Forecast
Drouin West (38.0901°S, 145.8687°E, 91m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY9° 22° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 20% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:16am EDT 5:47am EDT 8:31pm EDT 9:02pm EDT NOW18.6° Feels Like: 17.0° Relative Humidity: 59% Dew: 10.4° Wind: SSW 9km/h Gust: 9km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
Drouin WestNow20.0°cFeels Like:16.6°Wind:NNE 17km/hGusts:19km/hHumidity:51%9°Min22°MaxToday in Drouin WestPartly cloudy. Light winds becoming SE/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 19 and 23.Tomorrow10°Min19°MaxPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the southwest in the morning and early afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Light winds becoming SW 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 24. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Drouin West
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming SE/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 19 and 23.
Forecast for Drouin West (38.0901°S, 145.8687°E, 91m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 9° 10° 9° 11° 11° 7° 11° Maximum 22° 19° 20° 21° 21° 27° 35° Chance of rain 20% 40% 10% 20% 5% 5% 5% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Extreme Very High Extreme Extreme Extreme - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 5
(km/h)10
(km/h)8
(km/h)14
(km/h)7
(km/h)13
(km/h)11
(km/h)13
(km/h)8
(km/h)14
(km/h)5
(km/h)8
(km/h)5
(km/h)9
(km/h)Wind direction SSE SSW WSW SW W WSW W W WNW W W WSW WNW SW Relative humidity 76% 49% 84% 57% 76% 55% 83% 60% 68% 39% 61% 39% 48% 33% Dew point 10°C 11°C 12°C 10°C 9°C 11°C 11°C 13°C 11°C 7°C 8°C 11°C 12°C 16°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Drouin West Rain Forecast
Drouin West 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT11
12
13
LOW14
15
16
17
18
19
20
LOW21
LOW22
23
24
25
LOW26
27
28
29
LOW30
31
Jan 1
LOW2
LOW3
MEDIUM4
MEDIUM5
MEDIUM6
7
8
MEDIUMCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec11Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 December to 2 January, 2 January to 6 January, and 11 January to 15 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 December to 31 December, and 1 January to 5 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 January to 6 January, 6 January to 10 January, and 11 January to 15 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Drouin West Rain Forecast
Drouin West 12-month Rainfall ForecastDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov20192020356654754456105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Nov 8
ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Drouin West Rain Forecast
Drouin West 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT11
12
13
LOW14
15
16
17
18
19
20
LOW21
LOW22
23
24
25
LOW26
27
28
29
LOW30
31
Jan 1
LOW2
LOW3
MEDIUM4
MEDIUM5
MEDIUM6
7
8
MEDIUMCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec11Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 December to 2 January, 2 January to 6 January, and 11 January to 15 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 December to 31 December, and 1 January to 5 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 January to 6 January, 6 January to 10 January, and 11 January to 15 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Drouin West Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Dec 0610.6 °C 19.1 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Dec 0710.4 °C 19.6 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Dec 0811.7 °C 23.9 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Dec 0910.9 °C 35.0 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Dec 1012.7 °C - 0.2 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Drouin West minimum temp history (38.0901°S, 145.8687°E, 91m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month - Coldest this month - Hottest on record 41.8 19/12/2015 Coldest on record 4.1 05/12/2011 Hottest this year 42.9° 04/01/2019 Coldest this year 0.2° 24/06/2019 Long term average 23.5° Long term average 11.7° Average this month - Average this month - Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 27.3° 2015 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 9.6° 1995 Drouin West rainfall history (38.0901°S, 145.8687°E, 91m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month mm Total This Month mm
daysLong Term Average 67.5mm 11.2 days Wettest December on record 146.8mm 2015 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for VIC
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Year to Date
Drouin West Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Dec 831.2mm 177.1 day(s) Total For 2019 569.0mm 129.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2018 637.2mm 145.0 day(s) Wettest Day 26.0mm Jun13 Lowest Temperature 0.2°C Jun24 Highest Temperature 42.9°C Jan 4 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Drouin West Climatology
Drouin West Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 25.4 25.7 23.5 19.9 16.4 13.9 13.4 14.5 16.5 19.0 21.1 23.5 19.4 Mean Min (°C) 13.6 14.0 12.5 10.3 8.5 6.7 6.1 6.5 7.8 8.8 10.4 11.7 9.7 Mean Rain (mm) 52.5 53.4 44.3 71.0 67.6 80.8 72.9 81.9 86.8 77.9 74.6 67.5 829.5 Mean Rain Days 10.1 8.4 11.0 14.1 18.4 19.3 19.4 19.2 17.6 15.4 13.0 11.2 172.5