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Forecast

Gorae (38.2408°S, 141.5563°E, 82m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Clearing shower 13° 17°
    clearing shower
    Chance of rain: 30%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:47am EDT 7:14am EDT 8:20pm EDT 8:47pm EDT
    NOW
    15.4° Feels Like: 9.4°
    Relative Humidity: 47%
    Dew: 4.2°
    Wind: SW 24km/h
    Gust: 28km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1014.3hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Gorae
    Now
    18.1°c
    Feels Like:
    15.2°
    Wind:
    NE 11km/h
    Gusts:
    15km/h
    Humidity:
    47%
    Clearing shower
     
    13°
    Min
    17°
    Max
    Today in Gorae
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers this morning, increasing to a high chance near the coast. Winds W 25 to 35 km/h tending SW 25 to 40 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 17 and 20.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    11°
    Min
    19°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the south, most likely in the late afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds W 25 to 35 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 18 and 21.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers this morning, increasing to a high chance near the coast. Winds W 25 to 35 km/h tending SW 25 to 40 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 17 and 20.

    Forecast for Gorae (38.2408°S, 141.5563°E, 82m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Clearing shower Possible shower Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 13° 11° 14° 13° 13° 14° 16°
    Maximum 17° 19° 20° 21° 20° 21° 22°
    Chance of rain 30% 70% 30% 20% 40% 20% 30%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 31
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    33
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SW SW W W SW WSW WNW W NNE SW SE SSE SE SE
    Relative humidity 73% 49% 73% 67% 77% 65% 85% 66% 90% 68% 82% 63% 86% 70%
    Dew point 9°C 6°C 10°C 13°C 12°C 13°C 13°C 15°C 13°C 14°C 13°C 14°C 16°C 17°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Gorae Rain Forecast


    Gorae 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    Mar 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    HIGH
    5
    HIGH
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb26

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 5 March to 9 March, 11 March to 15 March, and 28 March to 1 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 March to 10 March, and 14 March to 18 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 March to 6 March, 6 March to 10 March, and 24 March to 28 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Gorae Rain Forecast


    Gorae 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2020
    2021
    8
    6
    6
    4
    6
    6
    6
    6
    2
    6
    7
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 12

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout January with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 as per December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 1.3 in January. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, cooling even further by mid 2020. Six out of eight international models continue to maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of the year, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, which is what you will expect for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values until the austral winter, with indications we could see another positive event late winter/spring. However, the skill of the models is low at this time of the year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours average-to-below average rainfall for parts of inland NSW and Qld for the end of summer and autumn. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) had its latest onset on record in early February at Darwin (by its technical definition) with the current prognosis suggesting another below average wet season for northern Australia. The northern half of the country however, could see a wet end to the wet season compared to the season thus far. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Gorae Rain Forecast


    Gorae 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    Mar 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    HIGH
    5
    HIGH
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb26

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 5 March to 9 March, 11 March to 15 March, and 28 March to 1 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 March to 10 March, and 14 March to 18 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 March to 6 March, 6 March to 10 March, and 24 March to 28 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Gorae Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Feb 22
    7.2 °C 19.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Feb 23
    9.0 °C 25.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Feb 24
    13.7 °C 20.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Feb 25
    14.0 °C 20.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Feb 26
    12.4 °C 17 °C
    2.8 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Gorae minimum temp history (38.2408°S, 141.5563°E, 82m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 26.1° 10/02/2020 Coldest this month 7.0° 04/02/2020
    Hottest on record 43.1 16/02/1983 Coldest on record 4.1 16/02/1985
    Hottest this year 39.4° 30/01/2020 Coldest this year 6.6° 07/01/2020
    Long term average 22.5° Long term average 12.8°
    Average this month 20.5° Average this month 13.4°
    Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.3° 2000 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 10.5° 1991
    Gorae rainfall history (38.2408°S, 141.5563°E, 82m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 20.6mm 01/02/2020 Total This Month 54.8mm
    12.0 days
    Long Term Average 27.9mm 8.9 days Wettest February on record 84.8mm 2005
    Driest on record 1.6mm 1991
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Gorae Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Feb 65.1mm 19.8 day(s)
    Total For 2020 91.0mm 20.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 27.6mm 10.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 20.6mm Feb 1
    Lowest Temperature 6.6°C Jan 7
    Highest Temperature 39.4°C Jan30
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Gorae Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 22.0 22.5 21.1 18.5 15.9 13.7 13.1 14.0 15.2 16.9 18.7 20.3 17.6
    Mean Min (°C) 12.3 12.8 11.8 9.9 8.4 7.0 6.3 6.7 7.5 8.3 9.9 10.9 9.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 37.2 27.9 47.4 59.6 82.2 111.6 111.9 106.9 86.7 61.6 52.3 50.1 835.3
    Mean Rain Days 10.9 8.9 13.7 18.1 21.4 23.0 24.4 23.6 20.7 18.6 14.7 13.3 205.4