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Forecast

Gooroc (36.4678°S, 143.1986°E, 161m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Rain developing 19°
    rain developing
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 5-10mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:59am EST 7:27am EST 5:42pm EST 6:10pm EST
    NOW
    10.3° Feels Like: 7.9°
    Relative Humidity: 74%
    Dew: 5.9°
    Wind: N 7km/h
    Gust: 9km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.4mm
    Pressure: 1007.1hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Gooroc
    Now
    9.7°c
    Feels Like:
    6.8°
    Wind:
    N 11km/h
    Gusts:
    11km/h
    Humidity:
    83%
    Rain developing
     
    Min
    19°
    Max
    Today in Gooroc
    Partly cloudy. Very high chance of rain, most likely during this afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the late morning and afternoon. Winds N 25 to 35 km/h tending NW/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 15 and 19.
    Tomorrow
    Fog then sunny
    Min
    15°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers. Light winds becoming W/NW 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to around 5 with daytime temperatures reaching around 15.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Gooroc

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Very high chance of rain, most likely during this afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the late morning and afternoon. Winds N 25 to 35 km/h tending NW/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 15 and 19.

    Forecast for Gooroc (36.4678°S, 143.1986°E, 161m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Rain developing Fog then sunny Late shower Possible thunderstorm Late shower Late shower Mostly cloudy
    Minimum
    Maximum 19° 15° 15° 13° 14° 15° 15°
    Chance of rain 90% 10% 80% 50% 50% 50% 30%
    Likely amount 5-10mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Low Moderate - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Moderate Slight Slight Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 13
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    Wind direction N NNW WNW W NE NNE WNW W W W W W W W
    Relative humidity 77% 59% 91% 57% 79% 54% 84% 63% 89% 70% 89% 70% 89% 67%
    Dew point 7°C 11°C 6°C 6°C 4°C 6°C 5°C 6°C 6°C 8°C 7°C 9°C 8°C 9°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Gooroc Rain Forecast


    Gooroc 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    31
    HIGH
    Aug 1
    LOW
    2
    HIGH
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    HIGH
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    HIGH
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul31

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 8 August to 12 August, 16 August to 20 August, and 1 September to 5 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 August to 14 August, 21 August to 25 August, and 3 September to 7 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 8 August to 12 August, 15 August to 19 August, and 22 August to 26 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Gooroc Rain Forecast


    Gooroc 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2021
    2022
    7
    7
    7
    6
    8
    8
    8
    6
    5
    4
    5
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jul 13

    ENSO status: Neutral, however two models suggest La Niña thresholds may be met again from September. IOD status: Neutral, although it was negative for six weeks between mid-May and late-June SAM status: Negative. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral. However, there are growing signs that La Niña could redevelop in the Pacific Ocean later this year, prompting the US Climate Prediction Centre to issue a La Niña Watch this week. Two models forecast temperatures reaching the La Niña threshold during September. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral, although we saw six consecutive weeks below the negative IOD threshold between mid-May and late-June. The IOD index needs to stay below -0.4C for eight consecutive weeks to be officially declared as a negative IOD event. The IOD ducked back into neutral territory thanks to recent warming in the western Indian Ocean. While a negative IOD has not been officially declared, the negative weekly values may enhance rainfallacross central and southern Australia. Three of the five models are forecasting the negative IOD to develop in winter, with another one indicating development in early spring. Most of the models suggest that the negative IOD will continue through until mid spring. During winter, much of the Australia is likely to be wetter than normal, apart from far southern WA and SA, southern VIC and southwestern TAS. The weekly negative IOD values may be influencing this outlook, potentially feeding moisture into cold fronts sweeping across central and southern Australia. Therefore a normal to above normal snow season is forecast. Springs rainfall at this stage is forecast to be above normal for much of the Australia, apart from southwestern TAS and WA. Again, the negative IOD values may be playing a role in this outlook.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Gooroc Rain Forecast


    Gooroc 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    31
    HIGH
    Aug 1
    LOW
    2
    HIGH
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    HIGH
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    HIGH
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul31

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 8 August to 12 August, 16 August to 20 August, and 1 September to 5 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 August to 14 August, 21 August to 25 August, and 3 September to 7 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 8 August to 12 August, 15 August to 19 August, and 22 August to 26 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Gooroc Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Jul 26
    5.1 °C 14.7 °C
    9.6 mm
    Tuesday
    Jul 27
    4.4 °C 18.1 °C
    0.2 mm
    Wednesday
    Jul 28
    9.1 °C 15.5 °C
    2.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jul 29
    3.4 °C 15.2 °C
    2.2 mm
    Friday
    Jul 30
    3.3 °C 11.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Gooroc minimum temp history (36.4678°S, 143.1986°E, 161m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 18.1° 27/07/2021 Coldest this month -1.0° 08/07/2021
    Hottest on record 20.2 25/07/2007 Coldest on record -3.7 22/07/2007
    Hottest this year 41.2° 24/01/2021 Coldest this year -1.4° 05/06/2021
    Long term average 14.0° Long term average 3.7°
    Average this month 13.2° Average this month 4.3°
    Hottest July On Record Avg. max. temp. 14.4° 2006 Coldest July on record Avg. min. temp. 2.2° 2015
    Gooroc rainfall history (36.4678°S, 143.1986°E, 161m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 9.6mm 26/07/2021 Total This Month 53.2mm
    20.0 days
    Long Term Average 34.2mm 17.0 days Wettest July on record 54.0mm 2009
    Driest on record 2.2mm 2015
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Gooroc Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jul 201.4mm 61.7 day(s)
    Total For 2021 224.6mm 61.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 243.0mm 56.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 44.8mm Jan29
    Lowest Temperature -1.4°C Jun 5
    Highest Temperature 41.2°C Jan24
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Gooroc Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 32.6 31.2 28.0 23.1 18.0 14.7 14.0 15.5 19.0 23.8 27.6 30.0 23.1
    Mean Min (°C) 15.5 14.9 12.7 9.2 6.4 4.1 3.7 3.9 5.2 7.6 11.1 13.1 9.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 30.4 17.5 22.9 27.3 35.2 33.9 34.2 35.1 34.4 23.9 37.7 33.5 362.2
    Mean Rain Days 5.2 4.2 5.5 5.8 11.0 13.0 17.0 13.6 9.5 7.0 7.2 7.4 106.4