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Forecast

Lascelles (35.6068°S, 142.5789°E, 76m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Cloud increasing 12° 30°
    cloud increasing
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:05am EDT 6:33am EDT 8:48pm EDT 9:17pm EDT
    NOW
    14.0° Feels Like: 12.5°
    Relative Humidity: 81%
    Dew: 10.9°
    Wind: S 9km/h
    Gust: 11km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Lascelles
    Now
    14.4°c
    Feels Like:
    13.0°
    Wind:
    S 9km/h
    Gusts:
    11km/h
    Humidity:
    80%
    Cloud increasing
     
    12°
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Today in Lascelles
    Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming W/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then tending S/SW in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low 30s.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    14°
    Min
    32°
    Max
    Mostly sunny morning. Slight chance of a shower in the late afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds S/SW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming W/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 30s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Lascelles

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming W/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then tending S/SW in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low 30s.

    Forecast for Lascelles (35.6068°S, 142.5789°E, 76m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Cloud increasing Mostly sunny Thunderstorms Mostly sunny Late shower Windy Mostly cloudy
    Minimum 12° 14° 15° 13° 16° 11° 11°
    Maximum 30° 32° 23° 27° 30° 23° 26°
    Chance of rain 5% 80% 80% 30% 50% 30% 30%
    Likely amount < 1mm 5-10mm 5-10mm < 1mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index - - - - - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 13
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    35
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    31
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SSW W SW WSW SSW SW SW W NNE NNW WNW WNW WNW W
    Relative humidity 66% 22% 64% 21% 82% 60% 76% 38% 42% 33% 64% 35% 68% 38%
    Dew point 12°C 5°C 13°C 7°C 15°C 15°C 13°C 11°C 10°C 11°C 9°C 5°C 10°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Lascelles Rain Forecast


    Lascelles 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    18
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan17

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are three main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, and the south Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 January to 26 January, 31 January to 4 February, and 5 February to 9 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 February to 12 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 January to 26 January, 31 January to 4 February, and 5 February to 9 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Lascelles Rain Forecast


    Lascelles 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    7
    7
    6
    7
    6
    7
    8
    5
    5
    6
    6
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Lascelles Rain Forecast


    Lascelles 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    18
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan17

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are three main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, and the south Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 January to 26 January, 31 January to 4 February, and 5 February to 9 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 February to 12 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 January to 26 January, 31 January to 4 February, and 5 February to 9 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Lascelles Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Jan 13
    13.8 °C 35.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 14
    19.2 °C 40.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 15
    22.6 °C 35.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jan 16
    13.2 °C 28.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Jan 17
    9.2 °C 27 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Lascelles minimum temp history (35.6068°S, 142.5789°E, 76m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 40.6° 14/01/2020 Coldest this month 9.0° 17/01/2020
    Hottest on record 45.8 14/01/2014 Coldest on record 5.6 05/01/2014
    Hottest this year 40.6° 14/01/2020 Coldest this year 9.0° 17/01/2020
    Long term average 33.0° Long term average 15.4°
    Average this month 32.0° Average this month 14.4°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 35.1° 2009 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 13.9° 2010
    Lascelles rainfall history (35.6068°S, 142.5789°E, 76m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 6.8mm 06/01/2020 Total This Month 7.2mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 35.3mm 5.3 days Wettest January on record 151.6mm 2009
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Lascelles Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 35.3mm 5.3 day(s)
    Total For 2020 7.2mm 2.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 0.0mm 0.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 6.8mm Jan 6
    Lowest Temperature 9.0°C Jan17
    Highest Temperature 40.6°C Jan14
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Lascelles Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 33.0 32.0 28.9 23.8 18.9 15.3 14.7 16.9 20.2 24.8 28.3 30.6 23.9
    Mean Min (°C) 15.4 14.8 12.7 9.0 6.1 4.2 3.3 3.5 5.0 7.4 11.0 13.0 8.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 35.3 17.5 14.8 22.6 27.5 24.9 27.0 23.7 29.8 23.8 28.2 26.3 301.3
    Mean Rain Days 5.3 4.2 4.7 6.1 9.6 12.3 16.1 12.7 9.8 6.8 7.1 5.8 93.3