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Forecast

Icy Creek (37.8838°S, 146.0966°E, 457m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly cloudy 12°
    mostly cloudy
    Chance of rain: 20%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:57am EST 7:26am EST 5:03pm EST 5:33pm EST
    NOW
    9.8° Feels Like: 7.8°
    Relative Humidity: 69%
    Dew: 4.4°
    Wind: SSW 4km/h
    Gust: 4km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Icy Creek
    Now
    6.7°c
    Feels Like:
    4.8°
    Wind:
    ESE 2km/h
    Gusts:
    2km/h
    Humidity:
    77%
    Mostly cloudy
     
    Min
    12°
    Max
    Today in Icy Creek
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a light shower in the east, near zero chance elsewhere. Snow possible above 1000 metres. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures between 7 and 13.
    Tomorrow
    Frost then sunny
    Min
    13°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Areas of morning frost about the ranges. Areas of morning fog. Slight chance of a shower near Wilsons Promontory. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between minus 1 and 3 above zero with daytime temperatures reaching between 9 and 14.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a light shower in the east, near zero chance elsewhere. Snow possible above 1000 metres. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures between 7 and 13.

    Forecast for Icy Creek (37.8838°S, 146.0966°E, 457m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Mostly cloudy Frost then sunny Frost then sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum
    Maximum 12° 13° 13° 15° 14° 14° 17°
    Chance of rain 20% 5% 5% 5% 20% 10% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Low Low Low Low Low - -
    Frost risk Slight Moderate High Moderate Slight Slight Slight
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 2
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ESE S NNE SSW NNE WNW NNE NW N W NE E NNE NNE
    Relative humidity 86% 69% 86% 65% 82% 61% 82% 65% 84% 70% 86% 70% 80% 68%
    Dew point 6°C 6°C 4°C 6°C 3°C 6°C 5°C 8°C 6°C 7°C 6°C 8°C 7°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Icy Creek Rain Forecast


    Icy Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    HIGH
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    HIGH
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    MEDIUM
    Jul 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun 7

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 13 June to 17 June, 26 June to 30 June, and 5 July to 9 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 23 June to 27 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 June to 16 June, 26 June to 30 June, and 2 July to 6 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Icy Creek Rain Forecast


    Icy Creek 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    2020
    2021
    5
    5
    3
    6
    6
    6
    7
    5
    8
    6
    5
    3
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued May 13

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout April with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.5. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -0.5 during the same month. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during the end of autumn and early winter, potentially cooling by the second half of the austral winter. Eight out of eight international models continue to suggest a cooling trend of the NINO3.4 region throughout the Austral winter, with all models on the cooler side of neutral by September. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) suggests a 40:35 chance for neutral:La Nina conditions by the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six main international models, however, continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing from mid-to-late winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current medium term outlook continues to favour above average rainfall for most of the country. This outlook is mainly driven by warmer SSTs across northwestern Australia, enhanced soil moisture across some parts of the continent and early indications of a cool phase in the Pacific Ocean, which increases the moisture content across the northern tropics. Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania the outlook is for average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their ‘drier’ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tasmania) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM). This doesn’t include any severe weather events like east coast lows.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Icy Creek Rain Forecast


    Icy Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    HIGH
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    HIGH
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    MEDIUM
    Jul 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun 7

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 13 June to 17 June, 26 June to 30 June, and 5 July to 9 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 23 June to 27 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 June to 16 June, 26 June to 30 June, and 2 July to 6 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Icy Creek Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Jun 03
    7.7 °C 12.3 °C
    5.2 mm
    Thursday
    Jun 04
    6.5 °C 13.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Jun 05
    -0.8 °C 13.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Jun 06
    2.1 °C 10.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jun 07
    6.7 °C 12.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Icy Creek minimum temp history (37.8838°S, 146.0966°E, 457m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 14.1° 04/06/2020 Coldest this month -0.3° 05/06/2020
    Hottest on record 23.5 08/06/2005 Coldest on record -3.6 30/06/1986
    Hottest this year 42.7° 31/01/2020 Coldest this year -0.8° 30/05/2020
    Long term average 14.2° Long term average 4.5°
    Average this month 12.6° Average this month 5.1°
    Hottest June On Record Avg. max. temp. 15.7° 2005 Coldest June on record Avg. min. temp. 2.1° 1985
    Icy Creek rainfall history (37.8838°S, 146.0966°E, 457m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 4.4mm 03/06/2020 Total This Month 5.6mm
    4.0 days
    Long Term Average 63.9mm 20.1 days Wettest June on record 151.2mm 1991
    Driest on record 8.4mm 2006
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Icy Creek Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jun 319.0mm 81.9 day(s)
    Total For 2020 419.0mm 82.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 183.6mm 57.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 40.4mm May 2
    Lowest Temperature -0.8°C May30
    Highest Temperature 42.7°C Jan31
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Icy Creek Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.6 26.6 24.5 20.5 16.9 14.2 13.6 14.9 17.0 19.6 22.0 24.3 20.1
    Mean Min (°C) 12.8 12.9 11.3 8.7 6.5 4.5 3.8 4.4 5.9 7.4 9.5 11.2 8.2
    Mean Rain (mm) 48.8 46.0 48.5 57.7 54.1 63.9 65.3 65.4 74.2 72.3 74.4 66.5 735.6
    Mean Rain Days 9.4 8.8 11.6 14.3 17.7 20.1 21.1 19.8 17.5 15.4 13.2 12.3 177.6