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Forecast

Icy Creek (37.8838°S, 146.0966°E, 457m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 13°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 20%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:31am EST 5:57am EST 6:17pm EST 6:43pm EST
    NOW
    9.9° Feels Like: 5.0°
    Relative Humidity: 66%
    Dew: 3.8°
    Wind: W 19km/h
    Gust: 22km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Icy Creek
    Now
    8.5°c
    Feels Like:
    6.1°
    Wind:
    W 4km/h
    Gusts:
    6km/h
    Humidity:
    64%
    Mostly sunny
     
    Min
    13°
    Max
    Today in Icy Creek
    Partly cloudy. Patchy fog in the west early this morning. Slight chance of a shower about the ranges this morning, falling as snow above 900 metres. Possible hail this morning. Winds SW 15 to 20 km/h turning W in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 9 and 14.
    Tomorrow
    Fog then sunny
    Min
    16°
    Max
    Areas of fog in the early morning. Morning frost about the ranges. Mostly sunny afternoon. Winds NW/SW 15 to 20 km/h tending SW in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between minus 1 and 4 above zero with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 17.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Icy Creek

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog in the west early this morning. Slight chance of a shower about the ranges this morning, falling as snow above 900 metres. Possible hail this morning. Winds SW 15 to 20 km/h turning W in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 9 and 14.

    Forecast for Icy Creek (37.8838°S, 146.0966°E, 457m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Mostly sunny Fog then sunny Mostly sunny Showers Possible shower Mostly sunny Possible shower
    Minimum
    Maximum 13° 16° 20° 18° 19° 23° 23°
    Chance of rain 20% 5% 50% 60% 20% 50% 70%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Moderate High High High High - -
    Frost risk Slight Moderate Moderate Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 7
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SW WSW WSW SW NE NNE N NNW WNW NW NNW NNW NNW WNW
    Relative humidity 80% 55% 67% 54% 63% 43% 81% 67% 71% 51% 56% 54% 57% 65%
    Dew point 5°C 4°C 4°C 7°C 7°C 7°C 10°C 12°C 7°C 9°C 9°C 13°C 11°C 12°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Icy Creek Rain Forecast


    Icy Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    28
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    MEDIUM
    Oct 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    HIGH
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep26

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 October to 7 October, 14 October to 18 October, and 21 October to 25 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 October to 13 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 October to 7 October, 14 October to 18 October, and 25 October to 29 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Icy Creek Rain Forecast


    Icy Creek 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    2020
    2021
    3
    7
    7
    7
    8
    7
    7
    5
    3
    8
    4
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Sep 9

    ENSO status: La Niña Alert IOD status: Negative SAM status: Negative trending positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific have continued to cool through August, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.5. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 9.8 in the same month, a significant increase compared to July, tipping over the La Niña threshold of +7. The current outlook suggests that cooler than average SSTs will continue across the equatorial pacific during the Austral spring, with a high chance of a weak La Niña forming. All eight international models continue to suggest further cooling during spring, with three of these indicating La Niña conditions in September. A further two exceeding the La Niña threshold in October, with six of the eight indicating La Niña by November. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 57:41 chance for La Niña:Neutral conditions by the end of the Australspring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has shifted into a negative phase. Four of the six international models indicate a negative IOD to be sustained for the duration of the Austral spring, with the remaining two indicating a neutral phase. Both of the models that indicate a neutral phase trend towards the negative side of neutral. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the current short term outlook favours above average rainfall over the interior over the remainder of the first month of spring, particularly eastern WA and the Kimberley, western NT and western SA Above average rainfall is also favoured, although not as pronounced, over inland NSW and QLD and parts of the NSW and VIC coastal area. Drier than average conditions are expected across western WA as well as parts of northern coastal QLD and parts of the southeast. The remainder of spring is then likely to be wetter than average for NSW, QLD, VIC, SA, TAS, the NT and eastern WA, whilst drier than averageconditions look to persist further west. There are then indications of increased rainfall over WA toward the end of spring and into early summer, with the eastern two thirds of the country remaining wetter than average.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Icy Creek Rain Forecast


    Icy Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    28
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    MEDIUM
    Oct 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    HIGH
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep26

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 October to 7 October, 14 October to 18 October, and 21 October to 25 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 October to 13 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 October to 7 October, 14 October to 18 October, and 25 October to 29 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Icy Creek Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Sep 23
    9.5 °C 14.3 °C
    1.6 mm
    Thursday
    Sep 24
    6.2 °C 14.5 °C
    0.8 mm
    Friday
    Sep 25
    6.3 °C 10.7 °C
    3.2 mm
    Saturday
    Sep 26
    4.4 °C 12.5 °C
    20.2 mm
    Sunday
    Sep 27
    4.9 °C 11.4 °C
    13.8 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Icy Creek minimum temp history (37.8838°S, 146.0966°E, 457m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 25.0° 08/09/2020 Coldest this month -0.9° 01/09/2020
    Hottest on record 31.0 27/09/1987 Coldest on record -2.1 22/09/1994
    Hottest this year 42.7° 31/01/2020 Coldest this year -2.5° 09/06/2020
    Long term average 17.0° Long term average 5.9°
    Average this month 17.9° Average this month 5.6°
    Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 18.7° 2006 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. 4.5° 1992
    Icy Creek rainfall history (37.8838°S, 146.0966°E, 457m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 10.4mm 26/09/2020 Total This Month 40.0mm
    20.0 days
    Long Term Average 74.2mm 17.5 days Wettest September on record 162.8mm 1993
    Driest on record 25.6mm 2015
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Icy Creek Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Sep 523.9mm 140.3 day(s)
    Total For 2020 601.4mm 166.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 508.0mm 127.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 40.4mm May 2
    Lowest Temperature -2.5°C Jun 9
    Highest Temperature 42.7°C Jan31
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Icy Creek Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.6 26.6 24.5 20.5 16.9 14.2 13.6 14.9 17.0 19.6 22.0 24.3 20.1
    Mean Min (°C) 12.8 12.9 11.3 8.7 6.5 4.5 3.8 4.4 5.9 7.4 9.5 11.2 8.2
    Mean Rain (mm) 48.8 46.0 48.5 57.7 54.1 63.9 65.3 65.4 74.2 72.3 74.4 66.5 735.6
    Mean Rain Days 9.4 8.8 11.6 14.3 17.7 20.1 21.1 19.8 17.5 15.4 13.2 12.3 177.6