Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Warning to Sheep Graziers
for North Central, South West, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Issued at 04:43 PM EST on Tuesday 23 April 2024
Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
North Central, South West, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, showers and southwesterly winds are expected during Tuesday and Wednesday. Areas likely to be affected include the West and South Gippsland forecast district and parts of the North Central, South West and Central forecast districts. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
North East forecast district
The Warning to Sheep Graziers for the North East forecast district has been cancelled.
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 pm EST Tuesday.
Forecast
Harrys Creek (36.7255°S, 145.7299°E, 411m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY10° 21° mostly cloudy Chance of rain: 90% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:23am EST 6:50am EST 5:40pm EST 6:07pm EST NOW22.6° Feels Like: 20.3° Relative Humidity: 35% Dew: 6.4° Wind: NW 7km/h Gust: 7km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1015.3hPa -
Today Weather
Harrys CreekNow21.9°cFeels Like:18.0°Wind:N 15km/hGusts:17km/hHumidity:35%10°Min21°MaxToday in Harrys CreekPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the S, most likely later tonight. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds N 20 to 30 km/h shifting W/SW in the evening.Tomorrow7°Min12°MaxPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the SE in the early morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds S/SW 25 to 35 km/h becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 8 with daytime temperatures reaching between 16 and 19. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the S, most likely later tonight. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds N 20 to 30 km/h shifting W/SW in the evening.
Forecast for Harrys Creek (36.7255°S, 145.7299°E, 411m AMSL) Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Summary Minimum 10° 7° 5° 6° 6° 8° 8° Maximum 21° 12° 13° 15° 16° 16° 16° Chance of rain 90% 10% 30% 5% 5% 5% 40% Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating High Moderate Moderate Moderate No Rating - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 13
(km/h)18
(km/h)18
(km/h)20
(km/h)12
(km/h)19
(km/h)10
(km/h)10
(km/h)5
(km/h)9
(km/h)6
(km/h)10
(km/h)5
(km/h)9
(km/h)Wind direction NE N SSW SW SW SW S SSW ENE N NE NNW NNW W Relative humidity 54% 42% 79% 56% 81% 61% 77% 54% 71% 49% 65% 46% 59% 55% Dew point 5°C 8°C 6°C 4°C 7°C 6°C 6°C 6°C 6°C 5°C 6°C 5°C 5°C 7°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Harrys Creek Rain Forecast
Harrys Creek 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar202420257585656106996105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Harrys Creek Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Apr 197.4 °C 16.3 °C 0.6 mmSaturday
Apr 205.2 °C 19.1 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Apr 21-0.2 °C 20.5 °C 0.2 mmMonday
Apr 22-0.8 °C 21.5 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 231.6 °C - 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Harrys Creek minimum temp history (36.7255°S, 145.7299°E, 411m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 27.8° 01/04/2024 Coldest this month -0.8° 22/04/2024 Hottest on record 32.5 04/04/1986 Coldest on record -3.6 01/04/1995 Hottest this year 36.2° 26/02/2024 Coldest this year -0.8° 22/04/2024 Long term average 19.0° Long term average 5.8° Average this month 19.3° Average this month 5.0° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 21.9° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 2.7° 1977 Harrys Creek rainfall history (36.7255°S, 145.7299°E, 411m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 32.0mm 02/04/2024 Total This Month 45.7mm
8.0 daysLong Term Average 64.5mm 7.5 days Wettest April on record 240.9mm 1939 Driest on record 0.0mm 1908 -
Year to Date
Harrys Creek Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 212.4mm 23.2 day(s) Total For 2024 292.3mm 23.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 158.2mm 33.0 day(s) Wettest Day 64.8mm Jan 8 Lowest Temperature -0.8°C Apr22 Highest Temperature 36.2°C Feb26 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Harrys Creek Climatology
Harrys Creek Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 27.5 27.3 24.0 19.0 14.4 11.3 10.3 11.6 14.4 17.9 21.6 24.7 18.6 Mean Min (°C) 11.6 11.4 9.2 5.8 3.7 2.1 1.7 2.3 3.7 5.3 7.6 9.5 6.1 Mean Rain (mm) 50.8 42.7 54.4 64.5 95.1 113.9 122.9 114.2 95.7 84.6 65.6 56.8 963.8 Mean Rain Days 5.4 4.6 5.7 7.5 11.7 14.1 16.0 15.0 12.4 10.6 8.4 6.7 118.2