Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers
for North Central, North East, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Issued at 05:02 PM EST on Wednesday 24 April 2024
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
North Central, North East, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
The Warning to Sheep Graziers for the North Central, North East, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts has been cancelled.
No further warnings will be issued for this event.
Forecast
Daveys Bay (38.1924°S, 145.0937°E, 57m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY9° 16° Chance of rain: 70% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:29am EST 6:56am EST 5:39pm EST 6:06pm EST NOW14.3° Feels Like: 13.2° Relative Humidity: 67% Dew: 8.4° Wind: SW 4km/h Gust: 6km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
Daveys BayNow14.6°cFeels Like:11.2°Wind:SW 15km/hGusts:20km/hHumidity:63%9°Min16°MaxToday in Daveys BayPartly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Winds SW 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late evening.Tomorrow9°Min16°MaxCloudy. High chance of showers about the Dandenongs, medium chance elsewhere. Winds W/SW 15 to 20 km/h tending S/SW in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Winds SW 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late evening.
Forecast for Daveys Bay (38.1924°S, 145.0937°E, 57m AMSL) Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Summary Minimum 9° 9° 9° 7° 10° 9° 9° Maximum 16° 16° 16° 19° 16° 15° 15° Chance of rain 70% 30% 20% 50% 50% 30% 10% Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 21
(km/h)23
(km/h)13
(km/h)15
(km/h)7
(km/h)6
(km/h)11
(km/h)12
(km/h)17
(km/h)19
(km/h)16
(km/h)20
(km/h)16
(km/h)18
(km/h)Wind direction WSW WSW SW SW NNW W N NNW W SW S S SSE SSE Relative humidity 79% 68% 76% 70% 80% 64% 78% 54% 72% 65% 65% 63% 68% 61% Dew point 10°C 9°C 8°C 10°C 8°C 9°C 8°C 9°C 7°C 9°C 5°C 8°C 7°C 8°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Daveys Bay Rain Forecast
Daveys Bay 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar202420259465465106775105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Daveys Bay Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Sunday
Apr 219.0 °C 16.7 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 226.7 °C 23.5 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 2310.3 °C 24.9 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Apr 249.6 °C 15.8 °C 12.4 mmThursday
Apr 2511.5 °C 16.2 °C 0.2 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Daveys Bay minimum temp history (38.1924°S, 145.0937°E, 57m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 25.3° 23/04/2024 Coldest this month 4.2° 22/04/2024 Hottest on record 34.1 01/04/2014 Coldest on record -1.7 29/04/1992 Hottest this year 38.6° 10/03/2024 Coldest this year 4.2° 22/04/2024 Long term average 19.9° Long term average 10.0° Average this month 19.0° Average this month 10.6° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 22.4° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 7.7° 1999 Daveys Bay rainfall history (38.1924°S, 145.0937°E, 57m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 54.0mm 02/04/2024 Total This Month 97.6mm
18.0 daysLong Term Average 59.1mm 14.4 days Wettest April on record 192.8mm 2001 Driest on record 17.2mm 2019 -
Year to Date
Daveys Bay Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 178.8mm 40.3 day(s) Total For 2024 170.4mm 38.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 161.4mm 46.0 day(s) Wettest Day 54.0mm Apr 2 Lowest Temperature 4.2°C Apr22 Highest Temperature 38.6°C Mar10 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Daveys Bay Climatology
Daveys Bay Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 24.6 24.9 23.2 19.9 16.6 14.3 13.7 14.6 16.5 18.6 20.6 22.5 19.2 Mean Min (°C) 14.1 14.2 12.6 10.0 8.4 6.8 6.4 6.7 7.6 8.8 10.7 12.0 9.9 Mean Rain (mm) 40.8 36.2 42.7 59.1 69.5 76.8 71.4 75.7 67.6 68.9 56.5 54.2 719.3 Mean Rain Days 8.1 7.3 10.5 14.4 17.5 19.1 19.8 19.5 16.3 15.4 12.1 10.9 170.0