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Forecast

Durham Lead (37.6977°S, 143.8779°E, 362m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Cloudy 14°
    Chance of rain: 20%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:18am EST 6:44am EST 6:09pm EST 6:35pm EST
    NOW
    8.0° Feels Like: 4.4°
    Relative Humidity: 82%
    Dew: 5.1°
    Wind: SSE 13km/h
    Gust: 17km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1023.0hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Durham Lead
    Now
    9.5°c
    Feels Like:
    8.8°
    Wind:
    CAL 0km/h
    Gusts:
    2km/h
    Humidity:
    85%
    Cloudy
     
    Min
    14°
    Max
    Today in Durham Lead
    Cloudy. Slight chance of a light shower, mostly during the morning. Light winds becoming S/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 17.
    Tomorrow
    Cloudy
    Min
    16°
    Max
    Cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the west during the morning. Winds S/SE 15 to 20 km/h increasing to 25 km/h before tending E/SE 15 to 20 km/h during the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 15 and 20.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Durham Lead

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Slight chance of a light shower, mostly during the morning. Light winds becoming S/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 17.

    Forecast for Durham Lead (37.6977°S, 143.8779°E, 362m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Cloudy Cloudy Mostly sunny Possible shower Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 11°
    Maximum 14° 16° 21° 21° 15° 17° 18°
    Chance of rain 20% 50% 10% 50% 30% 20% 20%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate High Moderate - -
    Frost risk Slight Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 19
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    31
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    Wind direction S S S SSE ENE NE N NNW WSW SW SW SW N NW
    Relative humidity 79% 67% 90% 70% 78% 56% 81% 58% 82% 62% 83% 62% 78% 52%
    Dew point 7°C 7°C 11°C 10°C 10°C 11°C 13°C 12°C 8°C 7°C 9°C 9°C 8°C 7°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Durham Lead Rain Forecast


    Durham Lead 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    13
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    19
    HIGH
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    MEDIUM
    May 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 6

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 13 April to 17 April, 17 April to 21 April, and 30 April to 4 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 April to 26 April, 26 April to 30 April, and 1 May to 5 May. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 17 April to 21 April, 24 April to 28 April, and 1 May to 5 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Durham Lead Rain Forecast


    Durham Lead 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2020
    2021
    6
    5
    7
    7
    5
    6
    5
    9
    1
    6
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 9

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout February with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.3. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -2.2 in February. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, potentially cooling further by the austral winter. Four out of seven international models maintain a slightly warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of winter. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values through to the austral winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current outlook favours below average rainfall for western, central and southeastern parts of the country. Across NSW and Qld, the outlook is for average-to-above average, mainly across the Qld coasts. This excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) has been quiet for most of the wet season, with the current prognosis suggesting below average rainfall for March but above average in April. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter. The current consensus, however, suggests that average to above average rainfall is a possibility across northern, western and parts of the inland south east.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Durham Lead Rain Forecast


    Durham Lead 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    13
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    19
    HIGH
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    MEDIUM
    May 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 6

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 13 April to 17 April, 17 April to 21 April, and 30 April to 4 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 April to 26 April, 26 April to 30 April, and 1 May to 5 May. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 17 April to 21 April, 24 April to 28 April, and 1 May to 5 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Durham Lead Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Apr 02
    12.4 °C 14.6 °C
    18.6 mm
    Friday
    Apr 03
    10.5 °C 20.8 °C
    4.2 mm
    Saturday
    Apr 04
    9.2 °C 12.6 °C
    30.6 mm
    Sunday
    Apr 05
    4.7 °C 14.4 °C
    5.0 mm
    Monday
    Apr 06
    6.9 °C 13 °C
    5.4 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Durham Lead minimum temp history (37.6977°S, 143.8779°E, 362m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 22.4° 01/04/2020 Coldest this month 4.7° 05/04/2020
    Hottest on record 31.5 10/04/2005 Coldest on record -4.1 21/04/1987
    Hottest this year 39.4° 31/01/2020 Coldest this year 3.6° 27/02/2020
    Long term average 18.2° Long term average 7.4°
    Average this month 16.9° Average this month 8.4°
    Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 21.8° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 4.5° 1995
    Durham Lead rainfall history (37.6977°S, 143.8779°E, 362m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 30.6mm 04/04/2020 Total This Month 63.4mm
    5.0 days
    Long Term Average 51.3mm 12.5 days Wettest April on record 154.1mm 1939
    Driest on record 0.0mm 1923
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Durham Lead Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Apr 176.8mm 36.7 day(s)
    Total For 2020 206.2mm 35.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 32.8mm 21.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 30.6mm Apr 4
    Lowest Temperature 3.6°C Feb27
    Highest Temperature 39.4°C Jan31
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Durham Lead Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 25.5 25.4 22.6 18.2 13.9 11.1 10.2 11.6 13.8 16.8 19.8 22.8 17.6
    Mean Min (°C) 11.2 11.6 10.1 7.4 5.6 3.9 3.0 3.5 4.6 6.1 7.9 9.5 7.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 39.5 44.1 41.9 51.3 63.8 62.7 66.6 74.0 72.1 66.5 55.5 49.9 687.9
    Mean Rain Days 7.6 7.2 9.4 12.5 16.4 18.2 20.1 19.6 16.8 15.4 12.7 10.9 165.6