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Forecast

Lake Bunga (37.8608°S, 148.0359°E, 7m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 12° 21°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:08am EDT 5:39am EDT 8:19pm EDT 8:50pm EDT
    NOW
    10.4° Feels Like: 7.0°
    Relative Humidity: 76%
    Dew: 6.3°
    Wind: WSW 13km/h
    Gust: 19km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Lake Bunga
    Now
    12.6°c
    Feels Like:
    7.3°
    Wind:
    W 22km/h
    Gusts:
    26km/h
    Humidity:
    63%
    Mostly sunny
     
    12°
    Min
    21°
    Max
    Today in Lake Bunga
    Partly cloudy. Areas of smoke haze. Winds W/SW 25 to 35 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    11°
    Min
    20°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Winds W/SW 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 24.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Areas of smoke haze. Winds W/SW 25 to 35 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 20s.

    Forecast for Lake Bunga (37.8608°S, 148.0359°E, 7m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower
    Minimum 12° 11° 11° 11° 16° 11° 11°
    Maximum 21° 20° 20° 27° 21° 18° 19°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 20% 50% 60% 50%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Very High Very High Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 29
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    Wind direction W WSW W SW WSW SSE ENE ESE WSW SSW W S WSW SSW
    Relative humidity 62% 48% 63% 56% 72% 65% 67% 52% 71% 67% 71% 69% 75% 68%
    Dew point 8°C 10°C 8°C 11°C 11°C 13°C 14°C 16°C 13°C 14°C 9°C 12°C 10°C 12°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Lake Bunga Rain Forecast


    Lake Bunga 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    HIGH
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    MEDIUM
    Jan 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 5

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 15 December to 19 December, 22 December to 26 December, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 12 December to 16 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 22 December to 26 December, and 4 January to 8 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Lake Bunga Rain Forecast


    Lake Bunga 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    2019
    2020
    4
    7
    6
    7
    7
    7
    8
    6
    3
    3
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Lake Bunga Rain Forecast


    Lake Bunga 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    HIGH
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    MEDIUM
    Jan 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 5

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 15 December to 19 December, 22 December to 26 December, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 12 December to 16 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 22 December to 26 December, and 4 January to 8 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Lake Bunga Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Dec 01
    7.8 °C 19.6 °C
    4.8 mm
    Monday
    Dec 02
    9.4 °C 16.6 °C
    4.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Dec 03
    10.0 °C 22.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Dec 04
    12.5 °C 20.9 °C
    0.4 mm
    Thursday
    Dec 05
    10.7 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Lake Bunga minimum temp history (37.8608°S, 148.0359°E, 7m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 22.2° 03/12/2019 Coldest this month 7.8° 01/12/2019
    Hottest on record 41.7 20/12/2015 Coldest on record 5.9 13/12/2006
    Hottest this year 44.6° 25/01/2019 Coldest this year -2.0° 24/08/2019
    Long term average 22.8° Long term average 13.0°
    Average this month 19.8° Average this month 10.1°
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 24.5° 2016 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 11.4° 2006
    Lake Bunga rainfall history (37.8608°S, 148.0359°E, 7m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 4.8mm 01/12/2019 Total This Month 9.2mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 61.9mm 9.2 days Wettest December on record 140.1mm 2016
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Lake Bunga Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Dec 748.0mm 109.7 day(s)
    Total For 2019 490.8mm 110.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 360.8mm 95.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 79.0mm May17
    Lowest Temperature -2.0°C Aug24
    Highest Temperature 44.6°C Jan25
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Lake Bunga Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 24.5 23.7 23.0 20.2 18.0 15.1 15.2 16.0 18.1 19.7 21.2 22.8 19.8
    Mean Min (°C) 15.0 14.9 13.6 11.0 8.6 6.4 5.8 6.3 7.9 9.5 11.6 13.0 10.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 37.2 54.1 60.2 72.5 40.4 109.4 53.6 59.7 55.5 67.1 76.4 61.9 747.2
    Mean Rain Days 7.2 8.1 8.6 9.6 7.5 10.3 10.9 9.5 9.3 9.5 10.0 9.2 100.6