Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers
for North Central, North East, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Issued at 05:02 PM EST on Wednesday 24 April 2024
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
North Central, North East, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
The Warning to Sheep Graziers for the North Central, North East, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts has been cancelled.
No further warnings will be issued for this event.
Forecast
Gaffneys Creek (37.4769°S, 146.1904°E, 552m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY6° 12° possible shower Chance of rain: 50% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:25am EST 6:52am EST 5:37pm EST 6:04pm EST NOW9.0° Feels Like: 4.3° Relative Humidity: 85% Dew: 6.6° Wind: SW 20km/h Gust: 30km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
Gaffneys CreekNow9.1°cFeels Like:7.5°Wind:W 7km/hGusts:19km/hHumidity:100%6°Min12°MaxToday in Gaffneys CreekPartly cloudy. Patches of morning frost in the N. Medium chance of showers in the SW, becoming less likely this afternoon. Snow possible above 1700 metres. Light winds becoming SW 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 10 and 19.Tomorrow6°Min15°MaxMostly sunny. The chance of fog in the E in the early morning. Patches of morning frost. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 1 and 4 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 20. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Patches of morning frost in the N. Medium chance of showers in the SW, becoming less likely this afternoon. Snow possible above 1700 metres. Light winds becoming SW 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 10 and 19.
Forecast for Gaffneys Creek (37.4769°S, 146.1904°E, 552m AMSL) Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Summary Minimum 6° 6° 5° 7° 8° 5° 4° Maximum 12° 15° 17° 18° 16° 14° 15° Chance of rain 50% 10% 5% 5% 5% 5% 20% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate No Rating - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Slight Slight 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 19
(km/h)19
(km/h)7
(km/h)13
(km/h)6
(km/h)11
(km/h)7
(km/h)16
(km/h)5
(km/h)13
(km/h)14
(km/h)19
(km/h)10
(km/h)15
(km/h)Wind direction WSW SW SW SW E N E N N WSW S S S SSE Relative humidity 97% 74% 82% 61% 81% 54% 74% 53% 72% 60% 70% 53% 71% 51% Dew point 7°C 7°C 7°C 7°C 7°C 7°C 7°C 8°C 6°C 7°C 3°C 3°C 4°C 4°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Gaffneys Creek Rain Forecast
Gaffneys Creek 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar202420255675556105787105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Gaffneys Creek Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Sunday
Apr 215.5 °C 18.0 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 227.4 °C 21.3 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 2311.6 °C 21.7 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Apr 246.0 °C 11.5 °C 4.0 mmThursday
Apr 255.7 °C 9.2 °C 0.4 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Gaffneys Creek minimum temp history (37.4769°S, 146.1904°E, 552m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 26.5° 01/04/2024 Coldest this month 5.1° 09/04/2024 Hottest on record 28.9 10/04/2005 Coldest on record 1.4 27/04/1999 Hottest this year 33.1° 09/03/2024 Coldest this year 5.1° 09/04/2024 Long term average 18.3° Long term average 9.3° Average this month 17.8° Average this month 8.6° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 21.3° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 6.5° 2006 Gaffneys Creek rainfall history (37.4769°S, 146.1904°E, 552m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 24.4mm 02/04/2024 Total This Month 62.0mm
13.0 daysLong Term Average 50.1mm 9.3 days Wettest April on record 101.6mm 2017 Driest on record 8.0mm 2013 -
Year to Date
Gaffneys Creek Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 176.3mm 30.9 day(s) Total For 2024 242.4mm 30.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 192.6mm 33.0 day(s) Wettest Day 42.6mm Jan 8 Lowest Temperature 5.1°C Apr 9 Highest Temperature 33.1°C Mar 9 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Gaffneys Creek Climatology
Gaffneys Creek Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 27.2 26.6 23.3 18.3 13.2 10.2 9.3 10.5 13.7 17.0 21.0 24.0 17.9 Mean Min (°C) 13.7 13.6 11.8 9.3 6.6 4.7 3.9 4.2 5.8 7.5 9.7 11.4 8.5 Mean Rain (mm) 47.4 37.2 40.4 50.1 56.5 69.1 65.5 73.8 63.4 57.7 58.4 53.0 671.3 Mean Rain Days 7.3 6.2 7.9 9.3 16.2 18.3 20.1 19.4 15.9 13.1 10.6 8.6 152.6