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Forecast

Morwell (38.2368°S, 146.3987°E, 78m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Rain 12°
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 5-10mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:41am EST 7:09am EST 5:31pm EST 5:59pm EST
    NOW
    7.7° Feels Like: 4.4°
    Relative Humidity: 82%
    Dew: 4.8°
    Wind: NE 11km/h
    Gust: 17km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1022.9hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Morwell
    Now
    7.6°c
    Feels Like:
    1.5°
    Wind:
    E 26km/h
    Gusts:
    32km/h
    Humidity:
    86%
    Rain
     
    Min
    12°
    Max
    Today in Morwell
    Cloudy. Very high chance of rain about the ranges, high chance elsewhere. Snow falling above 1300 metres. Winds E 25 to 40 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 7 and 13.
    Tomorrow
    Showers
    Min
    12°
    Max
    Cloudy. Very high (near 100%) chance of showers. Snow falling above 1400 metres. Heavy falls possible in the east. Winds E 25 to 35 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 3 and 8 with daytime temperatures reaching between 9 and 13.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of rain about the ranges, high chance elsewhere. Snow falling above 1300 metres. Winds E 25 to 40 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 7 and 13.

    Forecast for Morwell (38.2368°S, 146.3987°E, 78m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Rain Showers Showers Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Showers Showers
    Minimum
    Maximum 12° 12° 13° 14° 16° 16° 16°
    Chance of rain 90% 90% 70% 10% 20% 60% 80%
    Likely amount 5-10mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index Low Low Low Moderate Moderate - -
    Frost risk Moderate Nil Nil Nil Slight Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 13
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    Wind direction E E E E SE SE ESE E ENE ENE ENE N NW NW
    Relative humidity 91% 78% 97% 91% 96% 78% 91% 66% 90% 58% 88% 72% 92% 72%
    Dew point 4°C 6°C 9°C 9°C 10°C 8°C 8°C 7°C 7°C 7°C 8°C 10°C 10°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Morwell Rain Forecast


    Morwell 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    7
    HIGH
    8
    HIGH
    9
    HIGH
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    LOW
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    HIGH
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    HIGH
    23
    HIGH
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    HIGH
    Sep 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    4
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug 6

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 19 August to 23 August, 24 August to 28 August, and 29 August to 2 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 12 August to 16 August, 19 August to 23 August, and 25 August to 29 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 11 August to 15 August, 16 August to 20 August, and 23 August to 27 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Morwell Rain Forecast


    Morwell 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2020
    2021
    5
    6
    6
    6
    7
    7
    8
    6
    5
    3
    9
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Aug 5

    ENSO status: La Nina Watch IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific show a slight decrease in the intensity of cooling compared to June, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.0 in July. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 4.2 in the same month, a swing into positive values compared to June. The current outlook suggests that cooler than average SSTs will continue across the equatorial pacific through the end of winter and potentially reach La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring, with four of these indicating La Nina by Spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 54:41 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral. Two of the six international models indicate a negative IOD becoming established during the Austral spring, with the remaining four indicating a neutral phase. Of the four neutral models, including the BOM, three are trending slightly negative within the neutral zone by early spring, with only the Canadian model trending positive. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the current short-term outlook favours above average rainfall across most of Australia over the next fortnight, with the exception of western TAS, far southern VIC, and northern QLD and the NT. These expected wetter than average conditions will likely be due to the passage of moisture troughs inland and fronts, in part driven by the positive SAM. Models are then indicating a continued trend to above average rainfall for inland SA, all but the far north of the NT, western, central and southern QLD, northern and western NSW and parts of southern WA. Parts of WA’s Pilbara and Kimberley however are showing signs of below average rainfall into early spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Morwell Rain Forecast


    Morwell 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    7
    HIGH
    8
    HIGH
    9
    HIGH
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    LOW
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    HIGH
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    HIGH
    23
    HIGH
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    HIGH
    Sep 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    4
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug 6

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 19 August to 23 August, 24 August to 28 August, and 29 August to 2 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 12 August to 16 August, 19 August to 23 August, and 25 August to 29 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 11 August to 15 August, 16 August to 20 August, and 23 August to 27 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Morwell Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Aug 03
    0.8 °C 14.7 °C
    0.2 mm
    Tuesday
    Aug 04
    3.0 °C 8.9 °C
    3.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Aug 05
    3.2 °C 12.5 °C
    11.4 mm
    Thursday
    Aug 06
    4.9 °C 13.6 °C
    0.2 mm
    Friday
    Aug 07
    2.1 °C 7.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Morwell minimum temp history (38.2368°S, 146.3987°E, 78m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 18.7° 02/08/2020 Coldest this month 0.1° 02/08/2020
    Hottest on record 26.8 25/08/1995 Coldest on record -3.4 04/08/1992
    Hottest this year 42.7° 31/01/2020 Coldest this year -2.5° 09/06/2020
    Long term average 14.9° Long term average 4.4°
    Average this month 13.0° Average this month 2.2°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 16.6° 1995 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. 2.2° 2002
    Morwell rainfall history (38.2368°S, 146.3987°E, 78m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 11.4mm 05/08/2020 Total This Month 14.8mm
    4.0 days
    Long Term Average 65.4mm 19.8 days Wettest August on record 115.2mm 1990
    Driest on record 33.0mm 2002
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Morwell Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 449.7mm 122.8 day(s)
    Total For 2020 495.6mm 126.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 277.4mm 95.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 40.4mm May 2
    Lowest Temperature -2.5°C Jun 9
    Highest Temperature 42.7°C Jan31
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Morwell Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.6 26.6 24.5 20.5 16.9 14.2 13.6 14.9 17.0 19.6 22.0 24.3 20.1
    Mean Min (°C) 12.8 12.9 11.3 8.7 6.5 4.5 3.8 4.4 5.9 7.4 9.5 11.2 8.2
    Mean Rain (mm) 48.8 46.0 48.5 57.7 54.1 63.9 65.3 65.4 74.2 72.3 74.4 66.5 735.6
    Mean Rain Days 9.4 8.8 11.6 14.3 17.7 20.1 21.1 19.8 17.5 15.4 13.2 12.3 177.6