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Forecast

Gritjurk (37.5422°S, 141.7866°E, 129m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Windy 22° 30°
    Chance of rain: 20%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:39am EDT 6:08am EDT 8:27pm EDT 8:57pm EDT
    NOW
    28.0° Feels Like: 24.5°
    Relative Humidity: 34%
    Dew: 10.7°
    Wind: NNE 19km/h
    Gust: 20km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1003.8hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Gritjurk
    Now
    29.7°c
    Feels Like:
    28.7°
    Wind:
    NE 15km/h
    Gusts:
    19km/h
    Humidity:
    43%
    Windy
     
    22°
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Today in Gritjurk
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the south and east, near zero chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm with little or no rainfall in the northeast in the afternoon and early evening. Gusty winds about the ranges until evening. Winds N 35 to 50 km/h shifting SW in the middle of the day then decreasing to 20 to 30 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 18 and 22 with daytime temperatures reaching 27 to 36.
    Tomorrow
    Windy
    22°
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Winds S/SW 15 to 20 km/h tending W/SW in the morning then tending S/SW in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 8 with daytime temperatures reaching between 18 and 22.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the south and east, near zero chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm with little or no rainfall in the northeast in the afternoon and early evening. Gusty winds about the ranges until evening. Winds N 35 to 50 km/h shifting SW in the middle of the day then decreasing to 20 to 30 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 18 and 22 with daytime temperatures reaching 27 to 36.

    Forecast for Gritjurk (37.5422°S, 141.7866°E, 129m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Windy Mostly sunny Possible shower Sunny Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 22°
    Maximum 30° 20° 20° 23° 25° 17° 22°
    Chance of rain 20% 5% 30% 5% 70% 60% 10%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Very High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Slight Nil Nil Slight
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 32
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    Wind direction N WSW SW WSW WNW WSW NE W NNW NW SW SSW WNW WSW
    Relative humidity 33% 64% 74% 46% 77% 56% 74% 38% 58% 39% 75% 51% 73% 47%
    Dew point 8°C 13°C 7°C 8°C 10°C 11°C 8°C 7°C 9°C 10°C 7°C 7°C 7°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Gritjurk Rain Forecast


    Gritjurk 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    LOW
    Dec 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 28 November to 2 December, 9 December to 13 December, and 15 December to 19 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 November to 30 November, and 3 December to 7 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 6 December to 10 December, 12 December to 16 December, and 18 December to 22 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Gritjurk Rain Forecast


    Gritjurk 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    2019
    2020
    9
    5
    9
    6
    5
    5
    6
    7
    5
    5
    6
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Gritjurk Rain Forecast


    Gritjurk 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    LOW
    Dec 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 28 November to 2 December, 9 December to 13 December, and 15 December to 19 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 November to 30 November, and 3 December to 7 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 6 December to 10 December, 12 December to 16 December, and 18 December to 22 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Gritjurk Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Nov 16
    2.9 °C 14.3 °C
    1.2 mm
    Sunday
    Nov 17
    6.4 °C 15.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Nov 18
    3.3 °C 24.7 °C
    0.2 mm
    Tuesday
    Nov 19
    7.2 °C 18.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Nov 20
    6.8 °C 32 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Gritjurk minimum temp history (37.5422°S, 141.7866°E, 129m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 30.0° 01/11/2019 Coldest this month 2.4° 05/11/2019
    Hottest on record 38.1 29/11/2012 Coldest on record -0.1 17/11/2008
    Hottest this year 42.6° 24/01/2019 Coldest this year -2.4° 24/06/2019
    Long term average 21.0° Long term average 8.1°
    Average this month 17.7° Average this month 7.3°
    Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.7° 2009 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 6.1° 1991
    Gritjurk rainfall history (37.5422°S, 141.7866°E, 129m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 14.6mm 02/11/2019 Total This Month 44.0mm
    12.0 days
    Long Term Average 47.4mm 12.5 days Wettest November on record 101.6mm 2009
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Gritjurk Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Nov 582.4mm 167.5 day(s)
    Total For 2019 499.0mm 165.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 468.2mm 148.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 22.4mm May10
    Lowest Temperature -2.4°C Jun24
    Highest Temperature 42.6°C Jan24
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Gritjurk Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.5 26.8 24.2 19.9 15.7 12.9 12.2 13.3 15.3 17.9 21.0 24.1 19.1
    Mean Min (°C) 11.1 11.3 10.3 8.3 6.6 5.0 4.4 4.8 5.8 6.5 8.1 9.5 7.6
    Mean Rain (mm) 35.2 24.3 35.8 41.4 53.7 67.6 73.1 78.0 69.4 56.5 47.4 44.4 627.2
    Mean Rain Days 8.5 7.3 9.8 13.3 18.3 20.5 21.6 21.1 18.4 16.2 12.5 10.6 171.1