Forecast
Dering (35.3561°S, 142.1986°E, 79m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY8° 28° mostly cloudy Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:42am EDT 6:11am EDT 8:41pm EDT 9:10pm EDT NOW24.5° Feels Like: 20.7° Relative Humidity: 27% Dew: 4.3° Wind: SSW 13km/h Gust: 20km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
DeringNow24.5°cFeels Like:20.7°Wind:SSW 13km/hGusts:20km/hHumidity:27%8°Min28°MaxToday in DeringMostly sunny. Winds S/SW 15 to 25 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures in the high 20s.Tomorrow11°Min31°MaxMostly sunny. Winds S/SW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming SW 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching the low 30s. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Dering
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7 day forecast
Today: Mostly sunny. Winds S/SW 15 to 25 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures in the high 20s.
Forecast for Dering (35.3561°S, 142.1986°E, 79m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary Minimum 8° 11° 10° 14° 18° 22° 24° Maximum 28° 31° 35° 38° 41° 45° 46° Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 17
(km/h)18
(km/h)16
(km/h)18
(km/h)8
(km/h)22
(km/h)9
(km/h)11
(km/h)14
(km/h)10
(km/h)16
(km/h)14
(km/h)15
(km/h)14
(km/h)Wind direction SSW SW SW WSW WSW W SSW SW E ENE NNE NW NNW WSW Relative humidity 55% 24% 62% 22% 49% 13% 30% 11% 31% 9% 19% 7% 23% 7% Dew point 5°C 5°C 9°C 6°C 8°C 2°C 4°C 2°C 8°C 2°C 6°C 2°C 9°C 2°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Dering Rain Forecast
Dering 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
LOW21
LOW22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
Jan 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec13Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 December to 28 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 3 January to 7 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 December to 26 December, 26 December to 30 December, and 7 January to 11 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 8 January to 12 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Dering Rain Forecast
Dering 12-month Rainfall ForecastDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov20192020556855755566105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Dec 11
ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive SAM status: Negative Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific continued to exhibit a slight warming during November. The Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.6 and 0.7 throughout the month of November. However, this has dropped to 0.4 since early December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -9.3 in November. The current outlook continues to suggest warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Seven out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first quarter of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest a less than 40% chance of another El Nino developing over the next 6 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains in the positive side of neutral, though it has significant strength after peaking in October . All six international models maintain a positive event until January. In terms of rainfall across Australia, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month across the west. However, the climate outlook for the eastern states has seen a significant drying over the past 2 months. The current outlook now favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for the eastern states. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones in Qld or East Coast Lows. For northern Australia, the current outlook favours a late onset of the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Usually, Darwin tends to see the onset of NAM around christmas day. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) continues to enhance frontal activity over southern SA, Victoria, Tasmania and southern NSW. This has offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which continue to see average-to-above average rainfall odds through December and early January. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggests neutral odds for the second half of summer.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Dering Rain Forecast
Dering 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
LOW21
LOW22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
Jan 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec13Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 December to 28 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 3 January to 7 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 December to 26 December, 26 December to 30 December, and 7 January to 11 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 8 January to 12 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Dering Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Monday
Dec 0920.5 °C 41.6 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Dec 1014.0 °C 31.2 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Dec 119.7 °C 31.3 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Dec 1211.3 °C 28.2 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Dec 138.3 °C - 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Dering minimum temp history (35.3561°S, 142.1986°E, 79m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 41.6° 09/12/2019 Coldest this month 5.7° 07/12/2019 Hottest on record 45.9 31/12/2005 Coldest on record 3.2 30/12/1970 Hottest this year 46.6° 04/01/2019 Coldest this year -1.0° 28/09/2019 Long term average 30.0° Long term average 13.7° Average this month 29.3° Average this month 10.5° Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 33.9° 2015 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 10.7° 2001 Dering rainfall history (35.3561°S, 142.1986°E, 79m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 2.8mm 02/12/2019 Total This Month 3.4mm
3.0 daysLong Term Average 24.0mm 4.7 days Wettest December on record 141.6mm 2015 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for VIC
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Year to Date
Dering Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Dec 332.3mm 96.1 day(s) Total For 2019 106.6mm 71.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2018 100.4mm 37.0 day(s) Wettest Day 14.2mm Nov 2 Lowest Temperature -1.0°C Sep28 Highest Temperature 46.6°C Jan 4 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Dering Climatology
Dering Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 32.0 31.8 28.2 23.3 18.7 15.4 14.8 16.6 19.8 23.7 27.3 30.0 23.4 Mean Min (°C) 15.4 15.6 13.3 10.4 8.0 5.7 4.9 5.5 7.0 8.9 11.6 13.7 10.0 Mean Rain (mm) 22.4 23.7 20.3 23.5 30.4 29.5 32.5 33.8 32.0 32.9 27.3 24.0 332.0 Mean Rain Days 3.9 3.6 4.0 5.7 10.1 12.6 14.3 12.9 9.8 8.3 6.2 4.7 95.4