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Forecast

Elmore (36.4933°S, 144.6093°E, 130m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Mostly sunny 18°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 40%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:07am EDT 6:33am EDT 7:40pm EDT 8:06pm EDT
    NOW
    13.5° Feels Like: 9.1°
    Relative Humidity: 69%
    Dew: 7.9°
    Wind: W 20km/h
    Gust: 26km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1013.8hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Elmore
    Now
    16.6°c
    Feels Like:
    14.0°
    Wind:
    W 7km/h
    Gusts:
    11km/h
    Humidity:
    44%
    Mostly sunny
     
    Min
    18°
    Max
    Today in Elmore
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the morning and afternoon. Possible hail in the south in the afternoon. Winds W/SW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light early in the morning then becoming W 25 to 40 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to around 6 with daytime temperatures reaching around 17.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    Min
    18°
    Max
    Mostly cloudy. Winds W/SW 15 to 20 km/h tending S/SW during the afternoon and evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 4 with daytime temperatures reaching around 20.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Elmore

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the morning and afternoon. Possible hail in the south in the afternoon. Winds W/SW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light early in the morning then becoming W 25 to 40 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to around 6 with daytime temperatures reaching around 17.

    Forecast for Elmore (36.4933°S, 144.6093°E, 130m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly cloudy Sunny Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 12° 13°
    Maximum 18° 21° 25° 29° 32° 35° 25°
    Chance of rain 40% 5% 5% 5% 5% 30% 40%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index High Very High Very High Very High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Slight Slight Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 17
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    Wind direction W W WSW SW SSW SW SSE WSW ENE NW N NW W WSW
    Relative humidity 67% 39% 70% 43% 71% 35% 64% 27% 54% 22% 32% 21% 54% 36%
    Dew point 5°C 3°C 6°C 7°C 7°C 8°C 8°C 8°C 9°C 7°C 5°C 9°C 9°C 9°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Elmore Rain Forecast


    Elmore 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    LOW
    31
    MEDIUM
    Nov 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    15
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct18

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 October to 3 November, 9 November to 13 November, and 16 November to 20 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 7 November to 11 November, 11 November to 15 November, and 15 November to 19 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 October to 2 November, 10 November to 14 November, and 16 November to 20 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Elmore Rain Forecast


    Elmore 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    2019
    2020
    2
    2
    5
    6
    6
    6
    4
    4
    8
    5
    5
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Oct 7

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remain within neutral values. The Nino3.4 index lingered between -0.2 and 0.2 through the month of September. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -12.4 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral spring, but well within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a slightly warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds during the 2019/2020 summer. The IRI ENSO forecast suggests less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for spring continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. A negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) on the other hand, is likely to enhance frontal activity over the far south during spring. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during the remainder of spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Elmore Rain Forecast


    Elmore 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    LOW
    31
    MEDIUM
    Nov 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    15
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct18

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 October to 3 November, 9 November to 13 November, and 16 November to 20 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 7 November to 11 November, 11 November to 15 November, and 15 November to 19 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 October to 2 November, 10 November to 14 November, and 16 November to 20 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Elmore Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Oct 14
    13.4 °C 28.0 °C
    0.5 mm
    Tuesday
    Oct 15
    9.9 °C 26.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Oct 16
    11.6 °C 19.2 °C
    1.8 mm
    Thursday
    Oct 17
    8.0 °C 18.7 °C
    1.6 mm
    Friday
    Oct 18
    3.1 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Elmore minimum temp history (36.4933°S, 144.6093°E, 130m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 29.0° 02/10/2019 Coldest this month 0.4° 01/10/2019
    Hottest on record 38.4 31/10/1990 Coldest on record 0.2 11/10/2003
    Hottest this year 46.9° 25/01/2019 Coldest this year -2.5° 24/06/2019
    Long term average 22.2° Long term average 8.2°
    Average this month 23.1° Average this month 7.8°
    Hottest October On Record Avg. max. temp. 28.9° 2015 Coldest October on record Avg. min. temp. 5.7° 2003
    Elmore rainfall history (36.4933°S, 144.6093°E, 130m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 1.8mm 16/10/2019 Total This Month 4.9mm
    4.0 days
    Long Term Average 41.9mm 8.3 days Wettest October on record 162.4mm 2015
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Elmore Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Oct 366.0mm 80.6 day(s)
    Total For 2019 212.3mm 70.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 186.4mm 65.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 15.0mm Jul 8
    Lowest Temperature -2.5°C Jun24
    Highest Temperature 46.9°C Jan25
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Elmore Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 31.2 30.8 27.5 22.7 17.8 14.6 13.7 15.5 18.4 22.2 26.1 28.9 22.4
    Mean Min (°C) 15.0 15.1 12.8 9.3 6.5 4.3 3.5 4.4 6.0 8.2 10.9 13.1 9.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 27.5 26.7 30.7 33.5 40.1 43.1 41.4 42.1 39.0 41.9 32.6 29.1 427.7
    Mean Rain Days 3.9 3.6 4.5 5.9 8.9 11.6 12.6 11.8 9.5 8.3 6.0 5.0 90.7