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Forecast

Gelantipy (37.2243°S, 148.2636°E, 684m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Late shower 13° 30°
    late shower
    Chance of rain: 70%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:10am EDT 5:40am EDT 8:12pm EDT 8:43pm EDT
    NOW
    29.6° Feels Like: 24.6°
    Relative Humidity: 27%
    Dew: 8.6°
    Wind: NW 24km/h
    Gust: 30km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1006.3hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Gelantipy
    Now
    29.1°c
    Feels Like:
    22.7°
    Wind:
    N 33km/h
    Gusts:
    44km/h
    Humidity:
    31%
    Late shower
     
    13°
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Today in Gelantipy
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Gusty winds in the afternoon and evening. Winds N/NW 25 to 35 km/h shifting SW 15 to 25 km/h during the afternoon and evening.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    Min
    17°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Winds W/SW 20 to 30 km/h tending S/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 21.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Gusty winds in the afternoon and evening. Winds N/NW 25 to 35 km/h shifting SW 15 to 25 km/h during the afternoon and evening.

    Forecast for Gelantipy (37.2243°S, 148.2636°E, 684m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Late shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Late shower Clearing shower Late shower
    Minimum 13°
    Maximum 30° 17° 21° 21° 24° 17° 17°
    Chance of rain 70% 5% 5% 5% 60% 20% 80%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm < 1mm 5-10mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Very High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 15
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNE NW SW SSW S SSW WNW SW NNE N W WNW NW WNW
    Relative humidity 48% 34% 61% 50% 71% 50% 57% 48% 59% 47% 66% 48% 58% 53%
    Dew point 11°C 12°C 4°C 5°C 7°C 9°C 8°C 9°C 9°C 10°C 6°C 5°C 4°C 6°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Gelantipy Rain Forecast


    Gelantipy 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    Dec 1
    HIGH
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    HIGH
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    HIGH
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    HIGH
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 1

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 6 December to 10 December, 16 December to 20 December, and 1 January to 5 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 7 December to 11 December, 11 December to 15 December, and 19 December to 23 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 6 December to 10 December, 16 December to 20 December, and 20 December to 24 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Gelantipy Rain Forecast


    Gelantipy 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    2020
    2021
    8
    8
    8
    8
    7
    6
    8
    6
    8
    3
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 11

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is well underway in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific waters, with significant cooling observed during the last few months. The atmospheric and ocean conditions have both exceeded La Niña thresholds, increasing the confidence of La Niña influencing the outlook until at least the remainder of summer. The majority of models predict that La Niña will peak in December or January, with all models predicting the event will last until January, 6 of 8 models to February and 5 of 8 to March. Given we have observed both the atmosphere and the oceans responding to La Nina, the models have strengthened the event, with around half of the models predicting a strong event. The 2010-2012 La Niña event is different to this year, due to the influence of a negative Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) in 2010-2012, which enhanced the rainfall across Australia. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is neutral, which is likely tocontinue through to at least autumn. Two of six international models indicate a negative IOD during November, before becoming neutral in December. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. La Niña increases the likelihood of above normal precipitation in spring and summer across much of Australia. The remainder of spring looks wetter than normal for much of Australia, except for parts of western WA and western TAS, where normal precipitation is expected. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal including western WA during these months. Western TAS precipitation outlook continues to be normal through summer. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brings an early start to the northern wet season.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Gelantipy Rain Forecast


    Gelantipy 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    Dec 1
    HIGH
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    HIGH
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    HIGH
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    HIGH
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 1

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 6 December to 10 December, 16 December to 20 December, and 1 January to 5 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 7 December to 11 December, 11 December to 15 December, and 19 December to 23 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 6 December to 10 December, 16 December to 20 December, and 20 December to 24 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Gelantipy Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Nov 27
    10.7 °C 29.8 °C
    0.2 mm
    Saturday
    Nov 28
    16.9 °C 31.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Nov 29
    15.6 °C 22.1 °C
    4.4 mm
    Monday
    Nov 30
    6.0 °C 23.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Dec 01
    12.8 °C 29.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Gelantipy minimum temp history (37.2243°S, 148.2636°E, 684m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 26.3° 11/11/2020 Coldest this month 1.6° 08/11/2020
    Hottest on record 36.5 31/12/2005 Coldest on record 0.6 20/12/1999
    Hottest this year 39.2° 31/01/2020 Coldest this year -1.7° 24/07/2020
    Long term average 19.1° Long term average 8.0°
    Average this month 22.3° Average this month 10.2°
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 24.0° 2015 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 7.2° 1996
    Gelantipy rainfall history (37.2243°S, 148.2636°E, 684m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 13.8mm 01/11/2020 Total This Month 64.4mm
    11.0 days
    Long Term Average 98.7mm 14.3 days Wettest December on record 159.8mm 2014
    Driest on record 18.0mm 2006
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Gelantipy Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Dec 750.0mm 152.7 day(s)
    Total For 2020 669.6mm 156.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 519.8mm 126.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 52.8mm Jul28
    Lowest Temperature -1.7°C Jul24
    Highest Temperature 39.2°C Jan31
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Gelantipy Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 24.0 23.2 20.4 16.4 13.0 10.1 9.6 11.2 13.8 16.5 19.1 21.3 16.5
    Mean Min (°C) 11.7 11.6 9.8 7.0 4.9 3.2 2.2 2.8 4.5 6.0 8.0 9.4 6.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 63.9 71.8 65.4 63.7 47.5 79.6 62.5 56.8 63.2 76.9 98.7 71.1 820.6
    Mean Rain Days 12.3 11.7 14.0 13.9 14.5 14.2 15.0 13.3 14.8 14.7 14.3 13.3 159.0