feels Like: 19.7° Relative Humidity: 36% Dew: 7.3° Wind: N 15km/h Gust: 26km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1013.4hPa -
Today Weather
LynbrookNow24.0°cFeels Like:17.4°Wind:N 30km/hGusts:41km/hHumidity:32%11°Min23°MaxToday in LynbrookMostly sunny day. Very high chance of showers this evening. Winds N 25 to 40 km/h decreasing to 20 to 30 km/h in the evening then shifting SW 25 to 35 km/h in the late evening.Tomorrow9°Min15°MaxPartly cloudy. Very high chance of showers about the Dandenongs, high chance elsewhere. Winds W/SW 20 to 30 km/h. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Mostly sunny day. Very high chance of showers this evening. Winds N 25 to 40 km/h decreasing to 20 to 30 km/h in the evening then shifting SW 25 to 35 km/h in the late evening.
Forecast for Lynbrook (38.0505°S, 145.2575°E, 34m AMSL) Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Summary Minimum 11° 9° 9° 9° 7° 7° 8° Maximum 23° 15° 15° 16° 16° 17° 17° Chance of rain 90% 60% 70% 40% 5% 30% 80% Likely amount 5-10mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating High Moderate Moderate Moderate No Rating - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 17
(km/h)22
(km/h)16
(km/h)19
(km/h)14
(km/h)17
(km/h)7
(km/h)10
(km/h)5
(km/h)6
(km/h)8
(km/h)9
(km/h)10
(km/h)12
(km/h)Wind direction N N WSW WSW W WSW WSW SW NNW W N WNW NW SSW Relative humidity 53% 42% 70% 59% 83% 67% 81% 71% 85% 64% 78% 54% 75% 72% Dew point 6°C 10°C 6°C 7°C 10°C 9°C 10°C 10°C 8°C 9°C 8°C 8°C 10°C 12°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Lynbrook Rain Forecast
Lynbrook 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar202420259465465106775105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Lynbrook Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Apr 1910.8 °C 18.5 °C 3.4 mmSaturday
Apr 208.7 °C 17.3 °C 1.8 mmSunday
Apr 219.0 °C 16.7 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 226.7 °C 23.5 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 2310.3 °C 24.9 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Lynbrook minimum temp history (38.0505°S, 145.2575°E, 34m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 29.9° 01/04/2024 Coldest this month 5.0° 22/04/2024 Hottest on record 34.9 10/04/2005 Coldest on record 1.0 29/04/1999 Hottest this year 38.2° 13/02/2024 Coldest this year 5.0° 22/04/2024 Long term average 20.2° Long term average 10.6° Average this month 19.6° Average this month 10.8° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 23.2° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 7.7° 1999 Lynbrook rainfall history (38.0505°S, 145.2575°E, 34m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 58.6mm 02/04/2024 Total This Month 126.0mm
13.0 daysLong Term Average 62.3mm 11.7 days Wettest April on record 158.8mm 2001 Driest on record 8.2mm 1963 -
Year to Date
Lynbrook Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 196.2mm 35.9 day(s) Total For 2024 296.6mm 33.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 174.2mm 39.0 day(s) Wettest Day 58.6mm Apr 2 Lowest Temperature 5.0°C Apr22 Highest Temperature 38.2°C Feb13 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Lynbrook Climatology
Lynbrook Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 26.0 26.0 23.8 20.2 17.1 14.3 13.8 14.9 17.1 19.3 21.7 24.0 19.9 Mean Min (°C) 14.4 14.4 13.1 10.6 8.7 6.7 6.2 7.0 8.1 9.4 11.2 12.8 10.2 Mean Rain (mm) 45.2 44.2 44.5 62.3 67.2 56.5 60.7 65.3 63.3 71.0 64.7 60.9 701.8 Mean Rain Days 7.8 7.0 9.4 11.7 15.1 15.6 17.4 17.2 14.4 13.9 12.3 10.2 151.3