Forecast
Dalmore (38.193°S, 145.4425°E, 2m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY13° 38° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 40% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:18am EDT 5:49am EDT 8:33pm EDT 9:04pm EDT NOW15.0° Feels Like: 13.4° Relative Humidity: 75% Dew: 10.6° Wind: NNE 9km/h Gust: 20km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1015.5hPa -
Today Weather
DalmoreNow15.7°cFeels Like:14.4°Wind:NNE 7km/hGusts:11km/hHumidity:70%13°Min38°MaxToday in DalmoreMostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm with little significant rainfall in the evening, mainly over the southwest. Winds N/NE 15 to 25 km/h increasing to 35 km/h before shifting cooler, gusty S/SW 30 to 50 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 14 with daytime temperatures reaching 34 to 39.Tomorrow12°Min19°MaxPartly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower near the Otways, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds S/SW 15 to 20 km/h tending S/SE 15 to 25 km/h during the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching between 18 and 22. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Dalmore
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7 day forecast
Today: Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm with little significant rainfall in the evening, mainly over the southwest. Winds N/NE 15 to 25 km/h increasing to 35 km/h before shifting cooler, gusty S/SW 30 to 50 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 14 with daytime temperatures reaching 34 to 39.
Forecast for Dalmore (38.193°S, 145.4425°E, 2m AMSL) Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Summary Minimum 13° 12° 9° 10° 10° 9° 10° Maximum 38° 19° 20° 19° 19° 20° 21° Chance of rain 40% 20% 40% 50% 20% 50% 70% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Very High - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 16
(km/h)19
(km/h)13
(km/h)17
(km/h)10
(km/h)15
(km/h)13
(km/h)20
(km/h)11
(km/h)14
(km/h)16
(km/h)18
(km/h)13
(km/h)13
(km/h)Wind direction NNE N SW SW S SW WSW SW WSW WSW WNW WSW W SW Relative humidity 44% 22% 80% 59% 72% 60% 79% 59% 65% 55% 75% 62% 71% 54% Dew point 13°C 13°C 11°C 11°C 9°C 12°C 11°C 11°C 7°C 9°C 10°C 12°C 9°C 11°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Dalmore Rain Forecast
Dalmore 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT9
LOW10
11
LOW12
LOW13
LOW14
LOW15
16
17
18
LOW19
LOW20
21
22
LOW23
LOW24
LOW25
26
27
28
LOW29
LOW30
LOW31
LOWJan 1
LOW2
3
4
5
MEDIUM6
MEDIUMCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec 8Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 December to 20 December, 28 December to 1 January, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 13 December to 17 December, 17 December to 21 December, and 8 January to 12 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 15 December to 19 December, and 4 January to 8 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Dalmore Rain Forecast
Dalmore 12-month Rainfall ForecastDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov20192020356654743557105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Nov 8
ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Dalmore Rain Forecast
Dalmore 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT9
LOW10
11
LOW12
LOW13
LOW14
LOW15
16
17
18
LOW19
LOW20
21
22
LOW23
LOW24
LOW25
26
27
28
LOW29
LOW30
LOW31
LOWJan 1
LOW2
3
4
5
MEDIUM6
MEDIUMCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec 8Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 December to 20 December, 28 December to 1 January, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 13 December to 17 December, 17 December to 21 December, and 8 January to 12 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 15 December to 19 December, and 4 January to 8 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Dalmore Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Monday
Nov 18- - -Tuesday
Nov 19- - -Wednesday
Nov 20- - -Thursday
Nov 21- - -Friday
Nov 22- - -Legend -
Almanac
Almanac
Dalmore minimum temp history (38.193°S, 145.4425°E, 2m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month - Coldest this month - Hottest on record 41.8 19/12/2015 Coldest on record 4.1 05/12/2011 Hottest this year 42.9° 04/01/2019 Coldest this year 0.2° 24/06/2019 Long term average 23.5° Long term average 11.7° Average this month - Average this month - Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 27.3° 2015 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 9.6° 1995 Dalmore rainfall history (38.193°S, 145.4425°E, 2m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month mm Total This Month mm
daysLong Term Average 67.5mm 11.2 days Wettest December on record 146.8mm 2015 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for VIC
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Year to Date
Dalmore Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Dec 831.2mm 177.1 day(s) Total For 2019 569.0mm 129.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2018 637.2mm 145.0 day(s) Wettest Day 26.0mm Jun13 Lowest Temperature 0.2°C Jun24 Highest Temperature 42.9°C Jan 4 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Dalmore Climatology
Dalmore Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 25.4 25.7 23.5 19.9 16.4 13.9 13.4 14.5 16.5 19.0 21.1 23.5 19.4 Mean Min (°C) 13.6 14.0 12.5 10.3 8.5 6.7 6.1 6.5 7.8 8.8 10.4 11.7 9.7 Mean Rain (mm) 52.5 53.4 44.3 71.0 67.6 80.8 72.9 81.9 86.8 77.9 74.6 67.5 829.5 Mean Rain Days 10.1 8.4 11.0 14.1 18.4 19.3 19.4 19.2 17.6 15.4 13.0 11.2 172.5