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Forecast

Gardenvale West (37.8898°S, 145.0032°E, 12m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 16°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    7:06am EST 7:35am EST 5:16pm EST 5:45pm EST
    NOW
    16.2° Feels Like: 12.3°
    Relative Humidity: 56%
    Dew: 7.4°
    Wind: N 17km/h
    Gust: 24km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1025.5hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Gardenvale West
    Now
    15.5°c
    Feels Like:
    11.5°
    Wind:
    N 18km/h
    Gusts:
    26km/h
    Humidity:
    62%
    Mostly sunny
     
    Min
    16°
    Max
    Today in Gardenvale West
    Mostly sunny. Patchy morning fog. Areas of fog late tonight. Winds N/NE 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the evening.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly cloudy
    Min
    16°
    Max
    Patchy fog in the early morning. Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower, most likely in the afternoon and evening. Winds N/NE 25 to 35 km/h.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Gardenvale West

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Patchy morning fog. Areas of fog late tonight. Winds N/NE 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the evening.

    Forecast for Gardenvale West (37.8898°S, 145.0032°E, 12m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly cloudy Possible thunderstorm Possible shower Cloudy Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum
    Maximum 16° 16° 15° 14° 15° 15° 15°
    Chance of rain 5% 50% 50% 60% 20% 20% 20%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Low Low Low Low Low - -
    Frost risk Slight Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 7
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNE NNE NE NNE NNE SW NW SSW S S SSE SSE SSE S
    Relative humidity 92% 56% 88% 70% 94% 77% 98% 78% 99% 73% 91% 65% 88% 68%
    Dew point 7°C 8°C 8°C 10°C 10°C 10°C 9°C 9°C 9°C 9°C 9°C 8°C 7°C 9°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Gardenvale West Rain Forecast


    Gardenvale West 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    9
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    HIGH
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    MEDIUM
    Aug 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    4
    HIGH
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul 9

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 18 July to 22 July, 3 August to 7 August, and 8 August to 12 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 1 August to 5 August, and 9 August to 13 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 July to 22 July, 2 August to 6 August, and 9 August to 13 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Gardenvale West Rain Forecast


    Gardenvale West 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2020
    2021
    4
    4
    6
    6
    7
    7
    6
    7
    5
    5
    3
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jun 15

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific exhibited significant cooling over the past month, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.1in May. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 2.8 during the same month. The current outlook suggests cooler than average SSTs will take hold across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during winter, potentially reaching La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 45:40 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. However, out of season Tropical CycloneMangga brought some significant cooling to the sea surface temperatures to the northwest of Australia late in May. This disrupted the warming trend in the region that would have led to a negative IOD by mid-winter. Nonetheless, all but one of the six main international models (BoMs outlook), continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing later in winter/first half of spring. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current short-term outlook now favours below average rainfall for most of the country for the remainder of June and early July. This outlook is mainly driven by cooler SSTs across northwestern Australia, reducing the amount of available moisture in the atmosphere. As discussed earlier, tropical cyclone Mangga was a key player in the cooling of the SSTs off the northwest coast. Most models, however, are indicating a positive IOD is still on the cards later in winter and through spring, bringing a wetter outlook for most of the southern half of the country from mid-to-lateJuly. Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania, the outlook continues to favour average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their ‘drier’ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tas) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM).

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Gardenvale West Rain Forecast


    Gardenvale West 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    9
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    HIGH
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    MEDIUM
    Aug 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    4
    HIGH
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul 9

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 18 July to 22 July, 3 August to 7 August, and 8 August to 12 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 1 August to 5 August, and 9 August to 13 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 July to 22 July, 2 August to 6 August, and 9 August to 13 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Gardenvale West Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Jul 05
    8.9 °C 12.5 °C
    4.6 mm
    Monday
    Jul 06
    8.1 °C 13.1 °C
    1.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jul 07
    8.9 °C 11.8 °C
    1.4 mm
    Wednesday
    Jul 08
    4.9 °C 15.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jul 09
    5.7 °C 17.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Gardenvale West minimum temp history (37.8898°S, 145.0032°E, 12m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 17.4° 01/07/2020 Coldest this month 4.9° 08/07/2020
    Hottest on record 23.1 30/07/1975 Coldest on record -2.8 21/07/1869
    Hottest this year 42.9° 31/01/2020 Coldest this year 1.7° 28/06/2020
    Long term average 13.5° Long term average 6.0°
    Average this month 13.7° Average this month 7.9°
    Hottest July On Record Avg. max. temp. 15.7° 1975 Coldest July on record Avg. min. temp. 3.8° 1899
    Gardenvale West rainfall history (37.8898°S, 145.0032°E, 12m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 7.8mm 04/07/2020 Total This Month 16.0mm
    5.0 days
    Long Term Average 47.5mm 16.2 days Wettest July on record 178.4mm 1891
    Driest on record 9.4mm 1979
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Gardenvale West Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jul 355.2mm 83.0 day(s)
    Total For 2020 512.6mm 76.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 157.8mm 63.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 54.6mm Mar 5
    Lowest Temperature 1.7°C Jun28
    Highest Temperature 42.9°C Jan31
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Gardenvale West Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 25.9 25.8 23.9 20.3 16.7 14.1 13.5 15.0 17.2 19.7 22.0 24.2 19.8
    Mean Min (°C) 14.3 14.6 13.2 10.8 8.7 6.9 6.0 6.7 8.0 9.5 11.2 12.9 10.2
    Mean Rain (mm) 47.1 48.0 50.1 57.3 55.7 49.5 47.5 50.0 58.0 66.0 60.3 59.1 648.3
    Mean Rain Days 8.3 7.4 9.4 11.7 14.6 15.4 16.2 16.1 14.9 14.1 11.7 10.4 149.2