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Forecast

Gobur (37.0144°S, 145.618°E, 326m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Thunderstorms
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 5-10mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:52am EST 7:21am EST 5:09pm EST 5:37pm EST
    NOW
    10.0° Feels Like: 7.6°
    Relative Humidity: 94%
    Dew: 9.1°
    Wind: NE 11km/h
    Gust: 13km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 1.6mm
    Pressure: 1008.9hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Gobur
    Now
    9.7°c
    Feels Like:
    7.5°
    Wind:
    N 11km/h
    Gusts:
    13km/h
    Humidity:
    99%
    Thunderstorms
     
    Min
    Max
    Today in Gobur
    Cloudy. Very high (near 100%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Snow falling above 1000 metres. The chance of a thunderstorm in the late morning and afternoon. Possible hail in the morning and afternoon. Winds N 20 to 30 km/h shifting W/SW 25 to 35 km/h during the morning and early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to around 6 with daytime temperatures reaching between 8 and 11.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    Min
    10°
    Max
    Cloudy. High chance of showers in the east, medium chance elsewhere. Winds SW 15 to 25 km/h becoming light early in the morning then becoming W 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to around 4 with daytime temperatures reaching between 10 and 14.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Very high (near 100%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Snow falling above 1000 metres. The chance of a thunderstorm in the late morning and afternoon. Possible hail in the morning and afternoon. Winds N 20 to 30 km/h shifting W/SW 25 to 35 km/h during the morning and early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to around 6 with daytime temperatures reaching between 8 and 11.

    Forecast for Gobur (37.0144°S, 145.618°E, 326m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Thunderstorms Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower Mostly sunny
    Minimum
    Maximum 10° 10° 11° 10°
    Chance of rain 90% 80% 10% 5% 50% 60% 30%
    Likely amount 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm
    UV index Low Low Low Low - - -
    Frost risk Nil Slight Nil Moderate Moderate Slight Slight
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 16
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNW WNW SW W SSW SSW SSE WSW ENE NNW ESE SW S SSW
    Relative humidity 95% 90% 90% 82% 84% 70% 79% 65% 83% 74% 86% 77% 82% 70%
    Dew point 6°C 6°C 5°C 7°C 6°C 5°C 3°C 5°C 4°C 6°C 5°C 5°C 3°C 4°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Gobur Rain Forecast


    Gobur 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    Jun 1
    HIGH
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    HIGH
    30
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May31

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 9 June to 13 June, 27 June to 1 July, and 1 July to 5 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 June to 13 June, and 27 June to 1 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 June to 13 June, 20 June to 24 June, and 27 June to 1 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Gobur Rain Forecast


    Gobur 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    2020
    2021
    8
    6
    6
    6
    7
    7
    6
    8
    7
    6
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued May 13

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout April with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.5. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -0.5 during the same month. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during the end of autumn and early winter, potentially cooling by the second half of the austral winter. Eight out of eight international models continue to suggest a cooling trend of the NINO3.4 region throughout the Austral winter, with all models on the cooler side of neutral by September. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) suggests a 40:35 chance for neutral:La Nina conditions by the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six main international models, however, continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing from mid-to-late winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current medium term outlook continues to favour above average rainfall for most of the country. This outlook is mainly driven by warmer SSTs across northwestern Australia, enhanced soil moisture across some parts of the continent and early indications of a cool phase in the Pacific Ocean, which increases the moisture content across the northern tropics. Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania the outlook is for average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their ‘drier’ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tasmania) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM). This doesn’t include any severe weather events like east coast lows.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Gobur Rain Forecast


    Gobur 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    Jun 1
    HIGH
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    HIGH
    30
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May31

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 9 June to 13 June, 27 June to 1 July, and 1 July to 5 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 June to 13 June, and 27 June to 1 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 June to 13 June, 20 June to 24 June, and 27 June to 1 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Gobur Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    May 27
    2.3 °C 12.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    May 28
    5.4 °C 14.0 °C
    1.2 mm
    Friday
    May 29
    2.1 °C 13.6 °C
    0.4 mm
    Saturday
    May 30
    3.3 °C 13.2 °C
    0.2 mm
    Sunday
    May 31
    8.3 °C -
    0.6 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Gobur minimum temp history (37.0144°S, 145.618°E, 326m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 18.0° 19/05/2020 Coldest this month -2.0° 15/05/2020
    Hottest on record 19.1 07/06/2005 Coldest on record -7.2 08/06/1982
    Hottest this year 42.0° 31/01/2020 Coldest this year -2.0° 15/05/2020
    Long term average 14.5° Long term average 3.7°
    Average this month 13.0° Average this month 2.9°
    Hottest June On Record Avg. max. temp. 13.1° 1991 Coldest June on record Avg. min. temp. -1.3° 2006
    Gobur rainfall history (37.0144°S, 145.618°E, 326m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 19.8mm 10/05/2020 Total This Month 87.7mm
    18.0 days
    Long Term Average 94.4mm 11.3 days Wettest June on record 321.2mm 1917
    Driest on record 21.1mm 1965
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Gobur Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To May 302.7mm 33.8 day(s)
    Total For 2020 490.1mm 58.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 207.8mm 44.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 69.6mm Mar 5
    Lowest Temperature -2.0°C May15
    Highest Temperature 42.0°C Jan31
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Gobur Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 27.3 27.3 24.0 18.9 14.5 11.3 10.2 11.6 14.3 17.8 21.6 24.6 18.6
    Mean Min (°C) 11.5 11.5 9.1 5.7 3.7 2.1 1.7 2.3 3.8 5.2 7.6 9.4 6.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 48.4 43.7 54.3 61.9 94.4 112.6 122.9 113.0 96.9 81.5 64.7 53.7 944.0
    Mean Rain Days 5.1 4.5 5.6 7.3 11.3 13.6 15.6 14.5 12.3 10.3 8.1 6.5 106.4