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Forecast

Eynesbury (37.79°S, 144.5663°E, 81m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Increasing sunshine 13° 23°
    increasing sunshine
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:53am EDT 6:23am EDT 8:43pm EDT 9:12pm EDT
    NOW
    19.9° Feels Like: 16.7°
    Relative Humidity: 54%
    Dew: 10.3°
    Wind: SSE 17km/h
    Gust: 20km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1009.6hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Eynesbury
    Now
    20.7°c
    Feels Like:
    18.6°
    Wind:
    S 9km/h
    Gusts:
    11km/h
    Humidity:
    46%
    Increasing sunshine
     
    13°
    Min
    23°
    Max
    Today in Eynesbury
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower near the Yarra Valley this morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds SW 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the middle of the day. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Late shower
    13°
    Min
    32°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers in the late afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and early evening. Winds E/NE 15 to 20 km/h tending N 30 to 45 km/h before dawn then tending W/NW 25 to 40 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 13 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower near the Yarra Valley this morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds SW 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the middle of the day. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 20s.

    Forecast for Eynesbury (37.79°S, 144.5663°E, 81m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Increasing sunshine Late shower Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 13° 13° 13° 10° 13° 14° 13°
    Maximum 23° 32° 21° 25° 28° 29° 26°
    Chance of rain 5% 90% 80% 5% 5% 5% 50%
    Likely amount < 1mm 10-20mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 12
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WSW SSW NNE N NNW WNW NW W NW WSW W SW WNW SW
    Relative humidity 78% 48% 53% 32% 79% 46% 61% 44% 67% 42% 73% 46% 68% 45%
    Dew point 11°C 11°C 13°C 14°C 11°C 8°C 8°C 11°C 12°C 14°C 15°C 17°C 13°C 13°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Eynesbury Rain Forecast


    Eynesbury 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    21
    22
    HIGH
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    13
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    HIGH
    18
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan21

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 January to 30 January, 6 February to 10 February, and 15 February to 19 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 January to 2 February, 6 February to 10 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 February to 16 February, and 20 February to 24 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Eynesbury Rain Forecast


    Eynesbury 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    5
    7
    6
    7
    6
    8
    6
    8
    5
    3
    7
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Eynesbury Rain Forecast


    Eynesbury 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    21
    22
    HIGH
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    13
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    HIGH
    18
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan21

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 January to 30 January, 6 February to 10 February, and 15 February to 19 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 January to 2 February, 6 February to 10 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 February to 16 February, and 20 February to 24 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Eynesbury Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Jan 17
    13.3 °C 23.1 °C
    0.2 mm
    Saturday
    Jan 18
    11.8 °C 27.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 19
    15.8 °C 27.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jan 20
    18.7 °C 21 °C
    0.6 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 21
    14 °C -
    7.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Eynesbury minimum temp history (37.79°S, 144.5663°E, 81m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 38.5° 15/01/2020 Coldest this month 9.5° 01/01/2020
    Hottest on record 45.0 25/01/2003 Coldest on record 5.2 19/01/2004
    Hottest this year 38.5° 15/01/2020 Coldest this year 9.5° 01/01/2020
    Long term average 25.7° Long term average 13.8°
    Average this month 25.7° Average this month 14.4°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 29.4° 1981 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 9.7° 1957
    Eynesbury rainfall history (37.79°S, 144.5663°E, 81m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 21.0mm 16/01/2020 Total This Month 55.0mm
    10.0 days
    Long Term Average 39.3mm 7.3 days Wettest January on record 140.8mm 1981
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Eynesbury Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 39.3mm 7.3 day(s)
    Total For 2020 55.0mm 10.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 5.6mm 3.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 21.0mm Jan16
    Lowest Temperature 9.5°C Jan 1
    Highest Temperature 38.5°C Jan15
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Eynesbury Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 25.7 25.6 23.7 20.3 16.9 14.2 13.7 14.9 17.0 19.3 21.5 23.8 19.7
    Mean Min (°C) 13.8 14.3 12.6 9.9 7.8 5.8 5.1 5.6 6.7 8.3 10.2 12.0 9.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 39.3 46.1 34.7 45.7 45.8 38.8 38.9 44.2 49.4 55.5 52.8 45.7 536.9
    Mean Rain Days 7.3 7.1 8.7 11.0 14.2 15.0 16.0 15.9 14.8 14.1 11.8 9.8 143.8