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Forecast

Gainsborough (38.2436°S, 145.9653°E, 118m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Rain developing 10° 18°
    rain developing
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 10-20mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:50am EST 7:18am EST 5:27pm EST 5:55pm EST
    NOW
    14.2° Feels Like: 9.4°
    Relative Humidity: 53%
    Dew: 4.7°
    Wind: N 19km/h
    Gust: 22km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Gainsborough
    Now
    10.3°c
    Feels Like:
    9.7°
    Wind:
    N 0km/h
    Gusts:
    0km/h
    Humidity:
    82%
    Rain developing
     
    10°
    Min
    18°
    Max
    Today in Gainsborough
    Mostly sunny day. Very high chance of rain, most likely this evening. The chance of a thunderstorm near Wilsons Promontory later tonight. Winds N/NW 25 to 35 km/h tending NW/SW 20 to 25 km/h in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 13 and 20.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    Min
    14°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the early morning. Snow falling above 1300 metres from late morning. The chance of a thunderstorm near the coast in the morning. Winds W/NW 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 7 with daytime temperatures reaching between 10 and 16.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny day. Very high chance of rain, most likely this evening. The chance of a thunderstorm near Wilsons Promontory later tonight. Winds N/NW 25 to 35 km/h tending NW/SW 20 to 25 km/h in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 13 and 20.

    Forecast for Gainsborough (38.2436°S, 145.9653°E, 118m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Rain developing Possible shower Possible shower Showers increasing Showers Showers Showers
    Minimum 10°
    Maximum 18° 14° 15° 11° 11° 13° 14°
    Chance of rain 90% 40% 80% 90% 90% 80% 70%
    Likely amount 10-20mm < 1mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm
    UV index Low Low Low Low Low - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Moderate Nil Slight Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 21
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNE N NW WNW NNE NNE NW WNW WNW WNW WNW WNW NW WNW
    Relative humidity 64% 57% 85% 63% 77% 48% 86% 83% 93% 88% 93% 87% 90% 79%
    Dew point 7°C 9°C 7°C 7°C 5°C 4°C 5°C 8°C 7°C 9°C 8°C 11°C 9°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Gainsborough Rain Forecast


    Gainsborough 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    31
    HIGH
    Aug 1
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    HIGH
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    HIGH
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    HIGH
    19
    HIGH
    20
    HIGH
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    HIGH
    27
    HIGH
    28
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul31

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 8 August to 12 August, 16 August to 20 August, and 1 September to 5 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 August to 14 August, 21 August to 25 August, and 3 September to 7 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 8 August to 12 August, 15 August to 19 August, and 22 August to 26 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Gainsborough Rain Forecast


    Gainsborough 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2021
    2022
    6
    5
    7
    6
    7
    6
    7
    8
    6
    5
    3
    9
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jul 13

    ENSO status: Neutral, however two models suggest La Niña thresholds may be met again from September. IOD status: Neutral, although it was negative for six weeks between mid-May and late-June SAM status: Negative. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral. However, there are growing signs that La Niña could redevelop in the Pacific Ocean later this year, prompting the US Climate Prediction Centre to issue a La Niña Watch this week. Two models forecast temperatures reaching the La Niña threshold during September. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral, although we saw six consecutive weeks below the negative IOD threshold between mid-May and late-June. The IOD index needs to stay below -0.4C for eight consecutive weeks to be officially declared as a negative IOD event. The IOD ducked back into neutral territory thanks to recent warming in the western Indian Ocean. While a negative IOD has not been officially declared, the negative weekly values may enhance rainfallacross central and southern Australia. Three of the five models are forecasting the negative IOD to develop in winter, with another one indicating development in early spring. Most of the models suggest that the negative IOD will continue through until mid spring. During winter, much of the Australia is likely to be wetter than normal, apart from far southern WA and SA, southern VIC and southwestern TAS. The weekly negative IOD values may be influencing this outlook, potentially feeding moisture into cold fronts sweeping across central and southern Australia. Therefore a normal to above normal snow season is forecast. Springs rainfall at this stage is forecast to be above normal for much of the Australia, apart from southwestern TAS and WA. Again, the negative IOD values may be playing a role in this outlook.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Gainsborough Rain Forecast


    Gainsborough 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    31
    HIGH
    Aug 1
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    HIGH
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    HIGH
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    HIGH
    19
    HIGH
    20
    HIGH
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    HIGH
    27
    HIGH
    28
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul31

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 8 August to 12 August, 16 August to 20 August, and 1 September to 5 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 August to 14 August, 21 August to 25 August, and 3 September to 7 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 8 August to 12 August, 15 August to 19 August, and 22 August to 26 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Gainsborough Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Jul 27
    8.9 °C 17.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jul 28
    12.7 °C 15.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jul 29
    6.4 °C 13.5 °C
    5.4 mm
    Friday
    Jul 30
    3.0 °C 14.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Jul 31
    10.8 °C 14.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Gainsborough minimum temp history (38.2436°S, 145.9653°E, 118m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 19.1° 27/07/2021 Coldest this month -1.9° 30/07/2021
    Hottest on record 21.8 21/07/2009 Coldest on record -3.5 23/07/1994
    Hottest this year 40.5° 25/01/2021 Coldest this year -2.8° 31/05/2021
    Long term average 13.7° Long term average 3.8°
    Average this month 14.1° Average this month 3.8°
    Hottest July On Record Avg. max. temp. 14.9° 2013 Coldest July on record Avg. min. temp. 1.5° 1987
    Gainsborough rainfall history (38.2436°S, 145.9653°E, 118m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 8.6mm 15/07/2021 Total This Month 36.8mm
    21.0 days
    Long Term Average 63.2mm 21.1 days Wettest July on record 119.2mm 2016
    Driest on record 24.8mm 1994
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Gainsborough Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jul 378.3mm 102.9 day(s)
    Total For 2021 420.4mm 103.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 480.6mm 121.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 55.4mm Jun10
    Lowest Temperature -2.8°C May31
    Highest Temperature 40.5°C Jan25
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Gainsborough Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.8 26.6 24.5 20.6 16.9 14.2 13.7 14.8 17.0 19.6 22.2 24.4 20.1
    Mean Min (°C) 12.9 12.9 11.3 8.8 6.4 4.3 3.8 4.3 5.9 7.5 9.6 11.3 8.2
    Mean Rain (mm) 49.1 44.7 47.4 56.6 55.3 62.0 63.2 67.4 73.7 69.9 73.4 66.0 726.3
    Mean Rain Days 9.4 8.9 11.5 14.2 17.7 20.1 21.1 20.1 17.6 15.3 13.2 12.2 181.2