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Forecast

Guys Forest (36.0599°S, 147.6338°E, 437m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible shower 20°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 70%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:26am EST 6:53am EST 5:17pm EST 5:44pm EST
    NOW
    10.8° Feels Like: 8.8°
    Relative Humidity: 72%
    Dew: 5.9°
    Wind: NW 6km/h
    Gust: 7km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Guys Forest
    Now
    11.4°c
    Feels Like:
    11.8°
    Wind:
    N 0km/h
    Gusts:
    0km/h
    Humidity:
    98%
    Possible shower
     
    Min
    20°
    Max
    Today in Guys Forest
    Cloudy. High chance of showers. Areas of fog in the early morning. Light winds becoming N/NW 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 8 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 21.
    Tomorrow
    Showers
    10°
    Min
    18°
    Max
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers. Snow falling above 1500 metres late in the day. Winds N/NW 20 to 30 km/h shifting S/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to around 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 12 and 18.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Guys Forest

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers. Areas of fog in the early morning. Light winds becoming N/NW 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 8 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 21.

    Forecast for Guys Forest (36.0599°S, 147.6338°E, 437m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Possible shower Showers Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Cloudy Mostly sunny
    Minimum 10°
    Maximum 20° 18° 18° 19° 20° 19° 18°
    Chance of rain 70% 80% 30% 5% 40% 30% 30%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Moderate Slight Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 2
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    2
    (km/h)
    2
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    2
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    Wind direction N NNW NNE NW S SSE S N ESE NNW WNW NW SW SW
    Relative humidity 79% 68% 92% 82% 78% 56% 74% 53% 77% 63% 85% 62% 78% 61%
    Dew point 11°C 13°C 13°C 15°C 7°C 9°C 6°C 9°C 9°C 13°C 11°C 12°C 9°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Guys Forest Rain Forecast


    Guys Forest 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    HIGH
    11
    12
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    HIGH
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    31
    MEDIUM
    Jun 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May 8

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 May to 26 May, 1 June to 5 June, and 6 June to 10 June. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 13 May to 17 May, and 17 May to 21 May. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 21 May to 25 May, 1 June to 5 June, and 8 June to 12 June.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Guys Forest Rain Forecast


    Guys Forest 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    2021
    2022
    6
    7
    6
    7
    7
    6
    6
    5
    5
    8
    7
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Apr 14

    ENSO status: Neutral. IOD status: Neutral, potentially trending negative during winter. SAM status: Positive. La Niña has concluded, with neutral conditions expected until at least the end of Autumn. A few models are predicting La Niña conditions to return later this year, while the majority of models predict neutral conditions. While La Niña has returned to neutral, the oceans around northern Australia are warmer than normal. This is expected to generate above normal rainfall for much of Australia during the next month or so. Some models are suggesting a negative Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) may develop during winter, which would increase rainfall across parts of Australia during winter. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northern coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC, most of TAS and southwest WA are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year. During winter, much of the Australia is likely to bewetter than normal, apart from far southwestern WA, southern VIC and much of TAS. The negative IOD may be playing a part in this, potentially feeding moisture into cold fronts sweeping across Australia's snowfields. Therefore a normal to above normal snow season is forecast.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Guys Forest Rain Forecast


    Guys Forest 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    HIGH
    11
    12
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    HIGH
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    31
    MEDIUM
    Jun 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May 8

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 May to 26 May, 1 June to 5 June, and 6 June to 10 June. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 13 May to 17 May, and 17 May to 21 May. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 21 May to 25 May, 1 June to 5 June, and 8 June to 12 June.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Guys Forest Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    May 04
    8.2 °C 12.9 °C
    12.6 mm
    Wednesday
    May 05
    8.4 °C 13.7 °C
    8.8 mm
    Thursday
    May 06
    9.1 °C 19.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    May 07
    12.6 °C 18.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    May 08
    10.1 °C 15.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Guys Forest minimum temp history (36.0599°S, 147.6338°E, 437m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 19.5° 06/05/2021 Coldest this month 8.2° 04/05/2021
    Hottest on record 21.3 06/05/2003 Coldest on record -2.1 28/05/2000
    Hottest this year 33.8° 24/01/2021 Coldest this year 0.9° 21/04/2021
    Long term average 11.8° Long term average 5.4°
    Average this month 16.2° Average this month 9.9°
    Hottest May On Record Avg. max. temp. 14.6° 2003 Coldest May on record Avg. min. temp. 4.0° 2004
    Guys Forest rainfall history (36.0599°S, 147.6338°E, 437m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 12.6mm 04/05/2021 Total This Month 24.0mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 99.9mm 11.6 days Wettest May on record 262.6mm 2016
    Driest on record 12.0mm 2005
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Guys Forest Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To May 391.7mm 43.5 day(s)
    Total For 2021 428.0mm 34.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 567.0mm 51.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 104.0mm Jan30
    Lowest Temperature 0.9°C Apr21
    Highest Temperature 33.8°C Jan24
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Guys Forest Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.2 25.2 21.7 16.6 11.8 8.6 7.4 8.9 12.3 16.4 20.0 22.8 16.5
    Mean Min (°C) 14.5 14.1 11.6 8.5 5.4 3.1 2.0 2.4 4.5 7.2 10.1 12.0 7.9
    Mean Rain (mm) 66.6 75.6 75.5 74.1 99.9 137.2 155.1 139.4 118.5 88.6 95.4 82.6 1176.6
    Mean Rain Days 8.1 7.9 7.8 8.1 11.6 14.8 18.8 16.1 13.8 11.0 10.5 9.3 136.7