Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Frost Warning
for Northern Country, North Central and North East forecast districts
Issued at 04:47 PM EST on Wednesday 01 May 2024
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Please be aware
Temperatures at ground level can be many degrees lower than those recorded
by standard weather stations, especially in calm conditions with very clear skies.
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Frost Warning for the following areas:
Northern Country, North Central and North East forecast districts
Frosts with temperatures down to -1 degrees are forecast for Thursday morning in parts of the Northern Country, North Central and North East forecast districts.
No further warnings will be issued for this event.
Forecast
Lawrence (37.3136°S, 143.9082°E, 401m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY6° 16° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:39am EST 7:06am EST 5:37pm EST 6:04pm EST NOW9.1° Feels Like: 4.2° Relative Humidity: 89% Dew: 7.4° Wind: SE 22km/h Gust: 28km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1032.2hPa -
Today Weather
LawrenceNow9.2°cFeels Like:6.3°Wind:S 11km/hGusts:17km/hHumidity:85%6°Min16°MaxToday in LawrencePartly cloudy. Areas of morning fog, most likely around the ranges and in the E suburbs. Slight chance of a shower near the Otways. Winds S/SE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 15 and 18.Tomorrow4°Min17°MaxThe chance of morning fog. Mostly sunny afternoon. Light winds becoming SE 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 3 and 8 with daytime temperatures reaching between 16 and 19. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Areas of morning fog, most likely around the ranges and in the E suburbs. Slight chance of a shower near the Otways. Winds S/SE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 15 and 18.
Forecast for Lawrence (37.3136°S, 143.9082°E, 401m AMSL) Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Summary Minimum 6° 4° 5° 5° 7° 5° 5° Maximum 16° 17° 17° 17° 17° 18° 17° Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 10% 10% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate No Rating No Rating No Rating - - Frost risk Nil Slight Slight Slight Nil Slight Slight 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 22
(km/h)16
(km/h)9
(km/h)9
(km/h)12
(km/h)12
(km/h)13
(km/h)21
(km/h)21
(km/h)18
(km/h)13
(km/h)11
(km/h)11
(km/h)11
(km/h)Wind direction SE SSE E W SE SW SSE SSE SE SSE NNE NNE ENE SSW Relative humidity 84% 54% 78% 47% 78% 47% 86% 59% 86% 57% 78% 51% 79% 55% Dew point 8°C 6°C 6°C 5°C 5°C 5°C 7°C 8°C 8°C 7°C 7°C 7°C 7°C 7°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Lawrence Rain Forecast
Lawrence 12-month Rainfall ForecastMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar20242025565465106874105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued May 1
ENSO status: Inactive. IOD status: Neutral, becoming positive. SAM status: Neutral, favouring positive in winter. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an inactive phase. Ocean cooling is occurring in the eastern Pacific, with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop in 2024. Warmer than normal waters are situated in the Coral Sea, providing moisture and humidity to the east coast. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are at record levels in the western Indian Ocean, and the IOD index is spiking in response. Persistent southeasterly winds have set in over the eastern Indian Ocean, signalling that the atmosphere is starting to respond to the ocean patterns. A burst of tropical activity expected in mid-May could make-or-break this event, as tropical activity in certainlocations could either strengthen or hinder the development of a positive IOD. If this tropical activity is favourable for a positive IOD, significant upwelling near Indonesia may occur as soon as late-May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral but is expected to favour a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east, while cooling temperatures. A positive SAM reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia, particularly for southwest WA. Rainfall outlooks are showing slightly below average rainfall over winter for WA, and the southwest coasts of SA, Vic and Tas. Conversely, above average rainfall is expected for eastern parts of Qld and NSW, and potentially eastern Tas.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Lawrence Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Saturday
Apr 276.0 °C 15.7 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Apr 283.9 °C 18.7 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 298.1 °C 14.9 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 304.5 °C - 0.0 mmWednesday
May 016.9 °C 15.5 °C -Legend -
Almanac
Almanac
Lawrence minimum temp history (37.3136°S, 143.9082°E, 401m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 15.5° 01/05/2024 Coldest this month 6.9° 01/05/2024 Hottest on record 26.1 01/05/1988 Coldest on record -4.5 21/05/1990 Hottest this year 36.9° 09/03/2024 Coldest this year 2.5° 21/03/2024 Long term average 13.9° Long term average 5.6° Average this month 15.5° Average this month 6.9° Hottest May On Record Avg. max. temp. 16.5° 1985 Coldest May on record Avg. min. temp. 3.6° 2006 Lawrence rainfall history (37.3136°S, 143.9082°E, 401m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 46.8mm 02/04/2024 Total This Month 0.0mm
0.0 daysLong Term Average 64.2mm 16.8 days Wettest May on record 172.7mm 1960 Driest on record 6.1mm 1934 -
Year to Date
Lawrence Year To Date
Average Rainfall To May 239.3mm 53.7 day(s) Total For 2024 134.2mm 37.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 154.6mm 42.0 day(s) Wettest Day 46.8mm Apr 2 Lowest Temperature 2.5°C Mar21 Highest Temperature 36.9°C Mar 9 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Lawrence Climatology
Lawrence Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 25.6 25.4 22.6 18.2 13.9 11.1 10.3 11.6 13.9 16.9 19.9 22.9 17.7 Mean Min (°C) 11.4 11.6 10.1 7.5 5.6 3.9 3.1 3.5 4.6 6.2 8.0 9.6 7.1 Mean Rain (mm) 40.2 42.2 41.5 51.2 64.2 62.9 66.0 73.3 70.6 66.9 56.0 50.1 685.0 Mean Rain Days 7.7 7.1 9.5 12.6 16.8 18.4 20.3 19.8 16.8 15.5 12.7 10.9 168.0