Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers
for North Central, North East, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Issued at 05:02 PM EST on Wednesday 24 April 2024
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
North Central, North East, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
The Warning to Sheep Graziers for the North Central, North East, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts has been cancelled.
No further warnings will be issued for this event.
Forecast
Horsfal (37.8306°S, 146.1131°E, 1139m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW1° 6° clearing shower Chance of rain: 50% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:25am EST 6:52am EST 5:33pm EST 6:00pm EST NOW1.7° Feels Like: -4.3° Relative Humidity: 100% Dew: 1.7° Wind: SW 22km/h Gust: 32km/h Rainfall since 9am: 5.4mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
HorsfalNow11.5°cFeels Like:9.9°Wind:W 7km/hGusts:9km/hHumidity:86%1°Min6°MaxToday in HorsfalCloudy. Medium chance of showers in the W, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds W/SW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 17.Tomorrow1°Min6°MaxMostly sunny. The chance of morning fog. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 3 and 7 with daytime temperatures reaching between 15 and 19. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the W, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds W/SW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 17.
Forecast for Horsfal (37.8306°S, 146.1131°E, 1139m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary Minimum 1° 1° 2° 5° 0° -1° 0° Maximum 6° 10° 11° 8° 3° 4° 5° Chance of rain 50% 5% 5% 90% 90% 80% 80% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating No Rating No Rating Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk High High Moderate Slight High High High 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 13
(km/h)9
(km/h)11
(km/h)8
(km/h)17
(km/h)16
(km/h)19
(km/h)12
(km/h)17
(km/h)14
(km/h)16
(km/h)14
(km/h)14
(km/h)13
(km/h)Wind direction WSW WSW NNW WNW N NNW NW WSW SSW SSW SSE SSE SSE SSE Relative humidity 98% 96% 87% 74% 76% 72% 67% 99% 91% 98% 91% 95% 95% 97% Dew point 2°C 4°C 2°C 4°C 2°C 5°C 0°C 4°C 0°C 1°C 0°C 2°C 2°C 3°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Horsfal Rain Forecast
Horsfal 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar202420257565565104786105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Horsfal Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Sunday
Apr 216.8 °C 12.4 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 228.4 °C 14.3 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 238.6 °C 12.3 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Apr 240.1 °C 2.0 °C 25.4 mmThursday
Apr 25-0.1 °C 2.4 °C 9.2 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Horsfal minimum temp history (37.8306°S, 146.1131°E, 1139m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 19.8° 01/04/2024 Coldest this month -0.8° 09/04/2024 Hottest on record 20.0 14/04/2004 Coldest on record -5.7 29/04/2009 Hottest this year 25.2° 10/03/2024 Coldest this year -1.1° 21/03/2024 Long term average 10.1° Long term average 4.0° Average this month 8.9° Average this month 3.6° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 13.2° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 1.1° 2006 Horsfal rainfall history (37.8306°S, 146.1131°E, 1139m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 48.8mm 02/04/2024 Total This Month 219.0mm
14.0 daysLong Term Average 147.9mm 15.5 days Wettest April on record 272.0mm 2006 Driest on record 18.4mm 2007 -
Year to Date
Horsfal Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 454.7mm 54.5 day(s) Total For 2024 420.6mm 41.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 515.6mm 65.0 day(s) Wettest Day 74.2mm Jan 9 Lowest Temperature -1.1°C Mar21 Highest Temperature 25.2°C Mar10 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Horsfal Climatology
Horsfal Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 17.5 16.6 14.0 10.1 6.0 3.4 2.2 3.0 5.9 8.9 12.2 14.5 9.4 Mean Min (°C) 8.8 8.2 6.4 4.0 1.3 -0.6 -1.6 -1.4 -0.1 1.7 4.1 6.0 3.0 Mean Rain (mm) 100.4 96.2 110.2 147.9 138.6 186.1 169.8 201.2 184.3 161.3 165.6 143.9 1789.0 Mean Rain Days 13.1 11.9 14.0 15.5 17.0 17.6 20.4 22.1 18.4 17.8 16.6 15.4 195.8