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Forecast

Georges Creek (36.1523°S, 147.2604°E, 257m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Mostly sunny 19° 33°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:26am EDT 6:52am EDT 7:58pm EDT 8:24pm EDT
    NOW
    25.1° Feels Like: 25.7°
    Relative Humidity: 57%
    Dew: 16.0°
    Wind: SSE 7km/h
    Gust: 9km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1019.6hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Georges Creek
    Now
    19.3°c
    Feels Like:
    18.0°
    Wind:
    NW 9km/h
    Gusts:
    13km/h
    Humidity:
    61%
    Mostly sunny
     
    19°
    Min
    33°
    Max
    Today in Georges Creek
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds N/NW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 18 with daytime temperatures reaching 24 to 32.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    19°
    Min
    33°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the south, slight chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming NW 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 14 and 18 with daytime temperatures reaching 26 to 35.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Georges Creek

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds N/NW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 18 with daytime temperatures reaching 24 to 32.

    Forecast for Georges Creek (36.1523°S, 147.2604°E, 257m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Clearing shower Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 19° 19° 20° 10° 10° 13° 15°
    Maximum 33° 35° 27° 27° 30° 31° 33°
    Chance of rain 5% 60% 20% 5% 5% 5% 30%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Very High Extreme Very High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 4
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNE W ENE NW NW WSW SSW W WSW W SE WSW E NNE
    Relative humidity 70% 43% 63% 32% 67% 35% 57% 27% 63% 31% 63% 33% 65% 34%
    Dew point 17°C 18°C 17°C 16°C 15°C 10°C 6°C 5°C 9°C 10°C 12°C 12°C 14°C 14°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Georges Creek Rain Forecast


    Georges Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    Mar 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    HIGH
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    21
    22
    23
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb23

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 11 March to 15 March, 17 March to 21 March, and 24 March to 28 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 1 March to 5 March, 6 March to 10 March, and 14 March to 18 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 March to 16 March, 17 March to 21 March, and 24 March to 28 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Georges Creek Rain Forecast


    Georges Creek 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2020
    2021
    8
    6
    6
    5
    7
    7
    7
    4
    1
    6
    5
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 12

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout January with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 as per December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 1.3 in January. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, cooling even further by mid 2020. Six out of eight international models continue to maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of the year, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, which is what you will expect for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values until the austral winter, with indications we could see another positive event late winter/spring. However, the skill of the models is low at this time of the year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours average-to-below average rainfall for parts of inland NSW and Qld for the end of summer and autumn. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) had its latest onset on record in early February at Darwin (by its technical definition) with the current prognosis suggesting another below average wet season for northern Australia. The northern half of the country however, could see a wet end to the wet season compared to the season thus far. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Georges Creek Rain Forecast


    Georges Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    Mar 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    HIGH
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    21
    22
    23
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb23

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 11 March to 15 March, 17 March to 21 March, and 24 March to 28 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 1 March to 5 March, 6 March to 10 March, and 14 March to 18 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 March to 16 March, 17 March to 21 March, and 24 March to 28 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Georges Creek Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Feb 19
    14.9 °C 23.7 °C
    1.4 mm
    Thursday
    Feb 20
    10.4 °C 28.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Feb 21
    12.4 °C 30.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Feb 22
    15.8 °C 31.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Feb 23
    16.3 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Georges Creek minimum temp history (36.1523°S, 147.2604°E, 257m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 40.7° 01/02/2020 Coldest this month 10.4° 20/02/2020
    Hottest on record 44.9 07/02/2009 Coldest on record 6.7 21/02/1970
    Hottest this year 45.5° 31/01/2020 Coldest this year 10.4° 20/02/2020
    Long term average 30.7° Long term average 17.2°
    Average this month 31.1° Average this month 18.6°
    Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 34.4° 1983 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 13.9° 1996
    Georges Creek rainfall history (36.1523°S, 147.2604°E, 257m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 13.6mm 15/02/2020 Total This Month 32.4mm
    7.0 days
    Long Term Average 43.0mm 5.4 days Wettest February on record 240.8mm 2011
    Driest on record 0.0mm 1923
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Georges Creek Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Feb 89.3mm 10.9 day(s)
    Total For 2020 65.4mm 13.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 44.4mm 12.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 15.4mm Jan20
    Lowest Temperature 10.4°C Feb20
    Highest Temperature 45.5°C Jan31
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Georges Creek Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 31.0 30.7 27.3 22.0 17.0 13.3 12.4 14.2 17.2 21.1 25.2 28.4 21.6
    Mean Min (°C) 17.1 17.2 14.2 10.4 7.5 5.2 4.4 5.2 6.9 9.3 12.1 14.6 10.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 46.3 43.0 45.7 52.4 59.0 68.0 76.9 76.0 62.0 67.7 53.2 49.2 699.0
    Mean Rain Days 5.5 5.4 5.9 7.2 11.2 14.2 16.6 14.9 11.4 10.2 8.1 6.6 116.2