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Forecast

Gardenvale (37.8969°S, 145.0052°E, 11m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible shower 11° 17°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 70%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:57am EST 7:26am EST 5:09pm EST 5:38pm EST
    NOW
    12.6° Feels Like: 9.5°
    Relative Humidity: 72%
    Dew: 7.7°
    Wind: N 13km/h
    Gust: 24km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1012.5hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Gardenvale
    Now
    12.8°c
    Feels Like:
    8.2°
    Wind:
    N 20km/h
    Gusts:
    28km/h
    Humidity:
    70%
    Possible shower
     
    11°
    Min
    17°
    Max
    Today in Gardenvale
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers over western suburbs grading to a high chance of showers about outer eastern suburbs. Winds N/NW 20 to 30 km/h decreasing to 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    Min
    14°
    Max
    Cloudy. High chance of showers. Winds N 20 to 30 km/h shifting SW in the late afternoon.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers over western suburbs grading to a high chance of showers about outer eastern suburbs. Winds N/NW 20 to 30 km/h decreasing to 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day.

    Forecast for Gardenvale (37.8969°S, 145.0052°E, 11m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Possible shower Possible shower Showers Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower
    Minimum 11° 10°
    Maximum 17° 14° 15° 14° 14° 15° 14°
    Chance of rain 70% 80% 50% 10% 10% 70% 70%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index Low Low Low Low Low - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Slight Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 12
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    2
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    Wind direction N NNW NNW W WNW W SW SW WNW SSW N NNW NW SW
    Relative humidity 70% 55% 82% 73% 85% 70% 74% 60% 83% 61% 81% 59% 84% 71%
    Dew point 8°C 7°C 8°C 8°C 7°C 9°C 7°C 5°C 6°C 5°C 5°C 6°C 6°C 7°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Gardenvale Rain Forecast


    Gardenvale 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    31
    MEDIUM
    Jun 1
    HIGH
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    4
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    14
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May30

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 17 June to 21 June, 21 June to 25 June, and 27 June to 1 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 June to 26 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 4 June to 8 June, 21 June to 25 June, and 27 June to 1 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Gardenvale Rain Forecast


    Gardenvale 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    2020
    2021
    7
    6
    6
    5
    6
    6
    7
    6
    6
    7
    5
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued May 13

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout April with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.5. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -0.5 during the same month. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during the end of autumn and early winter, potentially cooling by the second half of the austral winter. Eight out of eight international models continue to suggest a cooling trend of the NINO3.4 region throughout the Austral winter, with all models on the cooler side of neutral by September. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) suggests a 40:35 chance for neutral:La Nina conditions by the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six main international models, however, continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing from mid-to-late winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current medium term outlook continues to favour above average rainfall for most of the country. This outlook is mainly driven by warmer SSTs across northwestern Australia, enhanced soil moisture across some parts of the continent and early indications of a cool phase in the Pacific Ocean, which increases the moisture content across the northern tropics. Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania the outlook is for average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their ‘drier’ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tasmania) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM). This doesn’t include any severe weather events like east coast lows.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Gardenvale Rain Forecast


    Gardenvale 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    31
    MEDIUM
    Jun 1
    HIGH
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    4
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    14
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May30

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 17 June to 21 June, 21 June to 25 June, and 27 June to 1 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 June to 26 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 4 June to 8 June, 21 June to 25 June, and 27 June to 1 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Gardenvale Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    May 26
    5.4 °C 18.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    May 27
    5.9 °C 17.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    May 28
    12.1 °C 17.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    May 29
    7.2 °C 17.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    May 30
    8.1 °C 17.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Gardenvale minimum temp history (37.8969°S, 145.0052°E, 11m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 21.1° 07/05/2020 Coldest this month 4.5° 15/05/2020
    Hottest on record 28.7 07/05/1905 Coldest on record -1.1 29/05/1916
    Hottest this year 42.9° 31/01/2020 Coldest this year 4.5° 15/05/2020
    Long term average 16.7° Long term average 8.7°
    Average this month 16.2° Average this month 8.6°
    Hottest May On Record Avg. max. temp. 19.6° 1866 Coldest May on record Avg. min. temp. 6.3° 1870
    Gardenvale rainfall history (37.8969°S, 145.0052°E, 11m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 15.6mm 20/05/2020 Total This Month 66.8mm
    15.0 days
    Long Term Average 55.7mm 14.6 days Wettest May on record 142.5mm 1942
    Driest on record 3.8mm 1934
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Gardenvale Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To May 258.2mm 51.4 day(s)
    Total For 2020 467.6mm 60.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 101.0mm 42.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 54.6mm Mar 5
    Lowest Temperature 4.5°C May15
    Highest Temperature 42.9°C Jan31
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Gardenvale Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 25.9 25.8 23.9 20.3 16.7 14.1 13.5 15.0 17.2 19.7 22.0 24.2 19.8
    Mean Min (°C) 14.3 14.6 13.2 10.8 8.7 6.9 6.0 6.7 8.0 9.5 11.2 12.9 10.2
    Mean Rain (mm) 47.1 48.0 50.1 57.3 55.7 49.5 47.5 50.0 58.0 66.0 60.3 59.1 648.3
    Mean Rain Days 8.3 7.4 9.4 11.7 14.6 15.4 16.2 16.1 14.9 14.1 11.7 10.4 149.2