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Forecast

Geelong (38.1473°S, 144.3607°E, 13m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Late shower 13° 26°
    late shower
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 10-20mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    7:12am EDT 7:39am EDT 7:12pm EDT 7:39pm EDT
    NOW
    15.8° Feels Like: 15.7°
    Relative Humidity: 95%
    Dew: 15.0°
    Wind: NE 9km/h
    Gust: 13km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 3.6mm
    Pressure: 1005.0hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Geelong
    Now
    15.2°c
    Feels Like:
    14.7°
    Wind:
    ENE 11km/h
    Gusts:
    13km/h
    Humidity:
    100%
    Late shower
     
    13°
    Min
    26°
    Max
    Today in Geelong
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers this afternoon and evening. Showers tending to rain during the late evening. The chance of a thunderstorm during this afternoon and evening. Winds N 20 to 30 km/h increasing to 25 to 35 km/h in the middle of the day. Daytime maximum temperatures between 19 and 25.
    Tomorrow
    Windy with showers
    11°
    Min
    16°
    Max
    Cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Snow falling above 1100 metres. The chance of a thunderstorm near the Otways in the early afternoon. Possible hail. Heavy falls possible in the southeast. Winds W/NW 35 to 50 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 16.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of showers this afternoon and evening. Showers tending to rain during the late evening. The chance of a thunderstorm during this afternoon and evening. Winds N 20 to 30 km/h increasing to 25 to 35 km/h in the middle of the day. Daytime maximum temperatures between 19 and 25.

    Forecast for Geelong (38.1473°S, 144.3607°E, 13m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Late shower Windy with showers Possible shower Cloudy Cloudy Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 13° 11° 10° 11°
    Maximum 26° 16° 16° 17° 17° 18° 20°
    Chance of rain 90% 80% 80% 30% 40% 60% 20%
    Likely amount 10-20mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 7
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    36
    (km/h)
    35
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNE N W WNW NW W W SW SW SSW SW SSW SSW SSW
    Relative humidity 95% 58% 90% 67% 85% 78% 80% 65% 80% 68% 85% 68% 79% 67%
    Dew point 14°C 16°C 12°C 9°C 10°C 10°C 10°C 9°C 11°C 10°C 12°C 11°C 11°C 12°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Geelong Rain Forecast


    Geelong 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    5
    HIGH
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    HIGH
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    HIGH
    May 1
    HIGH
    2
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 2

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 23 April to 27 April, 27 April to 1 May, and 6 May to 10 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 21 April to 25 April, and 6 May to 10 May. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 19 April to 23 April, 23 April to 27 April, and 4 May to 8 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Geelong Rain Forecast


    Geelong 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2020
    2021
    6
    5
    7
    7
    5
    6
    5
    9
    1
    6
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 9

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout February with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.3. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -2.2 in February. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, potentially cooling further by the austral winter. Four out of seven international models maintain a slightly warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of winter. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values through to the austral winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current outlook favours below average rainfall for western, central and southeastern parts of the country. Across NSW and Qld, the outlook is for average-to-above average, mainly across the Qld coasts. This excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) has been quiet for most of the wet season, with the current prognosis suggesting below average rainfall for March but above average in April. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter. The current consensus, however, suggests that average to above average rainfall is a possibility across northern, western and parts of the inland south east.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Geelong Rain Forecast


    Geelong 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    5
    HIGH
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    HIGH
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    HIGH
    May 1
    HIGH
    2
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 2

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 23 April to 27 April, 27 April to 1 May, and 6 May to 10 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 21 April to 25 April, and 6 May to 10 May. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 19 April to 23 April, 23 April to 27 April, and 4 May to 8 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Geelong Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Mar 30
    11.8 °C 22.5 °C
    7.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Mar 31
    9.9 °C 21.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Apr 01
    8.6 °C 22.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Apr 02
    12.2 °C 18 °C
    17.6 mm
    Friday
    Apr 03
    12 °C -
    4.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Geelong minimum temp history (38.1473°S, 144.3607°E, 13m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 21.0° 01/04/2020 Coldest this month 7.7° 01/04/2020
    Hottest on record 36.1 01/04/2014 Coldest on record 0.6 24/04/1999
    Hottest this year 44.3° 31/01/2020 Coldest this year 7.2° 27/02/2020
    Long term average 20.5° Long term average 9.7°
    Average this month 21.0° Average this month 9.8°
    Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 23.4° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 8.4° 1995
    Geelong rainfall history (38.1473°S, 144.3607°E, 13m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 24.0mm 02/04/2020 Total This Month 24.0mm
    1.0 days
    Long Term Average 37.5mm 7.5 days Wettest April on record 113.6mm 2017
    Driest on record 2.0mm 1997
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Geelong Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Apr 124.2mm 21.8 day(s)
    Total For 2020 209.8mm 26.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 20.4mm 16.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 49.4mm Jan16
    Lowest Temperature 7.2°C Feb27
    Highest Temperature 44.3°C Jan31
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Geelong Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.4 26.3 24.3 20.5 17.4 14.7 14.1 15.5 17.7 20.2 22.3 24.4 20.3
    Mean Min (°C) 14.1 14.5 12.6 9.7 7.6 5.8 5.2 5.5 6.7 8.0 10.5 11.8 9.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 29.5 31.5 25.7 37.5 34.8 38.5 38.2 41.8 45.3 45.5 45.4 28.8 443.7
    Mean Rain Days 4.7 4.2 5.4 7.5 9.6 10.8 12.2 11.9 11.4 9.8 8.0 6.8 96.2