Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Warning to Sheep Graziers
for North East forecast district
Issued at 04:41 AM EST on Saturday 27 April 2024
Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
North East forecast district
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures and southeasterly winds are expected during Saturday morning. Areas likely to be affected include parts of the North East forecast district. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 am EST Saturday.
Forecast
Longwood East (36.8197°S, 145.4426°E, 194m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY5° 20° Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:29am EST 6:55am EST 5:38pm EST 6:05pm EST NOW13.7° Feels Like: 11.0° Relative Humidity: 66% Dew: 7.5° Wind: N 11km/h Gust: 13km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1027.3hPa -
Today Weather
Longwood EastNow13.7°cFeels Like:11.6°Wind:E 7km/hGusts:9km/hHumidity:64%5°Min20°MaxToday in Longwood EastSunny. Patches of frost and the chance of fog this morning, mainly in the E. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures between 18 and 22.Tomorrow6°Min22°MaxPartly cloudy. Light winds becoming N/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then tending N/NW in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to around 6 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Sunny. Patches of frost and the chance of fog this morning, mainly in the E. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures between 18 and 22.
Forecast for Longwood East (36.8197°S, 145.4426°E, 194m AMSL) Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Summary Minimum 5° 6° 7° 7° 6° 6° 6° Maximum 20° 22° 19° 16° 18° 18° 17° Chance of rain 5% 5% 20% 5% 5% 5% 5% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating No Rating Moderate Moderate High No Rating - - Frost risk Slight Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 0
(km/h)11
(km/h)9
(km/h)17
(km/h)4
(km/h)19
(km/h)28
(km/h)28
(km/h)12
(km/h)15
(km/h)9
(km/h)11
(km/h)7
(km/h)12
(km/h)Wind direction SE NNE NE N E SSW S S S S S SSW S S Relative humidity 81% 42% 75% 41% 74% 60% 66% 44% 75% 41% 80% 42% 80% 43% Dew point 7°C 6°C 8°C 7°C 8°C 9°C 5°C 3°C 7°C 4°C 8°C 4°C 7°C 4°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Longwood East Rain Forecast
Longwood East 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar202420257585656106996105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Longwood East Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Tuesday
Apr 232.6 °C 26.0 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Apr 244.3 °C 16.4 °C 3.6 mmThursday
Apr 251.9 °C 17.6 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Apr 264.0 °C 16.5 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Apr 273.1 °C 13.9 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Longwood East minimum temp history (36.8197°S, 145.4426°E, 194m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 26.9° 01/04/2024 Coldest this month 1.9° 25/04/2024 Hottest on record 35.5 04/04/1986 Coldest on record -1.1 27/04/1978 Hottest this year 38.3° 13/02/2024 Coldest this year 1.9° 25/04/2024 Long term average 21.5° Long term average 8.8° Average this month 20.6° Average this month 8.0° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 25.0° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 6.2° 1995 Longwood East rainfall history (36.8197°S, 145.4426°E, 194m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 35.0mm 02/04/2024 Total This Month 50.8mm
9.0 daysLong Term Average 40.5mm 7.0 days Wettest April on record 164.6mm 1974 Driest on record 1.2mm 2019 -
Year to Date
Longwood East Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 152.4mm 22.9 day(s) Total For 2024 253.8mm 20.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 139.6mm 27.0 day(s) Wettest Day 83.0mm Jan 8 Lowest Temperature 1.9°C Apr25 Highest Temperature 38.3°C Feb13 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Longwood East Climatology
Longwood East Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 29.8 29.4 26.3 21.5 16.7 13.5 12.7 14.3 17.0 20.6 24.4 27.6 21.1 Mean Min (°C) 14.4 14.4 12.3 8.8 6.0 4.0 3.3 3.9 5.3 7.4 10.1 12.2 8.5 Mean Rain (mm) 44.2 33.4 34.3 40.5 52.3 54.8 55.9 60.3 54.1 49.5 48.6 40.6 565.9 Mean Rain Days 5.2 4.8 5.9 7.0 11.6 14.0 16.2 15.1 11.5 10.1 8.1 7.0 116.5