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Forecast

Lake Tyers (37.8599°S, 148.0795°E, 2m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Showers 14° 24°
    Chance of rain: 70%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:41am EDT 6:11am EDT 8:28pm EDT 8:58pm EDT
    NOW
    15.1° Feels Like: 14.3°
    Relative Humidity: 94%
    Dew: 14.1°
    Wind: WSW 11km/h
    Gust: 19km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Lake Tyers
    Now
    17.0°c
    Feels Like:
    16.7°
    Wind:
    W 11km/h
    Gusts:
    13km/h
    Humidity:
    92%
    Showers
     
    14°
    Min
    24°
    Max
    Today in Lake Tyers
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers in the west, medium chance elsewhere. Areas of haze near the New South Wales border. The chance of a thunderstorm about the ranges early this morning. Winds N/NW 25 to 35 km/h tending W/NW 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 20 to 26.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    13°
    Min
    22°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the southeast in the morning and early afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds NW/SW 15 to 20 km/h tending SE/SW before dawn then becoming light in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of showers in the west, medium chance elsewhere. Areas of haze near the New South Wales border. The chance of a thunderstorm about the ranges early this morning. Winds N/NW 25 to 35 km/h tending W/NW 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 20 to 26.

    Forecast for Lake Tyers (37.8599°S, 148.0795°E, 2m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Showers Mostly sunny Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 14° 13° 12° 13° 15° 15° 13°
    Maximum 24° 22° 23° 24° 25° 21° 21°
    Chance of rain 70% 5% 5% 5% 5% 30% 5%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Very High Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 14
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SSW NW WNW SSW NW SSE W S ESE SE WSW SSW W S
    Relative humidity 89% 59% 62% 46% 68% 59% 78% 68% 83% 70% 79% 70% 73% 65%
    Dew point 13°C 13°C 10°C 10°C 12°C 15°C 15°C 17°C 17°C 19°C 14°C 15°C 12°C 14°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Lake Tyers Rain Forecast


    Lake Tyers 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    HIGH
    2
    HIGH
    3
    LOW
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    HIGH
    19
    20
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 January to 3 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 January to 3 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 January to 2 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Lake Tyers Rain Forecast


    Lake Tyers 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    6
    6
    6
    7
    6
    7
    7
    9
    3
    5
    6
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Lake Tyers Rain Forecast


    Lake Tyers 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    HIGH
    2
    HIGH
    3
    LOW
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    HIGH
    19
    20
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 January to 3 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 January to 3 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 January to 2 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Lake Tyers Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jan 18
    14.1 °C 22.0 °C
    0.2 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 19
    15.0 °C 23.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jan 20
    18.0 °C 20.8 °C
    13.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 21
    15.4 °C 21.5 °C
    40.8 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 22
    12.2 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Lake Tyers minimum temp history (37.8599°S, 148.0795°E, 2m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 33.8° 04/01/2020 Coldest this month 9.1° 01/01/2020
    Hottest on record 41.6 29/01/2009 Coldest on record 6.5 16/01/2016
    Hottest this year 33.8° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 9.1° 01/01/2020
    Long term average 24.5° Long term average 15.0°
    Average this month 22.2° Average this month 14.0°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 25.3° 2007 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 13.3° 2009
    Lake Tyers rainfall history (37.8599°S, 148.0795°E, 2m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 40.8mm 21/01/2020 Total This Month 80.8mm
    8.0 days
    Long Term Average 37.2mm 7.2 days Wettest January on record 88.2mm 2007
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Lake Tyers Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 37.2mm 7.2 day(s)
    Total For 2020 80.8mm 8.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 14.8mm 5.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 40.8mm Jan21
    Lowest Temperature 9.1°C Jan 1
    Highest Temperature 33.8°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Lake Tyers Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 24.5 23.7 23.0 20.2 18.0 15.1 15.2 16.0 18.1 19.7 21.2 22.8 19.8
    Mean Min (°C) 15.0 14.9 13.6 11.0 8.6 6.4 5.8 6.3 7.9 9.5 11.6 13.0 10.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 37.2 54.1 60.2 72.5 40.4 109.4 53.6 59.7 55.5 67.1 76.4 61.9 747.2
    Mean Rain Days 7.2 8.1 8.6 9.6 7.5 10.3 10.9 9.5 9.3 9.5 10.0 9.2 100.6