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Forecast

Leongatha North (38.4479°S, 145.9511°E, 48m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible thunderstorm 21°
    possible thunderstorm
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 20-40mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:52am EDT 6:20am EDT 7:44pm EDT 8:12pm EDT
    NOW
    11.3° Feels Like: 10.4°
    Relative Humidity: 94%
    Dew: 10.4°
    Wind: E 6km/h
    Gust: 7km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1013.1hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Leongatha North
    Now
    12.3°c
    Feels Like:
    10.4°
    Wind:
    E 13km/h
    Gusts:
    22km/h
    Humidity:
    98%
    Possible thunderstorm
     
    Min
    21°
    Max
    Today in Leongatha North
    Humid. Cloudy. Areas of fog in the early morning. Very high (near 100%) chance of rain in the afternoon and evening, with heavy falls possible in the SW. Isolated thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening. Winds NW/NE 15 to 20 km/h tending NE/SE in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 8 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 25.
    Tomorrow
    Rain
    10°
    Min
    14°
    Max
    Cloudy. Very high (near 100%) chance of rain, mostly in the morning and afternoon. Snow above 1300 metres late. The chance of thunderstorms in the morning and afternoon. Heavy falls possible. Winds SW 25 to 35 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 12 with daytime temperatures reaching between 14 and 18.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Humid. Cloudy. Areas of fog in the early morning. Very high (near 100%) chance of rain in the afternoon and evening, with heavy falls possible in the SW. Isolated thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening. Winds NW/NE 15 to 20 km/h tending NE/SE in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 8 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 25.

    Forecast for Leongatha North (38.4479°S, 145.9511°E, 48m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Possible thunderstorm Rain Possible shower Cloudy Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 10° 10° 10°
    Maximum 21° 14° 13° 15° 16° 18° 17°
    Chance of rain 90% 60% 30% 30% 30% 50% 50%
    Likely amount 20-40mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index High High High High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 4
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    Wind direction E SE SW SW SSE SE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE SE SE SSE
    Relative humidity 80% 73% 81% 61% 62% 58% 58% 52% 67% 58% 72% 59% 72% 61%
    Dew point 11°C 15°C 10°C 5°C 3°C 4°C 4°C 4°C 6°C 7°C 9°C 9°C 9°C 8°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Leongatha North Rain Forecast


    Leongatha North 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    HIGH
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    HIGH
    27
    HIGH
    28
    HIGH
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Nov 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    HIGH
    20
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 28 October to 1 November, 14 November to 18 November, and 19 November to 23 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 28 October to 1 November, 16 November to 20 November, and 25 November to 29 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 October to 2 November, 16 November to 20 November, and 24 November to 28 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Leongatha North Rain Forecast


    Leongatha North 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    2020
    2021
    8
    7
    8
    8
    8
    8
    6
    3
    8
    5
    4
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Oct 8

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Negative SAM status: Positive La Niña thresholds have been met due to continued cooling in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific waters in the last month. The atmospheric and ocean conditions have both exceeded La Niña thresholds, with the current Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.68 and the Southern Oscillation Index is +9.5, now well over the La Niña threshold of +7. The majority of models predict that La Niña will peak in December, with all eight models predicting the event will last until January and 5 of 8 models to February. During this month’s model run, the strength of the La Niña event has increased since last month, however at this stage the event is not expected to be as strong as the 2010-2012 La Niña. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has shifted into a negative phase, which is likely to continue through October. Three of six international models indicate a negative IOD to be sustained for the duration of November, beforebecoming neutral in December. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. The combination of La Niña and negative IOD conditions increase the likelihood of above normal precipitation in spring and summer across much of Australia. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the remainder of spring looks wetter than normal for much of Australia. However, normal to below normal precipitation is forecast for parts of western WA and western TAS. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal including western WA during these months. Western TAS precipitation outlook continues to be normal through summer. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brings an early start to the northern wet season.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Leongatha North Rain Forecast


    Leongatha North 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    HIGH
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    HIGH
    27
    HIGH
    28
    HIGH
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Nov 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    HIGH
    20
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 28 October to 1 November, 14 November to 18 November, and 19 November to 23 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 28 October to 1 November, 16 November to 20 November, and 25 November to 29 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 October to 2 November, 16 November to 20 November, and 24 November to 28 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Leongatha North Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Oct 18
    10.4 °C 14.7 °C
    0.2 mm
    Monday
    Oct 19
    7.5 °C 16.2 °C
    0.6 mm
    Tuesday
    Oct 20
    4.8 °C 15.2 °C
    0.2 mm
    Wednesday
    Oct 21
    11.0 °C 16.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Oct 22
    4.5 °C 17.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Leongatha North minimum temp history (38.4479°S, 145.9511°E, 48m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month - Coldest this month 5.1° 12/10/2020
    Hottest on record 34.0 12/10/2006 Coldest on record 0.0 16/10/1984
    Hottest this year 41.0° 02/02/2020 Coldest this year 2.0° 29/06/2020
    Long term average 18.2° Long term average 8.8°
    Average this month - Average this month 9.1°
    Hottest October On Record Avg. max. temp. 19.5° 2014 Coldest October on record Avg. min. temp. 7.4° 1982
    Leongatha North rainfall history (38.4479°S, 145.9511°E, 48m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 22.0mm 19/10/2020 Total This Month 84.6mm
    9.0 days
    Long Term Average 87.1mm 13.5 days Wettest October on record 164.6mm 2000
    Driest on record 4.0mm 1914
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Leongatha North Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Oct 800.9mm 129.3 day(s)
    Total For 2020 898.2mm 134.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 759.4mm 126.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 53.4mm Apr 6
    Lowest Temperature 2.0°C Jun29
    Highest Temperature 41.0°C Feb 2
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Leongatha North Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 23.9 24.6 22.8 19.7 16.7 14.2 13.5 14.5 16.1 18.2 20.0 22.0 18.8
    Mean Min (°C) 13.1 13.4 12.3 10.4 8.7 6.7 6.2 6.8 7.8 8.8 10.4 11.7 9.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 48.2 44.9 60.1 78.0 98.2 95.9 98.9 100.8 88.8 87.1 68.9 60.1 930.1
    Mean Rain Days 7.7 6.9 9.5 12.2 15.1 15.5 17.1 16.9 14.9 13.5 11.0 9.4 146.6