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Forecast

Girgarre East (36.4436°S, 145.0683°E, 107m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Showers 11°
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:54am EST 7:22am EST 5:13pm EST 5:41pm EST
    NOW
    10.3° Feels Like: 9.0°
    Relative Humidity: 99%
    Dew: 10.1°
    Wind: N 7km/h
    Gust: 7km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Girgarre East
    Now
    10.2°c
    Feels Like:
    9.0°
    Wind:
    NNE 6km/h
    Gusts:
    7km/h
    Humidity:
    96%
    Showers
     
    Min
    11°
    Max
    Today in Girgarre East
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the late morning and afternoon. Gusty winds and possible hail. Winds N 25 to 35 km/h shifting W/SW during the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to around 6 with daytime temperatures reaching around 11.
    Tomorrow
    Showers
    Min
    11°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the southeast, most likely in the early morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds W/SW 15 to 25 km/h becoming light early in the morning then becoming W 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to around 4 with daytime temperatures reaching around 14.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the late morning and afternoon. Gusty winds and possible hail. Winds N 25 to 35 km/h shifting W/SW during the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to around 6 with daytime temperatures reaching around 11.

    Forecast for Girgarre East (36.4436°S, 145.0683°E, 107m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Showers Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Frost then sunny Possible shower Mostly sunny
    Minimum
    Maximum 11° 14° 14° 14° 15° 11° 12°
    Chance of rain 80% 10% 5% 10% 30% 70% 30%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm
    UV index Low Low Low Low - - -
    Frost risk Nil Moderate Nil Moderate High Slight Moderate
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 19
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    Wind direction W W W W SW SSW SSE S NE NNW SW SW S SSW
    Relative humidity 96% 78% 94% 71% 87% 63% 94% 64% 99% 68% 96% 75% 88% 65%
    Dew point 8°C 6°C 6°C 8°C 7°C 6°C 6°C 7°C 5°C 8°C 6°C 6°C 5°C 5°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Girgarre East Rain Forecast


    Girgarre East 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    31
    HIGH
    Jun 1
    HIGH
    2
    3
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May31

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 9 June to 13 June, 27 June to 1 July, and 1 July to 5 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 June to 13 June, and 27 June to 1 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 June to 13 June, 20 June to 24 June, and 27 June to 1 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Girgarre East Rain Forecast


    Girgarre East 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    2020
    2021
    5
    8
    8
    8
    7
    8
    8
    6
    8
    9
    6
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued May 13

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout April with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.5. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -0.5 during the same month. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during the end of autumn and early winter, potentially cooling by the second half of the austral winter. Eight out of eight international models continue to suggest a cooling trend of the NINO3.4 region throughout the Austral winter, with all models on the cooler side of neutral by September. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) suggests a 40:35 chance for neutral:La Nina conditions by the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six main international models, however, continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing from mid-to-late winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current medium term outlook continues to favour above average rainfall for most of the country. This outlook is mainly driven by warmer SSTs across northwestern Australia, enhanced soil moisture across some parts of the continent and early indications of a cool phase in the Pacific Ocean, which increases the moisture content across the northern tropics. Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania the outlook is for average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their ‘drier’ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tasmania) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM). This doesn’t include any severe weather events like east coast lows.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Girgarre East Rain Forecast


    Girgarre East 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    31
    HIGH
    Jun 1
    HIGH
    2
    3
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May31

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 9 June to 13 June, 27 June to 1 July, and 1 July to 5 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 June to 13 June, and 27 June to 1 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 June to 13 June, 20 June to 24 June, and 27 June to 1 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Girgarre East Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    May 27
    6.4 °C 16.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    May 28
    3.1 °C 17.2 °C
    0.2 mm
    Friday
    May 29
    3.9 °C 16.5 °C
    0.2 mm
    Saturday
    May 30
    4.8 °C 17.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    May 31
    8.6 °C 17.2 °C
    0.2 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Girgarre East minimum temp history (36.4436°S, 145.0683°E, 107m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 20.6° 07/05/2020 Coldest this month 0.4° 15/05/2020
    Hottest on record 26.7 08/05/1978 Coldest on record -2.5 17/05/1979
    Hottest this year 46.2° 31/01/2020 Coldest this year 0.4° 15/05/2020
    Long term average 17.3° Long term average 6.1°
    Average this month 16.0° Average this month 5.2°
    Hottest May On Record Avg. max. temp. 19.3° 2005 Coldest May on record Avg. min. temp. 3.8° 1991
    Girgarre East rainfall history (36.4436°S, 145.0683°E, 107m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 17.0mm 21/05/2020 Total This Month 35.0mm
    16.0 days
    Long Term Average 42.3mm 10.8 days Wettest May on record 127.2mm 1974
    Driest on record 2.2mm 2005
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Girgarre East Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To May 172.0mm 31.2 day(s)
    Total For 2020 315.4mm 50.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 107.8mm 30.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 66.4mm Mar 5
    Lowest Temperature 0.4°C May15
    Highest Temperature 46.2°C Jan31
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Girgarre East Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.3 30.0 26.6 21.8 17.3 13.9 13.1 14.9 17.6 21.4 25.2 28.1 21.7
    Mean Min (°C) 14.4 14.8 12.4 8.8 6.1 3.9 3.1 3.9 5.3 7.5 10.3 12.5 8.6
    Mean Rain (mm) 33.8 28.6 29.4 37.9 42.3 40.8 43.3 43.6 43.0 39.1 37.3 32.4 451.2
    Mean Rain Days 4.8 4.1 5.1 6.4 10.8 14.1 16.3 13.6 11.5 8.8 7.4 6.1 107.5