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Forecast

Eskdale (36.4652°S, 147.2502°E, 239m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Increasing sunshine 19° 31°
    increasing sunshine
    Chance of rain: 10%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:15am EDT 5:45am EDT 8:20pm EDT 8:51pm EDT
    NOW
    22.2° Feels Like: 21.9°
    Relative Humidity: 42%
    Dew: 8.7°
    Wind: CAL 0km/h
    Gust: 0km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1012.5hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Eskdale
    Now
    19.3°c
    Feels Like:
    17.2°
    Wind:
    E 7km/h
    Gusts:
    7km/h
    Humidity:
    44%
    Increasing sunshine
     
    19°
    Min
    31°
    Max
    Today in Eskdale
    Mostly sunny. Areas of smoke haze in the east. The chance of a thunderstorm about the ranges in the afternoon. Light winds becoming NW/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then tending SE/SW in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching 26 to 36.
    Tomorrow
    Increasing sunshine
    19°
    Min
    31°
    Max
    Sunny. Light winds becoming NW/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the late afternoon then tending SE/SW in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 12 with daytime temperatures reaching 24 to 33.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Eskdale

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Areas of smoke haze in the east. The chance of a thunderstorm about the ranges in the afternoon. Light winds becoming NW/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then tending SE/SW in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching 26 to 36.

    Forecast for Eskdale (36.4652°S, 147.2502°E, 239m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Increasing sunshine Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
    Minimum 19° 13° 12° 10° 11° 12° 13°
    Maximum 31° 27° 25° 22° 23° 23° 26°
    Chance of rain 10% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 3
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    -
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNW WNW SSE WNW S W S WSW NW WNW WNW WNW W -
    Relative humidity 50% 26% 61% 30% 60% 32% 56% 31% 59% 41% 55% 32% 48% n/a
    Dew point 15°C 10°C 13°C 9°C 10°C 7°C 6°C 5°C 10°C 10°C 10°C 6°C 8°C n/a
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Eskdale Rain Forecast


    Eskdale 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    LOW
    Jan 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    5
    6
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 9

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 December to 20 December, 20 December to 24 December, and 27 December to 31 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 December to 31 December, 31 December to 4 January, and 9 January to 13 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 6 January to 10 January, and 12 January to 16 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Eskdale Rain Forecast


    Eskdale 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    2019
    2020
    3
    5
    6
    6
    5
    4
    7
    5
    4
    4
    4
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Eskdale Rain Forecast


    Eskdale 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    LOW
    Jan 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    5
    6
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 9

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 December to 20 December, 20 December to 24 December, and 27 December to 31 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 December to 31 December, 31 December to 4 January, and 9 January to 13 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 6 January to 10 January, and 12 January to 16 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Eskdale Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Dec 05
    5.0 °C 25.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Dec 06
    8.0 °C 24.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Dec 07
    4.5 °C 25.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Dec 08
    8.5 °C 30.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Dec 09
    10.5 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Eskdale minimum temp history (36.4652°S, 147.2502°E, 239m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 25.5° 05/12/2019 Coldest this month 4.2° 01/12/2019
    Hottest on record 38.5 31/12/2005 Coldest on record 1.4 18/12/1979
    Hottest this year 40.9° 25/01/2019 Coldest this year -2.0° 26/06/2019
    Long term average 26.7° Long term average 11.8°
    Average this month 20.6° Average this month 6.9°
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 29.4° 1994 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 9.1° 1976
    Eskdale rainfall history (36.4652°S, 147.2502°E, 239m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 20.0mm 02/12/2019 Total This Month 22.6mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 75.4mm 7.6 days Wettest December on record 196.0mm 1994
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Eskdale Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Dec 1014.8mm 118.9 day(s)
    Total For 2019 744.0mm 113.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 690.4mm 96.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 82.0mm May 3
    Lowest Temperature -2.0°C Jun26
    Highest Temperature 40.9°C Jan25
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Eskdale Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.2 29.1 25.8 20.8 16.0 12.5 11.7 13.4 16.6 20.3 24.0 26.7 20.5
    Mean Min (°C) 13.7 13.6 11.1 7.4 4.9 3.2 2.3 2.8 4.6 6.8 9.8 11.8 7.6
    Mean Rain (mm) 63.8 56.9 61.1 58.6 86.9 101.7 115.8 123.6 107.4 95.3 68.3 75.4 1014.8
    Mean Rain Days 6.1 6.0 6.6 7.6 10.6 12.6 14.8 14.7 13.0 10.9 8.4 7.6 113.5