Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Warning to Sheep Graziers
for the Wimmera, Northern Country, North Central, North East, South West,
Central, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland forecast districts.
Issued at 4:04 am EST on Monday 19 August 2019.
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, showers and westerly winds
are expected during Monday. Areas likely to be affected include the Northern
Country, North Central, North East, South West, Central and West and South
Gippsland forecast districts and parts of the Wimmera and East Gippsland
forecast districts. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to
these conditions.
The Warning to Sheep Graziers for the Mallee forecast district has been
cancelled.
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 am EST Monday.
Forecast
Doctors Flat (37.2987°S, 147.7486°E, 275m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY
0° 8° snow tending to rain Chance of rain: 20% Likely amount: < 1mm First
light
Last light Sunrise Sunset 6:23am EST 6:49am EST 5:38pm EST 6:05pm EST NOW5.1° Feels Like: 1.8° Relative Humidity: 71% Dew: 0.3° Wind: NE 7km/h Gust: NE 7km/h Rainfall since 9am: 6.4mm Pressure: 1013.7hPa -
Today Weather
Doctors FlatNow5.7°cFeels Like:1.1°Wind:WSW 15km/hGusts:22km/hHumidity:78%
0°Min8°MaxToday in Doctors FlatPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, becoming less likely this evening. Snow falling above 500 metres this morning, increasing to 1100 metres by the evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the south during the morning and afternoon. Possible hail. Winds W 25 to 40 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 5 and 12.Tomorrow
1°Min11°MaxPartly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower about the ranges. Snow possible above 1100 metres. Winds W 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between zero and 8 with daytime temperatures reaching between 7 and 16. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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Next 48 Hours
Next 48 Hours
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, becoming less likely this evening. Snow falling above 500 metres this morning, increasing to 1100 metres by the evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the south during the morning and afternoon. Possible hail. Winds W 25 to 40 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 5 and 12.
Forecast for Doctors Flat (37.2987°S, 147.7486°E, 275m AMSL) Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Summary 
Minimum 0° 1° 5° 2° -1° 1° 1° Maximum 8° 11° 11° 9° 14° 13° 13° Chance of rain 20% 40% 70% 40% 5% 70% 80% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - Frost risk High High Slight Moderate Severe High High 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 17
(km/h)24
(km/h)16
(km/h)22
(km/h)17
(km/h)27
(km/h)23
(km/h)26
(km/h)7
(km/h)16
(km/h)17
(km/h)21
(km/h)11
(km/h)18
(km/h)Wind direction WNW W NNW NW WNW W SW SW NNW NNW NNW NW NNW NW Relative humidity 73% 53% 83% 68% 85% 60% 81% 57% 75% 45% 75% 56% 87% 55% Dew point -1°C -1°C 2°C 4°C 4°C 3°C 0°C 1°C -1°C 2°C 2°C 4°C 1°C 4°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Doctors Flat Rain Forecast
Doctors Flat 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
MEDIUM20
MEDIUM21
HIGH22
MEDIUM23
24
LOW25
MEDIUM26
MEDIUM27
HIGH28
LOW29
MEDIUM30
LOW31
MEDIUMSep 1
LOW2
LOW3
LOW4
HIGH5
LOW6
LOW7
LOW8
LOW9
MEDIUM10
LOW11
MEDIUM12
MEDIUM13
LOW14
15
16
MEDIUMCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Aug18Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 August to 30 August, 10 September to 14 September, and 15 September to 19 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 16 August to 20 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 25 August to 29 August, 11 September to 15 September, and 15 September to 19 September.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Doctors Flat Rain Forecast
Doctors Flat 12-month Rainfall ForecastAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJul20192020357666777486105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Aug 8
ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SST's) continued a cooling trend over the central Pacific during July. The Nino3.4 index lingered at about 0.5 through the month of July. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 in July, which is now in neutral territory. Current consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will remain across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral spring, but well within neutral values. Although, six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the remainder of 2019, none of these are reaching El Nino thresholds during the 2019/2020 summer. Moreover, the IRI ENSO forecast suggests less than 50% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months. On the other hand, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive. Six out of six international models maintain a positive event until mid-spring. The climate outlook for the four weeks left in winter and spring, favours average-to-below average rainfall across the southern half of Australia, in particular over the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during the end of winter and the first half of spring due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. SST's along the eastern seaboard remain significantly warmer than average (especially off NSW) maintaining a high risk of extreme weather events such as East Coast Lows (ECLs). These can bring intense periods of rainfall east of the Great Dividing Range, leading to flash flooding.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Doctors Flat Rain Forecast
Doctors Flat 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
MEDIUM20
MEDIUM21
HIGH22
MEDIUM23
24
LOW25
MEDIUM26
MEDIUM27
HIGH28
LOW29
MEDIUM30
LOW31
MEDIUMSep 1
LOW2
LOW3
LOW4
HIGH5
LOW6
LOW7
LOW8
LOW9
MEDIUM10
LOW11
MEDIUM12
MEDIUM13
LOW14
15
16
MEDIUMCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Aug18Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 August to 30 August, 10 September to 14 September, and 15 September to 19 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 16 August to 20 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 25 August to 29 August, 11 September to 15 September, and 15 September to 19 September.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Doctors Flat Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Thursday
Aug 150.7 °C 12.0 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Aug 164.6 °C 15.0 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Aug 171.8 °C 12.6 °C 1.2 mmSunday
Aug 182.9 °C 17 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Aug 191 °C - 6.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Doctors Flat minimum temp history (37.2987°S, 147.7486°E, 275m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 15.0° 16/08/2019 Coldest this month -2.9° 01/08/2019 Hottest on record 21.1 27/08/2007 Coldest on record -7.6 03/08/2014 Hottest this year 38.9° 25/01/2019 Coldest this year -4.6° 25/06/2019 Long term average 12.4° Long term average 1.4° Average this month 11.0° Average this month 0.6° Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 13.7° 2011 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. -0.4° 2014 Doctors Flat rainfall history (37.2987°S, 147.7486°E, 275m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 11.2mm 08/08/2019 Total This Month 23.6mm
6.0 daysLong Term Average 50.6mm 16.5 days Wettest August on record 80.8mm 2011 -
Popup - Radar
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Year to Date
Doctors Flat Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Aug 415.5mm 108.1 day(s) Total For 2019 357.4mm 85.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2018 301.8mm 87.0 day(s) Wettest Day 61.0mm May 3 Lowest Temperature -4.6°C Jun25 Highest Temperature 38.9°C Jan25 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Doctors Flat Climatology
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 27.3 25.4 23.4 18.6 14.5 11.1 10.5 12.4 15.3 18.9 22.1 24.1 18.7 Mean Min (°C) 11.3 10.6 9.0 5.4 2.8 1.1 1.0 1.4 3.2 5.0 7.8 8.8 5.7 Mean Rain (mm) 49.9 63.7 53.9 38.7 29.2 71.0 58.5 50.6 56.1 58.9 73.7 61.7 664.6 Mean Rain Days 8.9 9.6 11.5 11.2 14.3 17.3 18.8 16.5 16.0 13.4 12.5 11.2 147.1
