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Forecast

Garibaldi (37.7263°S, 143.8712°E, 357m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Late shower 11°
    late shower
    Chance of rain: 40%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    7:05am EST 7:34am EST 5:13pm EST 5:42pm EST
    NOW
    -0.2° Feels Like: -2.2°
    Relative Humidity: 99%
    Dew: -0.3°
    Wind: N 0km/h
    Gust: 0km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1027.4hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Garibaldi
    Now
    5.7°c
    Feels Like:
    3.0°
    Wind:
    N 7km/h
    Gusts:
    9km/h
    Humidity:
    90%
    Late shower
     
    Min
    11°
    Max
    Today in Garibaldi
    Mostly cloudy. Areas of morning frost about the ranges. Areas of morning fog. Very high chance of showers near the Otways, medium chance elsewhere. Light winds becoming S/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between zero and 6 with daytime temperatures reaching between 10 and 13.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    Min
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the morning and afternoon. Winds S 15 to 20 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 2 and 7 with daytime temperatures reaching between 8 and 13.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Garibaldi

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly cloudy. Areas of morning frost about the ranges. Areas of morning fog. Very high chance of showers near the Otways, medium chance elsewhere. Light winds becoming S/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between zero and 6 with daytime temperatures reaching between 10 and 13.

    Forecast for Garibaldi (37.7263°S, 143.8712°E, 357m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Late shower Possible shower Frost then sunny Frost then sunny Mostly sunny Frost then sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum
    Maximum 11° 11° 11° 13° 13° 14°
    Chance of rain 40% 20% 5% 5% 10% 30% 20%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Low Low Low Low - - -
    Frost risk High Moderate High High Moderate Moderate Moderate
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 5
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SSE S SSW SSW SSW S NNE NNE NNE N N N NE NNE
    Relative humidity 100% 88% 97% 75% 100% 69% 98% 75% 99% 73% 98% 77% 97% 74%
    Dew point 5°C 8°C 5°C 4°C 5°C 5°C 5°C 6°C 7°C 8°C 7°C 8°C 8°C 9°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Garibaldi Rain Forecast


    Garibaldi 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    MEDIUM
    Jul 1
    HIGH
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun 5

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 June to 28 June, 28 June to 2 July, and 8 July to 12 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 17 June to 21 June, and 6 July to 10 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 June to 17 June, 24 June to 28 June, and 8 July to 12 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Garibaldi Rain Forecast


    Garibaldi 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    2020
    2021
    7
    7
    6
    6
    7
    8
    6
    8
    7
    5
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued May 13

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout April with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.5. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -0.5 during the same month. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during the end of autumn and early winter, potentially cooling by the second half of the austral winter. Eight out of eight international models continue to suggest a cooling trend of the NINO3.4 region throughout the Austral winter, with all models on the cooler side of neutral by September. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) suggests a 40:35 chance for neutral:La Nina conditions by the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six main international models, however, continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing from mid-to-late winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current medium term outlook continues to favour above average rainfall for most of the country. This outlook is mainly driven by warmer SSTs across northwestern Australia, enhanced soil moisture across some parts of the continent and early indications of a cool phase in the Pacific Ocean, which increases the moisture content across the northern tropics. Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania the outlook is for average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their ‘drier’ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tasmania) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM). This doesn’t include any severe weather events like east coast lows.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Garibaldi Rain Forecast


    Garibaldi 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    MEDIUM
    Jul 1
    HIGH
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun 5

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 June to 28 June, 28 June to 2 July, and 8 July to 12 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 17 June to 21 June, and 6 July to 10 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 June to 17 June, 24 June to 28 June, and 8 July to 12 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Garibaldi Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Jun 01
    4.4 °C 7.3 °C
    7.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jun 02
    4.2 °C 10.9 °C
    5.4 mm
    Wednesday
    Jun 03
    6.8 °C 10.7 °C
    1.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jun 04
    1.0 °C 13.0 °C
    0.2 mm
    Friday
    Jun 05
    0.4 °C 11.7 °C
    0.2 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Garibaldi minimum temp history (37.7263°S, 143.8712°E, 357m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 13.0° 04/06/2020 Coldest this month 0.4° 05/06/2020
    Hottest on record 21.6 05/06/1957 Coldest on record -4.6 23/06/1979
    Hottest this year 39.4° 31/01/2020 Coldest this year -1.2° 14/05/2020
    Long term average 11.1° Long term average 3.9°
    Average this month 10.1° Average this month 3.4°
    Hottest June On Record Avg. max. temp. 14.6° 1957 Coldest June on record Avg. min. temp. 1.8° 2006
    Garibaldi rainfall history (37.7263°S, 143.8712°E, 357m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 7.0mm 01/06/2020 Total This Month 13.8mm
    5.0 days
    Long Term Average 62.7mm 18.2 days Wettest June on record 169.5mm 1977
    Driest on record 12.8mm 2006
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Garibaldi Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jun 303.3mm 71.3 day(s)
    Total For 2020 324.0mm 69.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 202.6mm 57.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 30.6mm Apr 4
    Lowest Temperature -1.2°C May14
    Highest Temperature 39.4°C Jan31
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Garibaldi Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 25.5 25.4 22.6 18.2 13.9 11.1 10.2 11.6 13.8 16.8 19.8 22.8 17.6
    Mean Min (°C) 11.2 11.6 10.1 7.4 5.6 3.9 3.0 3.5 4.6 6.1 7.9 9.5 7.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 39.5 44.1 41.9 51.3 63.8 62.7 66.6 74.0 72.1 66.5 55.5 49.9 687.9
    Mean Rain Days 7.6 7.2 9.4 12.5 16.4 18.2 20.1 19.6 16.8 15.4 12.7 10.9 165.6