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Forecast

Lillicur (37.1653°S, 143.5545°E, 252m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 16° 39°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 30%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:28am EDT 5:58am EDT 8:36pm EDT 9:07pm EDT
    NOW
    16.0° Feels Like: 11.4°
    Relative Humidity: 52%
    Dew: 6.2°
    Wind: NE 19km/h
    Gust: 20km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1015.2hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Lillicur
    Now
    21.6°c
    Feels Like:
    15.2°
    Wind:
    NNE 22km/h
    Gusts:
    32km/h
    Humidity:
    22%
    Mostly sunny
     
    16°
    Min
    39°
    Max
    Today in Lillicur
    Mostly sunny. Winds NE 15 to 25 km/h tending N 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then shifting S/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 15 with daytime temperatures reaching 33 to 40.
    Tomorrow
    Increasing sunshine
    13°
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Winds S 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching 20 to 28.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Lillicur

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Winds NE 15 to 25 km/h tending N 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then shifting S/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 15 with daytime temperatures reaching 33 to 40.

    Forecast for Lillicur (37.1653°S, 143.5545°E, 252m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Mostly sunny Increasing sunshine Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 16° 13° 10° 11°
    Maximum 39° 27° 26° 23° 23° 26° 27°
    Chance of rain 30% 5% 10% 10% 5% 20% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Very High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 13
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NE NNW SSW SSW S SSW SW SW SW SW WSW WSW WSW WSW
    Relative humidity 35% 11% 63% 32% 59% 31% 64% 35% 59% 34% 66% 39% 60% 31%
    Dew point 9°C 3°C 9°C 9°C 7°C 8°C 9°C 7°C 5°C 6°C 9°C 10°C 9°C 8°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Lillicur Rain Forecast


    Lillicur 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    LOW
    31
    Jan 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 8

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 December to 20 December, 28 December to 1 January, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 13 December to 17 December, 17 December to 21 December, and 8 January to 12 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 15 December to 19 December, and 4 January to 8 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Lillicur Rain Forecast


    Lillicur 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    2019
    2020
    4
    6
    6
    6
    5
    5
    7
    4
    5
    5
    5
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Lillicur Rain Forecast


    Lillicur 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    LOW
    31
    Jan 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 8

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 December to 20 December, 28 December to 1 January, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 13 December to 17 December, 17 December to 21 December, and 8 January to 12 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 15 December to 19 December, and 4 January to 8 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Lillicur Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Dec 04
    10.7 °C 24.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Dec 05
    7.2 °C 26.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Dec 06
    10.4 °C 22.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Dec 07
    7.0 °C 26.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Dec 08
    7.8 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Lillicur minimum temp history (37.1653°S, 143.5545°E, 252m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 26.0° 05/12/2019 Coldest this month 7.0° 07/12/2019
    Hottest on record 43.7 31/12/2005 Coldest on record 0.8 30/12/1969
    Hottest this year 44.8° 25/01/2019 Coldest this year -1.4° 24/06/2019
    Long term average 26.4° Long term average 11.4°
    Average this month 21.2° Average this month 8.5°
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.9° 2015 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 9.1° 1996
    Lillicur rainfall history (37.1653°S, 143.5545°E, 252m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 2.0mm 02/12/2019 Total This Month 3.6mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 36.5mm 6.1 days Wettest December on record 178.4mm 2015
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Lillicur Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Dec 518.2mm 108.4 day(s)
    Total For 2019 345.6mm 126.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 382.2mm 124.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 31.0mm May10
    Lowest Temperature -1.4°C Jun24
    Highest Temperature 44.8°C Jan25
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Lillicur Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 28.8 28.9 25.5 20.8 16.3 13.1 12.3 13.9 16.5 20.0 23.4 26.4 20.5
    Mean Min (°C) 13.3 13.6 11.7 8.5 6.1 4.1 3.4 3.9 5.4 7.2 9.6 11.4 8.2
    Mean Rain (mm) 30.8 31.1 30.6 38.8 48.2 54.9 52.9 55.2 51.9 48.4 38.9 36.5 517.7
    Mean Rain Days 4.5 4.3 5.3 7.0 10.5 13.3 14.4 14.2 11.6 9.9 7.3 6.1 107.7